Points
2470.00

Date Title Body
06/24/2018 - 2:23pm Actually, no it isn't. I…

Actually, no it isn't. I wonder, do you have a degree in mathematics or statistics? I do, so let me explain the value of starzzz to you:

Starzzzz are not the most accurate tool available for evaluating an individual recruit; not even close. Talent evaluation by people who know what they are looking at (division I coaches, for example) is the most accurate tool. It's not a perfect tool -- no tool is perfect, but it is far and away more detailed and deep than some recruiting industry once-highschool-assistant-coach-or-something analyst who fires off quick and lazy evaluations of as many kids as he possibly can.

Star rankings are simply the best tool that is available to general audiences (i.e. morons on blogs like you), but that doesn't mean they are a good predictor. If you had any degree of statistical literacy, you would understand that a star ranking has no predictive value for any individual kid. It does have predictive value when taking a sufficiently sized random sample of division I recruits at a certain star ranking, then you can expect a certain range to be NFL draft picks.

Even looking at the class in the aggregate is /not a sufficiently random sample to apply star rankings and gain accurate predictions/. The University of Michigan class contains only recruits who were offered by the University of Michigan coaching staff. It contains only recruits that were heavily interviewed and scouted by the University of Michigan coaching staff, and then offered. These kids won't be coached by random division I coaches, they won't be in random division I nutrition and S&C programs. These are confounding variables that make the sample completely non-random.

You can't use starzzz to predict the success of a kid, because statistics doesn't work that way. A single kid isn't a meaningful sample. You can try to use them to predict the success of a class, but a class isn't a random sample.

P.S. Get off the blog already. You are 1) a complete bitch, 2) obnoxious, 3) you have a complete mismatch between your level of confident and your actual intelligence, 4) you're honestly garbage, and 5) I'd be shocked if your own mom even likes you. Get off the blog already, goddamn.

05/31/2018 - 11:09am I predict we go 9-3 and our

I predict we go 9-3 and our idiot fanbase loses its mind and starts calling for Harbaugh's head.

05/27/2018 - 3:56pm Just watched the finish and

Just watched the finish and was cheering for Will Power because of the name. Had no idea Quinton Washington was on that team.

Go Blue.

05/17/2018 - 12:27am Suuuper premature.
I'm all

Suuuper premature.

I'm all in for Shea (although I feel comfortable also if BP or DM has to play some snaps) but let's see him out there running around in a winged helmet before we start awarding trophies.

Go Blue.

04/23/2018 - 12:34am To my knowledge he is a

To my knowledge he is a student in good standing at the university.

04/18/2018 - 8:47am I believe the issue generally

I believe the issue generally is not that questions were football related questions, but rather that they were just bad questions.

04/16/2018 - 7:05pm No it's not tough to argue.

No it's not tough to argue. You looked like idiots at the time and with the benefit of hindsight you still look like idiots today.

You're going to look like idiots when you start calling for Coach Harbaugh's head when we don't win the Big Ten this season, too.

04/13/2018 - 2:42pm This will be a brutal season.

This will be a brutal season. The team will be very talented, particularly if Shea is eligible to run the offense and if we can find a tackle to protect him.

However the strength of schedule is absolutely brutal. I'm predicting a 9 win season and more moping, uninformed bitching, and general obnoxiousness from fans.

04/13/2018 - 9:34am Isn't it amazing how the

Isn't it amazing how the decisions of the coaches seem to make a lot more sense when we aren't operating with only 2% of the information that they have? That's a lesson that many posters here would do well to keep in mind....

04/13/2018 - 9:32am Also he's correct that Nick

Also he's correct that Nick Baumgardner doesn't know much of anything about Football.

He literally just reads this blog and then adds a little more "Michigan must do better" spin to it. Also his editors at Mlive were trash and frankly I don't think he's particularly intelligent or a good writer to begin with.

04/12/2018 - 1:45am I enjoy these threads where

I enjoy these threads where you report neat facts. Thank you for researching this stuff.

04/03/2018 - 9:39pm Can he play Offensive Tackle

Can he play Offensive Tackle though? Hmmm, maybe 125 is a little light...

04/03/2018 - 12:08am You think he has absolutely

You think he has absolutely reached his college ceiling?

Guy can get his degree and get one more year having the experience of his lifetime. Then he can go make loads of money and never have to ask himself "what if I had stayed?"

03/31/2018 - 9:17pm I'm rooting for overtime

I'm rooting for overtime

03/25/2018 - 8:07pm If you look at the advanced

If you look at the advanced stats then whoever emerges from the right side of the bracket will be heavily favored.

However if you filter the advanced stats to include only games played on or after Feb 7th....

:)

03/25/2018 - 7:54pm Even though this tanked my

http://www.diddukewin.com/

Even though this tanked my bracket from 98th percentile to 78th percentile, Duke losing is a joyous occasion.

GTHD!

03/22/2018 - 12:07am Looks great without the

Looks great without the patch. That number is special enough, it doesn't need anything else. He will wear it well.

03/21/2018 - 1:51pm Thank you for sharing this!

Thank you for sharing this! Take my +1

03/21/2018 - 1:32pm Love that this thread exists

Love that this thread exists here #MichiganDifference. I was scraping possession data for NCAA hoops games from espn.com a couple years ago but they made some changes to their website which broke my method and I haven't bothered fixing it.

I am very curious to learn if there is any free possession level data that is available, since my understanding (as of the last time I looked, which was a couple years ago) was that you had to pay for it.

03/17/2018 - 11:53am I'm not so sure UMBC could do

I'm not so sure UMBC could do that again on any given night.

On so many possessions in that game, UMBC took awful shots but the ball just kept going in.

Not only were they lucky with low percentage circus layups, but they also shot 50% from downtown which means their team average for the game was higher than any of thir individual averages for the entire season. Meanwhile UVA shot 18% from downtown.

03/09/2018 - 11:48pm lol ok

lol ok

03/07/2018 - 11:49pm Yeah it's definitely a matter

Yeah it's definitely a matter of when, not if.

03/06/2018 - 4:13pm This is my new favorite post.

This is my new favorite post. Thanks for the laughs, please don't ever change.

03/04/2018 - 6:43pm POS

BANG

03/04/2018 - 1:44am The second game, even though

The second game, even though M lost, was one of the most outstanding games of basketball I've ever watched.

02/28/2018 - 10:59pm I'd like to watch the BTT at

I'd like to watch the BTT at work tomorrow, which is why I'm posting my verification code 014842... thanks!

02/27/2018 - 2:15pm There was no sham department

There was no sham department at UNC. There was a sham course within a department. I knew students that took AFAM courses and had to work their asses off. They were more pissed than anyone else about the scandal, because they worked their asses off just for future employers to say "Oh, you were in the AFAM department at UNC? LOL"

02/26/2018 - 11:23pm This is why we can't have

This is why we can't have nice things.

02/24/2018 - 12:38pm 5/7 from downtown so

5/7 from downtown so far.

It's /definitely/ because of the glasses.

02/21/2018 - 6:02pm He's right, too.
I've never

He's right, too.

I've never been as disappointed in  this board and this fanbase as I am right now.

Everyone needs to calm down and enjoy the ride.

02/18/2018 - 4:27am The offense doesn't need a

The offense doesn't need a major reboot, lol.

Our power running game was very good last season and will be even better this season.

We need to develop our receivers, we need to find or develop tackles, and we need a QB that can read a defense and complete accurate and on time passes.

Receivers and QB are very likely to improve next season. OT will be a big question mark.

02/18/2018 - 4:23am Like it or not (I personally

Like it or not (I personally dislike it) Harbaugh/Michigan are on a timer. Fans are not rational and expectations are not reasonable given the current circumstances. We have the toughest schedule in the country next year, but many fans are going to be furious if we don't win the conference and go to the playoffs.

Winning now is not only the best thing for Harbaugh; it's obviously the best thing for Michigan. Losing means further years or instability and doubt, potentially for years to come if we fire our coach or fail to produce a product on field that can sustain good recruiting.

We have a roster that is very talented, and already has a lot of experience with a lot of players poised to make year 2 leaps. But again, we

It makes a lot of sense to bring in a coach who is going to be good at scouting, game planning, and player development -- particularly a WR specialist with the young and talented receiver corps that we have.

Let's see what happens. Next season is going to be very interesting. Will Patterson be elligible? If he is, will he quickly win the job and establish himself or will the margins be close enough to merit an extended battle? And will anyone emerge at tackle?

The pressure is going to be extremely high and the margin for error will be miniscule. I have faith in our staff and program if given enough time, but I do not have much faith in the fanbase.

02/01/2018 - 6:11pm The part that you pulled out

The part that you pulled out of your ass is the inference of a causal relationship between having two coaches and the struggles of the OL.

You can say with certainty that they had two coaches. You can say with certainty that the OL struggled. You cannot say with certainty that the reason for the struggle was having two different OL coaches.

So yes, I am right. You did pull it out of your ass.

02/01/2018 - 3:28pm Quick, call Jim and let him

Quick, call Jim and let him know!!

02/01/2018 - 3:24pm In before, during, and after

In before, during, and after a bunch of MGoCoachingExperts have emotional meltdowns

02/01/2018 - 1:53pm No, what you have seen is an

No, what you have seen is an OL that struggled at the same time as having two OL coaches.

The inference of a causal relationship between having 2 coaches and the struggles on the field is something that you've pulled entirely out of your ass.

01/31/2018 - 12:43pm Give me a break. You people

Give me a break. You people are the same ones saying that you don't even want Wilton Speight, who quarterbacked the most efficient and explosive offense in Michigan football history, on the roster. Based on a 4 game sample size throwing to wide receivers who are playing their first ever snaps of CFB.

I'm sure if Drevno is fired or moves on, you'll just find the next thing to complain about because you're a bunch of toxic and miserable lowlives who care way too damn much about college students playing a damn game.

01/31/2018 - 12:36am Yep. These so called fans are

Yep. These so called fans are truly fanatics and have no perspective at all. There is nothing scientific or rational about their methods for assigning blame, and they are completely blind to the extent to which they and their quick twitch reactionary negativity are a part of the problem.

01/29/2018 - 11:32am You think Speight had the

You think Speight had the yips based on a 4 game sample size throwing to true freshman receivers..?

And furthermore you think Pep Hamilton is to blame for that?

01/27/2018 - 12:16pm It's getting really old

It's getting really old man.

There was never any evidence or reason to believe Drevno or Pep were headed anywhere else sometime soon, this was all entirely wishful thinking.

And to be quite honest, I'm not sure the wish is even justified. We went from having an offense which was both 1) the oldest Michigan offense in the modern era, and 2) the most prolific and efficient Michigan offense ever.

To this year having 1) the youngest Michigan offense in the modern era, with extreme inexperience at WR and OT.

These same assholes are the ones who don't want Wilton Speight back, even though he Quarterbacked the most prolific offense in the Michigan era (so he gets no credit, coaches get all the credit for that year) but based on a 4 game sample size this season before he broke his back they're ready to kick him to the curve and they're even gleeful about it. Meanwhile the coaches get all the blame for this year's woes.

I don't get it, man. If all these people are such experts on football and coaching, and so much smarter than our coaching staff, go coach. Oh wait you're not. You should try not to forget it.

01/25/2018 - 4:59pm We wouldn't be in this

We wouldn't be in this predicament if only Jim had consulted you, Mgoczar, before making his hiring decision.

01/20/2018 - 12:55pm It's so funny to me that so

It's so funny to me that so many people on this board are convinced with no evidence that Drevno and/or Pep are going somewhere else.

A lot of you are setting yourselves up for disappointment. Yet again.

01/18/2018 - 2:09pm Very well said. +1

Very well said. +1

01/16/2018 - 5:42pm Why do you feel the need to

Why do you feel the need to to do this though?

01/16/2018 - 12:56pm Who do you think this poster

Who do you think this poster is, and how are you certain? What is the problem here exactly?

01/12/2018 - 1:58am No one thought this year was

No one thought this year was going to be good. Based on one look at the roster, that much is obvious. Where did you insane people come from? Next year will have a difficult schedule but we will be a year older, stronger, faster, and more experienced at almost every position in the starting lineup.

01/12/2018 - 12:49am Any competition and depth at

Any competition and depth at OT is good. We need to go all in on addressing that hole in the roster.

01/11/2018 - 2:19am How are you so confident that

How are you so confident that Hamilton is a terrible coach and much worse from Fisch? Because an offense that graduated a bunch of seniors, which by the way was the most prolific offense in Michigan history, took a big step back with new starters at almost every position?

01/11/2018 - 2:16am 2016 Speight was playing for

2016 Speight was playing for what I believe was the most prolific Michigan offense in history. How much of that apparent regression is due to Pep's coaching vs. guys graduating and being replaced by younger guys.