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Date Title Body
01/18/2019 - 11:15am True, and arguably the 3'rd…

True, and arguably the 3'rd or 4th best player in the NBA, Leonard is not someone you can really market.  It still comes back to really bad teams because of the super teams being formed, making most of the nba unwatchable on any given night.  For instance, there's only one game tonight that has both teams above .500 (Warriors-Clippers) and tbh, the Clippers are above .500 because they've played Phoenix, Sacramento a bunch of times.   

01/15/2019 - 3:10pm not sure what tier-1 wins…

not sure what tier-1 wins mean, but UM has a five quadrant 1 and four quadrant 2 wins which the committee values.  The key is of course is being 9-0 against them, but some of the teams around UM have played more Q1 and Q2 games, UM non-conference SOS is 149, only UVA has a worse at 169, but KU, Duke, Oklahoma are all top 10, that's where it could hurt wrt committee. 

01/14/2019 - 1:23pm Michigan and PSU have pretty…

Michigan and PSU have pretty similar records over the last four years, actually almost identical, 38-15 for PSU, 38-14 for UM, conference record identical as well.  The h2h favors UM, hopefully that will continue into 2019, they have one big ten title, so that would probably offset the h2h advantage and make it pretty much even. 

01/12/2019 - 9:59pm That's what I'm hoping for…

That's what I'm hoping for as well, maybe like last year have MSU and Kansas in Duke's draw. 

01/11/2019 - 10:40am I don't think Pep or any OC…

I don't think Pep or any OC under Harbaugh gets all that much criticism in the general UM fanbase.  Most assume it's JimH calling the plays and the defacto OC.  And it's not like there's been a clear OC the four years he's been here.  I'd go with Borges, maybe Hermann as well.

01/09/2019 - 12:18pm Not a perennial top ten team…

Not a perennial top ten team yet, final AP rankings last four years, 14, unranked, 10, 12.  If you want to give unranked a 26 for the purposes of discussion, the average is 15. 

 

01/09/2019 - 11:58am Georgia has been to the…

Georgia has been to the conference championship game twice, CFP once, they're definitely better off than where UM is.  Right now UM is a 10-15 program, GA 3-5. 

01/08/2019 - 11:14am There is no way the fan base…

There is no way the fan base is going to think UM is a NC contender heading into next fall, the OSU game stings too much and most know that until they beat OSU, UM is not even winning the division, much less contend for the NC.  The Fla loss also will make fans more cautious.  These rankings with UM are just click bait. 

01/07/2019 - 11:35pm good call

good call

01/07/2019 - 11:25pm We'd have to hope for OSU to…

We'd have to hope for OSU to take a step back or somehow clinch the big ten east before playing them, like almost happened this year.  If the division title is on the line vs OSU, then a different story.

01/07/2019 - 11:14pm Averages can be misleading,…

Averages can be misleading, Clemson had the #1 overall player at the most important position, QB, so that off the bat, makes Clemson's class better.  And I'm not sure how accurate the WR rankings are, Clemson and Ala have better receivers even if they were rated lower.  The UM receivers are good, but not as explosive or sure handed as these guys.

01/07/2019 - 11:02pm For sure the play calling,…

For sure the play calling, up 37-16, Dabo calls passes and tries to increase the lead, JH would have ran the ball three times, probably punted. 

01/05/2019 - 12:53pm Well the SEC is the dirtiest…

Well the SEC is the dirtiest conference in football, filled with coaches who blatantly cheat and it's done well, OSU the dirtiest program in the big-ten and done well, actually the best in the big-10 under Meyer, not even sure there's a close second.  Of the P5 conferences, pac-12 is probably the cleanest, and that's probably why they're doing the worst, at least in the two sports we're talking about. 

As someone posted, the non-revenue sports, they do really well. In the fall 2018 director cup standings, UM is one, and four pac-12 teams are in the top-10, Col at 3, Stanford at 5, Oregon at 7, Washington at 8. 

 

 

01/05/2019 - 11:57am Carr changed much sooner…

Carr changed much sooner than that, as many noted here, in the Orange bowl against Alabama e.g., but to be fair to Harbaugh, he does not have the offensive talent the 1999 team had, Brady, Terrell, Walker, Thomas and an NFL OL.  In a couple of years that should be the case.

12/24/2018 - 10:21pm Agree, these kinds of…

Agree, these kinds of reports are usually put out by the player or coach's agent or party to increase bargaining position with current organization. 

12/24/2018 - 9:59pm I'm not sure you have to…

I'm not sure you have to wait on pins and needles since you already have the UM acceptance, it's not like you were deferred at UM, which would be imo, true pins and needles.  If she really felt that she fit in better at Princeton, would be happier there, and you can afford it, that's where you should go.  The academics are pretty similar, the campuses are very different though as you probably know.  If you need money for grad school, that may tilt to UM, imo if you want silicon valley, where I leave, that would also tilt to UM, east coast of course, wall street would be Princeton. 

12/19/2018 - 1:18pm Duke is 1 now, and UM 2, but…

Duke is 1 now, and UM 2, but they cap scoring margin at 10 pts, what has and could hurt is Norfolk, GW, Chattanooga, Binghamton. 

12/18/2018 - 11:59am If you average out the…

If you average out the standings finish over the past four years, it would be:

OSU - 1.25

Wisconsin - 1.75 (though in the west, they've played UM and PSU twice, OSU and MSU once)

PSU - 2.5

UM - 3.25

MSU - 3.25

 

12/13/2018 - 10:57am Purdue has a whole bunch of…

Purdue has a whole bunch of 3-stars as did Iowa last year when they won.  I'll grant the home/road difference in how OSU plays, but it sure seemed those teams wanted it more than UM has recently.

12/13/2018 - 10:47am Neither Whitney Houston nor…

Neither Whitney Houston nor Janet Jackson are rock, my main issue is non-rock musicians getting in.  Rock at its core is guitar, lyrics, rebellion, etc.  Playing your own instruments...  I digress.

12/08/2018 - 11:42pm Usually when someone says…

Usually when someone says they're interested in a good education or that education is important, it really shouldn't be believed.  So often parents or recruits say that and choose the schools not knows for education.

12/08/2018 - 11:24pm Harbaugh is below Carr's…

Harbaugh is below Carr's level, he had a top-5 program at his peak, maybe top-3 after FSU and Nebraska, UM is not top-10 with Harbaugh, probably 15-20. 

12/08/2018 - 10:46pm The NCAA has very little…

The NCAA has very little teeth, you'd need something like what the FBI is doing now to root out corruption in college basketball, they have the resources and of course a way to enforce.  If the ncaa shows up to Alabama, nothing is going to happen, if the FBI shows up, good luck.

08/30/2014 - 10:17am Maybe a new HC and OL coach

if the trend continues. 

07/11/2011 - 9:45pm Stanford had very good TEs last, it may take a couple of years

for UM to get to that level.  I watched a few Stanford games living 30 mins from the campus, and their TEs were very productive players, I checked the stats and their two combined for 700 yds and 12 TDs, now I think Koger has the talent, maybe even Webb, but it will take a year or two for them and any new recruits to reach those numbers, esp now moving from the spread to  an offense that features the TE a bit more.

07/11/2011 - 9:35pm recruiting, rivalries for two

If it was ND carrying the conference, they would have a tough time getting recruits who want to play against other top teams, and also ones that want to experience rivalry play.  Unless the big ten schools guaranteed they'd have ND on their n/c schedule, that's likely not going to happen.

07/09/2011 - 3:20pm 3000 is a great acheivement no doubt

but ESPN along with others like yahoo sports were really obsessing over it.  On another board, someone brought up that Jim Thome is at 597 homeruns, and hasn't gotten any attention, even though 600 is a far more exclusive club, indeed if you take out those supsected or found guilty of steroids, that club has Ruth, Mays, Aaron and Griffey.

Let's celebrate the achievement and also get back to the pennant races, it's a valid point.

 

07/09/2011 - 11:11am good point on CC and Denver

can't believe I forgot about those schools.  Anyway the wcha would not have been hurt as much, in fact they should have made a play for ND and UAF or just stayed where they were and see what happens.

NMU and LSSU have to get the right coaches for them to be relevant, post Comley and post Jackson, those schools have not been relevant on the national scene.  They can't be expected to be top-4 year in and year out to give Mia and ND some balance.  

The thing is that for a conference to fluorish, you need to be next to a decent or major media market, without Detroit or Chicago the new ccha would really struggle.  Even the new wcha has Denver, and h/e has Boston of course and ECAC has New York.  So I don't really see a WMU even with Blashill helping out too much in that regard.  

 

07/08/2011 - 6:40pm the ccha after the big-10 conf starts is not stable

ND and Miami sure, but no guarantee that even with Blashill, WMU would continue to be a top-20 team, and then you have schools with very regional followings so the new ccha would not be able to recruit with the big ten or wcha and they would start falling behind.  Would you consider ND if you knew that you weren't playing any big ten teams (unless it was non conf) and no one of national power, except Miami?

As for the WCHA, they're in a better position so I could see them adding teams and remainng intact, but can't really fault NoDak (who would have to carry the conference initially) to try to team up with ND and Miami for a new conference.

And I'm not sure what your defintion of late is, but MSU won it all in 2007, Wiscy in 2006 and Wiscy was in the finals two years ago. 

 

 

07/08/2011 - 12:47pm The UM offense had more problems than those

they were ranked 36'th in 3'rd down percentage and 77'th in fourth down percentage, which contributed to not scoring in the red zone or going for FGs.

If you're going to be an elite offense, you should be in the top-10 at converting 3'rd downs, or at least top-20. 

07/08/2011 - 12:39pm The FSU and Iowa games were not beatdowns

I was at the FSU game too and that was 31-24 at the half and some late TOs returned for TDs made it look like a blowout.  Iowa was 10-9 at the half, the Wiscy game was 24-0.

07/08/2011 - 12:35pm the debate is actually a thinly veiled attempt to

show that some good things happened under RR and using FEI to justify that UM had the second best offense in the country with only FGA, red zone randomness, and fluky TOs, all not related to the offense, being what pulled the team down.  

Anyway, being out here in the bay area, I saw lot of Stanford and Oregon games, along with some BSU and Nevada games, and those four teams along with Auburn had better offenses than Michigan.   

07/08/2011 - 10:02am the UM offense in the first half vs OSU was average at best

OSU has a bend and don't break defense, they'll give up the yards to have the other team execute more plays in the hopes of getting a to or a 3'rd down stop.  The UM offense had six possessions, five of which ended with zero points:

 

- 2 missed 4'th down coversions

- 2 turnovers

- 1 punt

- 1 TD

 

In what world is this a good offensive half?

07/07/2011 - 9:35pm No, it's the struggling vs the good teams that sticks

and the good stretches against the mediocre defensive teams that sticks.  The offense could 't keep it close against the good teams when the game was in the balance.

07/07/2011 - 6:00pm The offense that scores the TD is the better offense

in your scenario.  A lot of teams have bend but don't break (OSU comes to mind as did UM under Carr) and they're more than happy to give some yards in the hope of making the offense execute more plays and maybe turn the ball over or come up short on 3'rd down. 

The team that gets the ball in the endzone is better than the one that get stalled on 4'th down at the opponent's 30.  And here's why, the team that scored converted their 3'rd downs and found a way to score when the defense tightened up.

I think the spread does break down in the red zone (see Oregon last year in the NCG) as things like TE crosses and fade routes are better used to get the 7 pts than the read zone.

07/07/2011 - 11:29am total yards is an overrated stat for offensive effectiveness

for the sake of discussion, let's say points are not the best metric for evaluating an offense, total yards is not much better, in fact it may be worse.  Some analysis I read a few years back (maybe even by Brian) pointed to 3'rd/4'th down conversion, yards per rush and number of plays over 20 yards.  I was able to get a couple of these for UM in 2010:

3'rd down: 36'th

4'th down:  77'th (12 out of 28), UM was 10'th in attempts

ypr: 6'th

plays of 20 yds are longer: 24'th (SDSU was 7'th)

 

The 2010 UM offense was good, but not elite, not up there wtih Oregon, Stanford, Auburn, Boise, Nevada etc., so it wouldn't be the end of the world if they tinkered with it. 

 

 

 

 

 

06/11/2011 - 8:58pm Shawshank as to be up there as a must see

for a man, about as good a dialogue as you're going to find in a movie with no women, that and pulp fiction.

06/11/2011 - 8:54pm 2001 really shouldn't change all that much, esp the UM game

Tressel had just taken over in mid-Jan, and this is saying off the bat that he improperly recruited players that played in the 2001 season, which I find hard to believe.  My guess is that most of that team was already recruited by Cooper.

And the 2001 UM game would have pretty much the same result, that was really a poorly played game by Michigan. 

05/01/2011 - 11:57pm Gameday rarely does non abc/espn games

unless it's like two top-10 SEC teams and so unless both usc and nd are top ten, they may not go there.

04/03/2011 - 12:56pm That's just not true

Working in hi tech, I find it difficult to believe that Bill Gates, Scott McNealy and say Carly Fiorina were not the smartest people in their class (Gates, McNealy at Harvard, Fiorina at Stanford).  

And a lot of the smartest students in graduating classes go on to industry, now if you're saying the average PhD has more intelligence than the average Bachelor's, I could buy that, but at the top, there is no difference.

04/03/2011 - 12:47pm PhD students don't have many years or decades of experience

the average age of incoming PhD students is around 26, given they graduate at 22, they either got a masters or they maybe worked for a couple of years.  And that number is inflated by international students, who may have a few more years of work experience, I agree.

 

03/27/2011 - 8:14pm Michigan is playing really well now, they'll be tough to beat

as well.  After the first period against UNO, UM is really playing well, and just for reference, CC played NoDak real tough in the wcha tourney, I think scoring with a few minutes left to win.  And Michigan really handled CC yesterday, the score was no indication of how much better UM was.

03/27/2011 - 8:02pm In any playoff the first two rounds would be at campus sites

in a 16 team playoff, the round of 16 and 8 and maybe even the semis would be at the higher seeded team's campus, like the nfl does it, and how college hockey used to do it.  The championship would be at a neutral site.  As for the bowl, you're right, they would not fit in the playoffs, they would still exist and still have games for the teams that didn't make the playoffs.  

The bowls wouldn't go away, and still have good matchups, for the sake of discussion say, Wisconsin and MSU made the playoffs from the big ten and Stanford and Oregon made the playoffs from the pac ten.  The rose bowl would then be OSU and Arizona, not a bad matchup.  Now the bowls won't make as much money, but the playoffs would more than compensate for that.  

02/20/2011 - 11:28pm Va Tech really benefits from only playing Duke and NC once

they're in the tourney because folks think the committee will overlook their RPI and see their 7-5 record in the ACC.  If they  manage to go 1-3 to close out the season, a possibility (play at WF, Duke, BC, at Clemson) they'd be on the other side of the bubble and would need a win or two in the acc tourney.

02/20/2011 - 2:34pm don't see how UM wouldn't be in Manchester in your scenario

you're making it sound like the ncaa doesn't care about bracket integrity at all, when they do care some and I would see UM getting swapped with Union in this scenario.  You already have UNO, NoDak and Miami for St. Louis attendance so don't know why you would make a 6 seed play a 9 seed instead of an 11 seed for attendance, even if it's a pseudo home game for the 11 seed.

 

02/19/2011 - 1:25pm um now at 9 in the pwr, up one spot

they can flip the a couple of comparisons with a win tonight I think, so should be interesting.

02/18/2011 - 10:55pm We all met Vada at our student orientation at the b-school

in 1991 when I enrolled in the mba program.  One of the things that started that year was global citizenship and Vada was talking about how tough it can be for inner city youth and his work with the inner city.  Prayers and positive thoughts in his direction.

02/14/2011 - 12:41am good post, a couple of points on uno and unh

UNO winning really helps, not only in the RPI because UM played them twice but also it helps in the COP against other wcha teams, not sure if it's have much of an impact now, but maybe in a couple of weeks.

 

I think UNH's RPI could really take a hit the next three weeks, looking at their schedule, they have four on the road and play sub-500 teams in Vermont and Northeastern along with a home vs. BC.  So if they finish 3-3, and UM finishes say 3-1 or even 2-1-1, they should pass UNH in the RPI and get that pwc.

02/10/2011 - 8:45pm given the hype these two are getting, I hope

that together they're half as good as Allen Iverson.  Anyway ftr, I think Burke is a slightly better prospect, but hey if either can give some athleticism from the perimeter, the team will be in good shape next year.

02/06/2011 - 11:48am this post has 100% to do with RR, how could it no?

I agree in general that blowouts from a year ago don't carry over in college football, but the reason UM got blown out was mainly on the coaching staff who are gone.  The team lacked resiliency when they got down, didn't convert red zone oppys into TDs, could not control the LOS on the defensive side of the ball with six guys in the box etc..

The coaching change is the #1 reason the blowouts won't repeat, followed by maturation of players and some injured players coming back.