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Date Title Body
08/30/2014 - 10:17am Maybe a new HC and OL coach

if the trend continues. 

07/11/2011 - 9:45pm Stanford had very good TEs last, it may take a couple of years

for UM to get to that level.  I watched a few Stanford games living 30 mins from the campus, and their TEs were very productive players, I checked the stats and their two combined for 700 yds and 12 TDs, now I think Koger has the talent, maybe even Webb, but it will take a year or two for them and any new recruits to reach those numbers, esp now moving from the spread to  an offense that features the TE a bit more.

07/11/2011 - 9:35pm recruiting, rivalries for two

If it was ND carrying the conference, they would have a tough time getting recruits who want to play against other top teams, and also ones that want to experience rivalry play.  Unless the big ten schools guaranteed they'd have ND on their n/c schedule, that's likely not going to happen.

07/09/2011 - 3:20pm 3000 is a great acheivement no doubt

but ESPN along with others like yahoo sports were really obsessing over it.  On another board, someone brought up that Jim Thome is at 597 homeruns, and hasn't gotten any attention, even though 600 is a far more exclusive club, indeed if you take out those supsected or found guilty of steroids, that club has Ruth, Mays, Aaron and Griffey.

Let's celebrate the achievement and also get back to the pennant races, it's a valid point.

 

07/09/2011 - 11:11am good point on CC and Denver

can't believe I forgot about those schools.  Anyway the wcha would not have been hurt as much, in fact they should have made a play for ND and UAF or just stayed where they were and see what happens.

NMU and LSSU have to get the right coaches for them to be relevant, post Comley and post Jackson, those schools have not been relevant on the national scene.  They can't be expected to be top-4 year in and year out to give Mia and ND some balance.  

The thing is that for a conference to fluorish, you need to be next to a decent or major media market, without Detroit or Chicago the new ccha would really struggle.  Even the new wcha has Denver, and h/e has Boston of course and ECAC has New York.  So I don't really see a WMU even with Blashill helping out too much in that regard.  

 

07/08/2011 - 6:40pm the ccha after the big-10 conf starts is not stable

ND and Miami sure, but no guarantee that even with Blashill, WMU would continue to be a top-20 team, and then you have schools with very regional followings so the new ccha would not be able to recruit with the big ten or wcha and they would start falling behind.  Would you consider ND if you knew that you weren't playing any big ten teams (unless it was non conf) and no one of national power, except Miami?

As for the WCHA, they're in a better position so I could see them adding teams and remainng intact, but can't really fault NoDak (who would have to carry the conference initially) to try to team up with ND and Miami for a new conference.

And I'm not sure what your defintion of late is, but MSU won it all in 2007, Wiscy in 2006 and Wiscy was in the finals two years ago. 

 

 

07/08/2011 - 12:47pm The UM offense had more problems than those

they were ranked 36'th in 3'rd down percentage and 77'th in fourth down percentage, which contributed to not scoring in the red zone or going for FGs.

If you're going to be an elite offense, you should be in the top-10 at converting 3'rd downs, or at least top-20. 

07/08/2011 - 12:39pm The FSU and Iowa games were not beatdowns

I was at the FSU game too and that was 31-24 at the half and some late TOs returned for TDs made it look like a blowout.  Iowa was 10-9 at the half, the Wiscy game was 24-0.

07/08/2011 - 12:35pm the debate is actually a thinly veiled attempt to

show that some good things happened under RR and using FEI to justify that UM had the second best offense in the country with only FGA, red zone randomness, and fluky TOs, all not related to the offense, being what pulled the team down.  

Anyway, being out here in the bay area, I saw lot of Stanford and Oregon games, along with some BSU and Nevada games, and those four teams along with Auburn had better offenses than Michigan.   

07/08/2011 - 10:02am the UM offense in the first half vs OSU was average at best

OSU has a bend and don't break defense, they'll give up the yards to have the other team execute more plays in the hopes of getting a to or a 3'rd down stop.  The UM offense had six possessions, five of which ended with zero points:

 

- 2 missed 4'th down coversions

- 2 turnovers

- 1 punt

- 1 TD

 

In what world is this a good offensive half?

07/07/2011 - 9:35pm No, it's the struggling vs the good teams that sticks

and the good stretches against the mediocre defensive teams that sticks.  The offense could 't keep it close against the good teams when the game was in the balance.

07/07/2011 - 6:00pm The offense that scores the TD is the better offense

in your scenario.  A lot of teams have bend but don't break (OSU comes to mind as did UM under Carr) and they're more than happy to give some yards in the hope of making the offense execute more plays and maybe turn the ball over or come up short on 3'rd down. 

The team that gets the ball in the endzone is better than the one that get stalled on 4'th down at the opponent's 30.  And here's why, the team that scored converted their 3'rd downs and found a way to score when the defense tightened up.

I think the spread does break down in the red zone (see Oregon last year in the NCG) as things like TE crosses and fade routes are better used to get the 7 pts than the read zone.

07/07/2011 - 11:29am total yards is an overrated stat for offensive effectiveness

for the sake of discussion, let's say points are not the best metric for evaluating an offense, total yards is not much better, in fact it may be worse.  Some analysis I read a few years back (maybe even by Brian) pointed to 3'rd/4'th down conversion, yards per rush and number of plays over 20 yards.  I was able to get a couple of these for UM in 2010:

3'rd down: 36'th

4'th down:  77'th (12 out of 28), UM was 10'th in attempts

ypr: 6'th

plays of 20 yds are longer: 24'th (SDSU was 7'th)

 

The 2010 UM offense was good, but not elite, not up there wtih Oregon, Stanford, Auburn, Boise, Nevada etc., so it wouldn't be the end of the world if they tinkered with it. 

 

 

 

 

 

06/11/2011 - 8:58pm Shawshank as to be up there as a must see

for a man, about as good a dialogue as you're going to find in a movie with no women, that and pulp fiction.

06/11/2011 - 8:54pm 2001 really shouldn't change all that much, esp the UM game

Tressel had just taken over in mid-Jan, and this is saying off the bat that he improperly recruited players that played in the 2001 season, which I find hard to believe.  My guess is that most of that team was already recruited by Cooper.

And the 2001 UM game would have pretty much the same result, that was really a poorly played game by Michigan. 

05/01/2011 - 11:57pm Gameday rarely does non abc/espn games

unless it's like two top-10 SEC teams and so unless both usc and nd are top ten, they may not go there.

04/03/2011 - 12:56pm That's just not true

Working in hi tech, I find it difficult to believe that Bill Gates, Scott McNealy and say Carly Fiorina were not the smartest people in their class (Gates, McNealy at Harvard, Fiorina at Stanford).  

And a lot of the smartest students in graduating classes go on to industry, now if you're saying the average PhD has more intelligence than the average Bachelor's, I could buy that, but at the top, there is no difference.

04/03/2011 - 12:47pm PhD students don't have many years or decades of experience

the average age of incoming PhD students is around 26, given they graduate at 22, they either got a masters or they maybe worked for a couple of years.  And that number is inflated by international students, who may have a few more years of work experience, I agree.

 

03/27/2011 - 8:14pm Michigan is playing really well now, they'll be tough to beat

as well.  After the first period against UNO, UM is really playing well, and just for reference, CC played NoDak real tough in the wcha tourney, I think scoring with a few minutes left to win.  And Michigan really handled CC yesterday, the score was no indication of how much better UM was.

03/27/2011 - 8:02pm In any playoff the first two rounds would be at campus sites

in a 16 team playoff, the round of 16 and 8 and maybe even the semis would be at the higher seeded team's campus, like the nfl does it, and how college hockey used to do it.  The championship would be at a neutral site.  As for the bowl, you're right, they would not fit in the playoffs, they would still exist and still have games for the teams that didn't make the playoffs.  

The bowls wouldn't go away, and still have good matchups, for the sake of discussion say, Wisconsin and MSU made the playoffs from the big ten and Stanford and Oregon made the playoffs from the pac ten.  The rose bowl would then be OSU and Arizona, not a bad matchup.  Now the bowls won't make as much money, but the playoffs would more than compensate for that.  

02/20/2011 - 11:28pm Va Tech really benefits from only playing Duke and NC once

they're in the tourney because folks think the committee will overlook their RPI and see their 7-5 record in the ACC.  If they  manage to go 1-3 to close out the season, a possibility (play at WF, Duke, BC, at Clemson) they'd be on the other side of the bubble and would need a win or two in the acc tourney.

02/20/2011 - 2:34pm don't see how UM wouldn't be in Manchester in your scenario

you're making it sound like the ncaa doesn't care about bracket integrity at all, when they do care some and I would see UM getting swapped with Union in this scenario.  You already have UNO, NoDak and Miami for St. Louis attendance so don't know why you would make a 6 seed play a 9 seed instead of an 11 seed for attendance, even if it's a pseudo home game for the 11 seed.

 

02/19/2011 - 1:25pm um now at 9 in the pwr, up one spot

they can flip the a couple of comparisons with a win tonight I think, so should be interesting.

02/18/2011 - 10:55pm We all met Vada at our student orientation at the b-school

in 1991 when I enrolled in the mba program.  One of the things that started that year was global citizenship and Vada was talking about how tough it can be for inner city youth and his work with the inner city.  Prayers and positive thoughts in his direction.

02/14/2011 - 12:41am good post, a couple of points on uno and unh

UNO winning really helps, not only in the RPI because UM played them twice but also it helps in the COP against other wcha teams, not sure if it's have much of an impact now, but maybe in a couple of weeks.

 

I think UNH's RPI could really take a hit the next three weeks, looking at their schedule, they have four on the road and play sub-500 teams in Vermont and Northeastern along with a home vs. BC.  So if they finish 3-3, and UM finishes say 3-1 or even 2-1-1, they should pass UNH in the RPI and get that pwc.

02/10/2011 - 8:45pm given the hype these two are getting, I hope

that together they're half as good as Allen Iverson.  Anyway ftr, I think Burke is a slightly better prospect, but hey if either can give some athleticism from the perimeter, the team will be in good shape next year.

02/06/2011 - 11:48am this post has 100% to do with RR, how could it no?

I agree in general that blowouts from a year ago don't carry over in college football, but the reason UM got blown out was mainly on the coaching staff who are gone.  The team lacked resiliency when they got down, didn't convert red zone oppys into TDs, could not control the LOS on the defensive side of the ball with six guys in the box etc..

The coaching change is the #1 reason the blowouts won't repeat, followed by maturation of players and some injured players coming back.

02/06/2011 - 11:38am that's a brutal draw, I'd much rather get sent out east

playing NoDak and then BC is the toughest road to the frozen four, it be much easier to get say Union in the first round and then Yale or New Hampshire, even though they're hosting at a nearby arena.

01/30/2011 - 6:45pm overall ranking of Michigan or the undergrad business program?

So it's been awhile but are you saying that the undergrad business program (overall in your post) is 15'th while the BBA is top-5?  Or are you saying Michigan in general is 15'th overall, which I haven't found anywhere, UM usually ranks around 25-ish overall.  If the former, then there must be students are in the undergrad b-school but not getting the bba, which I didn't think was the case.

Anyway, if it's BBA, then I think it'd be good to let the family that it's elite, like in in the company of Wharton, Berkeley and MIT undegrad elite.

01/30/2011 - 2:42pm I don't think the offense put the fear in anyone

maybe Denard, but not the offense.  And most teams figured they'd take Denard out and leave it to the WRs and RBs to beat them, which didn't happen too often against good teams.

To be a feared offense, outside of putting up 50 on average, the team needs a game breaking RB, a downfield deep threat, outside WR (the slots are good) and more use of the TE so red zone oppys become TDs, not FGA or turnovers.

 

01/30/2011 - 12:54pm no way to sugarcoat this, a bad bad loss

This made UM go from a 5 overall seed to a 9 overall seed, if the tourney started today, which thankfully it doesn't.  The pwr is merciless when you lose to a bad team and then that team now becomes a team under consideration and your 2-2 record against it is now in play.  

 

Blech!

01/30/2011 - 12:50pm one point that should be corrected b-school is top-5, not top-15

Somebody should contact the Coopers again and tell them that a UM BBA is a top-5 degree, currently US News has it #4 and when I was in the MBA program, it was consistently top-5.  It's a pretty valuable degree.  The only thing is that you have to apply after your soph year, I think, and the competition is obviously pretty tough for it.  

 

BTW, I did like the not worried about the buildings (bricks already being laid) comment.

01/29/2011 - 9:53pm at the risk of Lincoln shot!, who is Lloyd Brady?

nfm

01/29/2011 - 3:52pm negative stories came out when Mallet, Mario, Arrington left

All three leaving were announced at once and there were definitely some rolling eyes articles about RR, as in, does he know what he's doing kind of stuff.  And that was early Jan, 2008.  

01/29/2011 - 11:17am saints defense was high risk/reward

first off, I think getting another nfl guy would be great, don't get me wrong.  But the Saints went  for a lot of picks and did get them, but they also got burned a lot (see recent Seattle game) as an example.  Now Brees can offset a lot of defensive risks, so maybe Denard can as well.  Also the the defense was injured a lot too, so that may have something to do with it.  Anyway, if UM can get this guy, go for it.

01/29/2011 - 12:49am I would love to play Yale or UNH out east

Recall that UM tied UNH this year at their home rink, not Manchester, a game UM should have won, they're playing better now and really UM has owned UNH in the tourney.  And really no problem with playing Yale even in Bridgeport.  Those are easier draws than playing UND or Denver in St. Louis if it comes to that.  

 

01/29/2011 - 12:46am They won't have two eastern teams in GB and no wcha team

I know you said ideal, but that GB scenario is really ideal, as in almost impossible, they will put a WCHA team there, Wisc is the obvious one but one will go.  And they won't have two eastern teams there.  If you want that draw you'd have to send UM out east, which I think isn't a bad place to be this year.

01/28/2011 - 10:48pm good summary, UND losing would also show they can be beat

UND has looked pretty solid lately, well so has UM but I do not want to see this team in the tourney.  I think a tie is good for Michigan in the Miami-ND game.  

01/27/2011 - 11:06pm they really looked out of synch tonight

especially in the first half, whizzing the ball around, turning it over, not typical, well at not against UM, when they come out firing on all cylinders.  

Also the look on the players when they had a fouled called on them, like they've never been called for a foul before. 

01/27/2011 - 8:54pm these free throws are tough to watch for my heart*

nfm

01/27/2011 - 8:23pm I think Michigan guys were talking too, which is good to see

Morris was yapping at somebody after a three pointer in the first half, I thought it was good to see, they're really in this game.

01/24/2011 - 11:00pm He went in last year, had a great speech as well.

nfm

01/24/2011 - 11:32am Louis Bullock owns the three point record at Michigan

Bullock made 339 in four years, Douglass has made 137 so far.

01/24/2011 - 1:45am surprised GB is the favorite

Thought it would be even, or Pitt by one.  They did look really good though on the road.

As for the 46, don't forget that the Pitt's offense scored 17 and GB's 14, so 47 even in better conditions, may be a stretch.

01/24/2011 - 1:34am Glen Rice and Stu Douglass

I think you overrate the talent on the UM team but it didn't sound that unreasonable, till you got to the SD and GR comparison, how you think a 48% 3 pt shooter and a 34% 3 pt shooter are similar is beyond me.  

01/24/2011 - 12:03am The Steelers have Mendenhall and Wallance

i.e. a top RB and a deep thread, that Brady doesn't have.  That's why the Jets could just key on Brady and the intermediate routes which was the Pats bread and butter all year.  If you gave Brady those two guys, NE is in the super bowl.  And Ben had the worst game of a super bowl winning QB, even Dilfer had a better day than him.

But he's still a top-5 QB, probably fifth, behind Rodgers and ahead of Rivers.

01/20/2011 - 8:24pm recall the fga against Iowa

where the fg was blocked and the team was just standing around, and Iowa picked it up and ran it to what midfield?  I don't now if that's in the above stats, but plays like that are what made the s/t play below average.  

01/17/2011 - 7:44pm Disagree with most of this post, except that RR

is a good coach, I agree, but it wasn't going to work out at Michigan, that's pretty obvious.

The point about upward trajectory, I already commented on that below, it's a superficial argument and when you did deeper, it doesn't carry that much validity.

Even if you throw out all the stats for and against RR, what it comes down to is that the team looked like it was poorly coached and was not fundamentally sound.  And that's been the case for three years now and is part and parcel of RR's system as the zone read, and that's the part of the system DB said, is not what I want going forward. 

01/17/2011 - 7:30pm I hate to break this to you but

great players rarely make great or even good head coaches, in most sports.  The theory which is plausible is that that the mediocre players had to learn how to play and develop skills while the talented ones did not, or not as much.  In addition the great players demand a lot, and hold up players to somewhat unrealistic standards, so it doesn't work out too much.  

01/17/2011 - 3:39pm the flaw with this is that it rewards RR for a three win season

so folks can say, see 3 to 5 to 7, that's improvement.  By that logic, RR should have only won one game in 2008, then you can say, see, 1 to 7 in three years, that's improvement.

This is what I think happened, DB consulted his consultant (lets call him Gary) and asked Gary how many wins should UM won in 2008 with the roster that entered the Utah game.  Gary says 5 then says the team should have won 7 in 2009, so DB looks at the wins like this, 5-7-7 and says, well maybe we're not really improving.  

Then DB does his own work, he looks at the nd, msu, psu, and osu games and sees this trend:

msu: -7, -6, -17

nd:  -18, +4, +4

psu: -29, -25, -10

osu: -42, -11, -30

not good, basically the team hasn't improved but still given all that , I thought he should have got a fourth year if there changes to the defensive sand s/t staff.   I just think this improvement  by quoting overall wins can be misleading