|09/11/2018 - 1:46pm||Composite is sort of a joke…||
Composite is sort of a joke in my opinion considering only 3 services are accounted for, particularly when the composite penalizes prospects that aren't in the top 150 for Rivals or top 100 for ESPN by assigning said prospects an arbitrary number (functional example is a 4star prospect that isn't in the top 100 for ESPN).
Bottom line is that outliers by any one of those services swing the composite too much to the extent that its value is severely compromised.
|09/11/2018 - 12:48pm||Really nothing new there…||
Really nothing new there. Taking his time, no visits set up as of now.
|08/10/2018 - 2:36pm||No surprise here, I've been…||
No surprise here, I've been hinting at this for a while now. From a basketball standpoint, I don't think he would've been a great fit despite his ability to score.
|08/10/2018 - 12:03pm||That's a lofty comparison…||
That's a lofty comparison.........not quite ready to proclaim that just yet.
|08/10/2018 - 11:22am||Livers is realistically 6…||
Livers is realistically 6'6ish rather than 6'7 or 6'8. Johns is a legit 6'7 and pushing 6'8, both are fairly well put-together from a muscle mass standpoint. We have yet to see Johns switch on the perimeter or defend the post at the B10 level so the jury is still out in that regard. Livers can certainly switch on the perimeter, though he's a bit undersized to wall-up in the post.
|08/10/2018 - 11:19am||THIS. I don't think people…||
THIS. I don't think people realize Iggy isn't likely to be a knockdown shooter, although he does take a fair volume of 3s. He excels at penetration of the dribble and creating shots for others utilizing strength and above average ballhandling/vision for a player of his size.
The thing that likely prevents him from being a #1 option on offense is lack of first-step acceleration. Just don't think he has the ability to blow by defenders on a consistent basis just yet. That said, he's the perfect player for UM in that he's very likely to be a day 1 producer that doesn't draw heavy consideration from the NBA due to athletic limitations and so he may be around 3 years.
|08/07/2018 - 10:54am||I'll share this bit of…||
I'll share this bit of information related to Coach Beilein - internally, everyone is very optimistic on Coach B's health and that this won't deter him from leading the basketball program moving forward. His full recovery is expected and Coach Beilein is very good about taking care of himself from a health perspective.
|08/06/2018 - 4:49pm||I like Bajema’s game, but…||
I like Bajema’s game, but this clip isn’t very helpful from an evaluation standpoint. Not much defense/resistance at all.
What we really need to see is Cole playing vs high level athletes/competition in a half court setting to measure where he’s at physically and from a skill standpoint.
|08/05/2018 - 1:22pm||Again have to disagree. His…||
Again have to disagree. His ability to leap did not decrease, but the space available in order for him to elevate decreased significantly when he arrived at UM.
in other words, Donnal only looked like a decent athlete when he had tons of space to get a running start. When forced to explode in tight spaces against legit competition, he simply wasn’t capable of doing it irrelevant of confidence or offensive complexity.
All that to say comp level is often a determining factor in evaluation and ultimately projections.
To illustrate this, Tim Hardsway Jr was a fine ‘run and jump’ athlete but he certainly didn’t have the quick twitch explosion of GR3 to elevate suddenly and in traffic.
My apologies to the board for this side debate. This will be my final post on this particular topic.
|08/05/2018 - 12:40pm||Have to adamantly disagree…||
Have to adamantly disagree here. A player’s handle, athleticism, shooting, lateral agility are all immensely impacted by competition level.
Again, I’ll use an example close to home to sort of illustrate this in context. Mark Donnal looked great in HS, running the floor, dunking at will, etc. At Michigan there were times it looked as if he couldn’t get more than a few inches off the ground and he was certainly one of the least athletic players in the B10.
Competition Level matters A LOT. It’s the precise reason that evaluation at any level is so difficult. In esssence my job is to project whether productivity will translate from one level to the next based on those aforementioned variables.
|08/05/2018 - 10:57am||I think the issue with…||
I think the issue with ranking players according to their current talent level is that it becomes impossible to account for competition level. For instance, Joe Girard averaged nearly 50 points per game (or something absurd) as a junior for Glen Falls. But there's no chance in hell he's the #1 prospect in the country. He's averaging 50 points per game because he's playing against the functional equivalent of air in upstate New York.
I do put a lot of weight in current productivity, but comp level has to be accounted for.
|08/05/2018 - 10:31am||Being lethal in a pick and…||
Being lethal in a pick and roll often comes down to being a triple threat - going around the hard hedge and finishing at the rim, finding the roll man for dumpoffs or shooters on kickouts, or hitting the midrange jumper when the defense shows the drop coverage.
Trey Burke mastered it, Stauskas was very good, Levert accomplished 2 of 3 (couldn't hit the midrange jumper off the dribble).
|08/05/2018 - 10:28am||Hard to say without seeing…||
Hard to say without seeing him against legit competition in HS/AAU.
|08/05/2018 - 10:07am||For me, rankings are the…||
For me, rankings are the intersection of productivity, upside, skill, athleticism and measurements. How much weight you place on one variable often correlates with the other variables.
To put this in specific context I’ll use Jalen Wilson as an example. When he committed he was a 5star on nearly every site. When I gave my input and ranking a few eyebrows were raised. A lot of my eval/ranking on Wilson is based on the fact that he’s already physically developed/has a college ready frame, yet he is t very athletic. That translates to being close to maxed out physically. You combine that with an above average skill set (as opposed to good) and it generally equates to a guy with a high floor and low ceiling in college.
Other prospects, such as Jaden McDaniels, are tapping on elite status in nearly every one of the aforementioned variables.......hence him being #1 in my rankings months ago when he was a 40-80 type to every other site.
|08/05/2018 - 9:16am||The ball skills and…||
The ball skills and potential as a secondary shot creator are the more enticing attributes IMO. That said, I believe his shooting will ultimately determine his effectiveness
|08/05/2018 - 9:09am||My hot take......while I…||
My hot take......while I think Jalen Wilson will produce more as a freshman and perhaps a sophomore, I think Bajema will ultimately be a better player at Michigan.
|08/04/2018 - 5:01pm||As I’ve stated before, my…||
As I’ve stated before, my opinion is not supreme to any poster here or anyone else for that matter. I simply have the advantage in terms of live viewings in volume.
Based on those live viewings, I don’t necessarily think anyone from that group has #1 option on a very good college team because they all have obvious holes. Wilson lacks the athleticism and handle. Iggy lacks the acceleration and consistent shot off the dribble. Dave lacks size.
That said I think Iggy and Dave have some real potential as #2 guys that are potent scorers and perhaps develop into 15ppg type players down the line with the ball in their hands an awful lot.
The lack of an iso player is what killed us this year at times. When we couldn’t get clean looks via sets, the offense simply died because we didn’t have a “get him the ball and everyone else get out of the way” player.
|08/04/2018 - 4:04pm||Zeb Jackson is a guy that…||
Zeb Jackson is a guy that caught my eye back in April that will no doubt be top 100 for me. He recently visited and is from the Toledo area.
My interview with him
April highlights I put together on him
|08/04/2018 - 4:00pm||Great point. Guess it would…||
Great point. Guess it would’ve been more helpful to put it in the specific context of D1 players as another poster above pointed out.
For instance, Austin Davis is a below average athlete.
|08/04/2018 - 3:57pm||Burke, Stauskas, LeVert and…||
Burke, Stauskas, LeVert and senior Walton.
|08/04/2018 - 3:13pm||Our talent and depth on the…||
Our talent and depth on the wing is an embarrassment of riches in my opinion. Livers, Johns, Iggy, Nunez, Wilson and now Bajema makes for 6 guys that stand between 6'5-6'8 that all have shotmaking ability and various levels of shot creating ability that gives Coach Beilein the flexibility to tinker his lineup within a game based on a particular matchup or the hot hand.
|08/04/2018 - 2:58pm||I don't think Bajema is a…||
I don't think Bajema is a poor pick-up by any means, definitely some skill there. Just think that he's a bit redundant to Jalen Wilson in terms of being a role player that may have some issues on defense. Definitely think our biggest need is a primary shot creator that can collapse a defense off the dribble.
|08/04/2018 - 2:06pm||Have to disagree there,…||
Have to disagree there, there are hundreds of D1 players that are below average athletes. Doesn't mean those type of players can't be effective, but athleticism simply isn't a strong suit.
|08/04/2018 - 1:57pm||All the bluebloods are after…||
All the bluebloods are after him at this point...…….and I don't think its a coincidence that DJ Jeffries 'decommitted' from Kentucky. I'd expect the Wildcats to offer Jaden at some point in the future. I was the first to have him ranked #1...…….but I expect him to be the unanimous #1 overall prospect by the Winter. He's been hard to get a hold of by most coaching staffs, with his Dad sort of taking the lead on his recruitment. That said, he's fairly unmoved by the process and is working with his own timeline and doesn't feel any pressure at all. A likely Spring signing which bodes well for Michigan on the basis that we're likely to have a strong season.
|08/04/2018 - 1:54pm||Bajema is definitely a…||
Bajema is definitely a gamble, and hard to evaluate, because his comp level is very poor on the AAU circuit. That said, I do think he has some ball skills, with the ability to perhaps be a secondary shot creator at the next level against mismatches or off a ball screen.
I just don't think he's the type of isolation player that we need to create shots at the end of the shot clock. I think a lot of his college projection depends on just how good of a shooter he is at the next level.
I think Bajema's archtype is perhaps an extremely poor man's Hedo Turkoglu.
Unlike most others, while I think Cole Anthony is an absolute beast, I don't think he's necessarily a generational talent. There are other PGs in this class, and in other classes that were ranked lower that I'd rather have.
|07/20/2018 - 8:53am||Can’t offer an educated…||
Can’t offer an educated evaluation on him, as I haven’t seen him live.
|07/18/2018 - 10:38pm||Of the 2019 prospects that…||
Of the 2019 prospects that aren't currently in the radar, here's a few that I think would be a good fit for us based on need and talent:
|07/18/2018 - 8:40pm||For me, he's #140, and that…||
For me, he's #140, and that was a generous ranking to be candid.
His rankings are all over the place elsewhere, as ESPN has him a generic 3 star/76 rating, Rivals has him #112 and 247 has him at #55. The 247 composite is useless at this point in my opinion, as an aggregate ranking from only 3 sites is vulnerable to heavy influence from outliers (247 is the outlier here).
Crowley has the look and feel of a prospect that was far ahead of his peers as an underclassmen from a size and athleticism perspective, especially considering he plays HS ball in Mississippi. However, that simply wasn't enough to cut it against legit competition absent elite athleticism, for which Crowley does not have.
In terms of the potential fit at Michigan, I just don't see it. Crowley needs space to excel on the offensive end...……...in simple terms an uptempo style of play is where he's effective. Michigan simply does not get out in transition with any sort of volume. Under Coach Beilein, we're an extremely methodical team that runs sets that often see us take shots with under 12 seconds left on the shot clock. That isn't the type of system that Crowley projects well to in my opinion.
|07/18/2018 - 5:47pm||I don’t evaluate based on…||
I don’t evaluate based on highlight clips against low-level comp or settings where defense is not played, such as the clip above.
With regard to Crowley specifically, I’ve watched him live numerous occasions this Spring/Summer on the EYBL circuit for Woods Elite. And it’s my opinion that he’s not very skilled and isn’t a great fit at UM. If that ‘doesn’t hold water’ for you I respect your opinion, but I think if you examine his game from a statistical standpoint (against legit comp) it will lend support to my evaluation.
|07/18/2018 - 1:13pm||I've viewed Crowley…||
I've viewed Crowley extensively this Spring/Summer and I don't think he's a very good fit for what we need (isolation scorer), nor am I a big fan of his game.
Crowley is the opposite of what we generally recruit, in that he's a good athlete that isn't very skilled. He doesn't shoot the ball particularly well and does not have the ability to create shots off the dribble at the next level as of right now.
I can definitely see some defensive potential there though as a guy that can defend 2 and perhaps 3 positions at some point in his career.
|07/14/2018 - 5:14pm||The biggest need on the…||
The biggest need on the roster is an isolation player that can create off the dribble and score when the offense breaks down. It was definitely a sore spot last year without doubt. I think Poole has some tools to work with in that regard, but obviously the jury is still out.
Jaden McDaniels is the obvious choice, but he's going to be a tough pull but we do have family connections. I think Williamson will develop into that eventually, but he's another tough pull from Texas.
It is very possible we end up with a kid that isn't on the radar as of right now.
|07/14/2018 - 4:31pm||A kid that I would be at the…||
A kid that I would be at the top of my PG list based on talent and fit would be Tre Mann out of Florida. Kid is literally Trey Burke plus 2-3 inches. Doubt we get involved this late in the game, but that would be my ideal pickup at PG.
At the wing, McDaniels would be my first choice followed by Sam Williamson.
|07/14/2018 - 4:17pm||Beverly - not a PG by any…||
Beverly - not a PG by any stretch of the imagination. He's essentially a SF in the body of a CG. I personally don't see a great fit there and I imagine the staff feels the same...…...hence no offer.
Watts - his father wants him at Michigan, but his surrounding camp does not. As of now, I think Watts lands somewhere else for a variety of reasons and I'll leave it at that.
Anthony - do it all PG that probably lands somewhere else because Duke, Kentucky and others are involved.
|07/14/2018 - 3:50pm||I'm probably in the great…||
I'm probably in the great minority here, but I don't see Carton as a huge loss.
DJ is a very good prospect, but I don't necessarily think he would've been a great fit at Michigan. A 5'10-5'11 PG/CG with an average shot in an offensive system that is almost entirely half-court (as opposed to heavy usage of transition) just doesn't seem to be an ideal fit.
Frankly, I think Carton probably made a good decision to go elsewhere based on fit and depth chart. And I also think Michigan will be just fine without DJ for the identical reasons.
|06/25/2018 - 5:41pm||As an avid Laker fan, I can…||
As an avid Laker fan, I can attest to Pete's (Laker Film Room) work and the corresponding quality. He is the equivalent of Brian and co. (and frankly held in higher regard by Laker fans) for the Laker community.
The general feeling among casual Laker fans with Mo is slight disappointment, he's not a big name and so he doesn't create buzz in a town that's all about being buzzworthy. He has some obvious holes in his game based on lack of athleticism and defense.
Among the more educated Laker fans (and there is a large contingent), Mo is viewed as a backup center that will should be able to carve out a decent role as a stretch 5 and have a decent career. This segment of the fan base can see his utility based on desired roster construction, but realizes he's not a starter-quality player as he's one-dimensional to a large degree. This segment also gives the Laker scouting department the benefit of the doubt based on their 5 year draft history, which is superb.
My take - I think Mo is a good fit based on team personnel and areas that require improvement, at least on the offensive end. Wagner can provide floor spacing for shot creators such as Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball and Julius Randle. Of course we all know the desired roster includes Lebron and/or Paul George and/or Kawhi Leonard...………….and Mo is the perfect fit to go along side those guys. That said, I don't think Wagner will ever be a starting center on a good team. Its nearly impossible to be a starting center in the league without providing rim protection and the ability to switch on the perimeter absent ELITE offense. We're basically talking DeMarcus Cousins and Mo isn't anywhere near that level.
I think Mo is somewhere between an extremely poor man's version of Brook Lopez (can stretch the floor from distance, but he doesn't provide the rim protection or post offense of Lopez while being 3-4 inches shorter) and Channing Frye (stretches the floor, similar size, but Mo is better in transition and can attack a closeout off the dribble).
|06/22/2018 - 2:19pm||Watts reminds me a bit of a…||
Watts reminds me a bit of a less athletic Taylor Battle (former Penn State star), in that he's a high-volume scorer that can win a game by himself or shoot you out of game by himself.
|06/22/2018 - 12:46pm||Prototype size for a PG is…||
Prototype size for a PG is the 6'4-6'5 range (I.E. Lonzo Ball), but a legit 6'2 is acceptable. Carton measured in at sub 6' without shoes at USA trials.
|06/22/2018 - 11:57am||Jaden was not on campus…||
Jaden was not on campus yesterday.
|06/22/2018 - 11:56am||I've not spoken to Carton in…||
I've not spoken to Carton in a few months, but from things I'm gathering Michigan makes up part of his functional top 3, but Duke is now entering the mix.
Jaden isn't even thinking about visits at this point, his recruitment is likely to a Spring decision. I think that bodes well for us assuming another successful year on the court.
|06/22/2018 - 10:28am||IF is the operative word, I…||
IF is the operative word, I'm not 100% sold that either will come at this point. While the positive talk is focused on his ability to stretch the floor from distance and provide driving lanes for guys like Ingram and Ball (potentially Lebron, PG, Kawhi), the bigger concern in my opinion is defense. Mo simply isn't capable of defending the perimeter in the league on switches and you better believe opposing coaches are going to pick on him relentlessly. He's also a poor post defender that doesn't offer rim protection. To be candid, you simply can't hide him on defense at this point.
So for me it boils down to whether his offense can compensate for his defense. I think in a bench role matching up against second string opposing centers, he has the potential to be a net plus if he's surrounded by the right personnel.
|06/22/2018 - 9:26am||As an avid Laker fan, I don…||
As an avid Laker fan, I don't necessarily like the pick in a vacuum. However, considering desired roster construction (I.E. the potential to add Lebron and/or PG and/or Kawhi), I very much understand adding Mo as a floor spacing//off-ball shooter.
|06/21/2018 - 5:16pm||For clarification purposes,…||
For clarification purposes, Jaden McDaniels is currently in class at Federal Way HS. Classes don’t let out until tomorrow.
|06/21/2018 - 5:05pm||Appears as though this may…||
Appears as though this may be a mistake. Three well connected sources in addition to a very well connected source have informed me Jaden is not on campus currently.
|06/20/2018 - 1:50pm||Zeb differs from the others…||
Zeb differs from the others in that he's not a sub 6' guard............he's a legit 6'2ish, so there is more flexibility there.
|06/13/2018 - 2:14pm||I agree with and disagree…||
I agree with and disagree with (to a certain extent) the sentiment that Michigan has an NBA similar offense.
Michigan absolutely has an NBA type offense in terms of running multiple ball screens with perimeter based players having high-usage accordingly. Michigan also does a great job with weak-side action to mitigate the possibility of helpside defense...........very much NBAish in nature
Where I disagree with Michigan having an NBA type offense is with respect to pace...............simply put we're very methodical and downright slow running our actions while being a low volume transition team.
For some prospects the lack of open-court basketball is a turn-off, and those are typically the elite athletes that thrive the most in those situations.
The NBA is becoming an increasingly fast league where half-court sets simply aren't utilized all that much.
|06/13/2018 - 1:42pm||SDSU doesn't appear to be a…||
SDSU doesn't appear to be a big factor at this point.
|06/13/2018 - 11:34am||Comfort is certainly a plus,…||
Comfort is certainly a plus, but the bigger factor is the ability to showcase translatable skill at his position for NBA purposes. I can't think of any other school in the country that will allow him to do that better than Michigan.
|06/13/2018 - 11:18am||I think Michigan's biggest…||
I think Michigan's biggest advantage is the 'proof is in the pudding' argument. We've let DJ Wilson and Mo Wagner play perimeter-based games and being candid about it, McDaniels has far more talent than either Wilson or Wagner at the same stage. Don't think its hard for Jaden to envision himself playing a perimeter role in Ann Arbor.
To answer your other question, I don't think there's any doubt McDaniels is likely a one and done. His upside is off the charts.............he measured in at 6'9 without shoes at the USA trials. Take that in conjunction with his skillset and athleticism and he has the look of a prototype SF at the NBA level.
|06/13/2018 - 11:11am||Not even in person, just a…||
Not even in person, just a phone call.
|06/13/2018 - 11:11am||He's in no rush and I think…||
He's in no rush and I think that bodes well for Michigan. With the returning roster and incoming class, its likely we have a strong season. Probably looking at a Spring decision as of right now