Points
256.00

Date Title Body
11/29/2018 - 4:49pm (No subject)

11/19/2018 - 11:04am I'm bored, so I went…

I'm bored, so I went casually looking around for data-driven thoughts on weather and football. A lot of people overstate things with statistics regarding sports or overstate the "coaches are so DUMB" to a hilarious degree as many people do when attempting to apply population statistics to individual cases but looking at the data is still the right first step.

Post 1

Background: This post does a decent job outlining how difficult it is to really talk about precipitation and football data right now, with things such as "raining in the first and third quarters and half of the fourth quarter" not really being recorded in publicly available data and other caveats (coaches adjusting play calling mix -> reset in expected play outcomes e.g. if you only pass once a game you might expect a really high YPA due to the surprise factor). Think along the lines of MSU-UM last year and "passing while we've got a break from the rain." Not a lot of data and not high quality data.

Conclusions: The heavier the rain, starting with light rain, the worse a passing offense is by completion percentage and YPA. Teams also pass less than they usually do.

Post 2

Background: Actually an expansion on the above post, this post dives a little further into how rain impacts performance in the passing game and some numbers on how running games are impacted.

Conclusions: Again we see completion percentage and YPA drop, and some data supporting a theory that this is due to it being harder to throw and it being harder to catch. Interestingly, we also see that yards per carry and avoided tackles per carry for running backs go up the more intensely it rains, though they also fumble much more often.

Post 3

Background: This at first brush looks like it might be a perhaps poor application of complicated statistical models by Stanford undergrads in a sports analytics statistics class in a powerpoint, not a paper, so nothing to write home about as at best we're missing a lot of context. They do present the detailed level outputs of their models if you want to look. This presentation was actually referenced by a WaPo article by their sports analytics person. Does use fancystats as input which could make conclusions more meaningful.

Conclusions: Statistics are hard, so papers are much better than powerpoints. Their results show rain and turf helping a home team score more and an away team score less, and increasing the amount of more points a home team scores than an away team, all with various levels of statistical significance. Also, all of that home-vs-away might just be meaningless from an actionable conclusion standpoint if the fancystat inputs don't account for generic home field advantage.

05/23/2018 - 5:48pm hundredth percentile you say.

hundredth percentile you say. Hmm.

01/16/2018 - 6:38pm I'm guessing this person is

I'm guessing this person is replying on the app to a user that's been banned and the non-app people can't see the post they are replying to

12/03/2017 - 10:56am What I'm about to say has

What I'm about to say has nothing directly to do with if USC is deserving or not, nor whether the committee might actually put them in or not, but a possible reason why you aren't hearing about them much. You may have noticed that Wannstedt mentioned USC once during halftime and no other Fox commenters acknowledged that but instead returned to OSU and Bama, and then after the game Wannstedt didn't mention USC at all when asked basically the same question.

From Wikipedia:

"It {The Pac 12 Network} is the third sports network to be devoted to a specific collegiate athletic conference (after the Big Ten Network and the now-defunct MountainWest Sports Network) and the first to be owned by a conference outright without support from outside companies (Fox Entertainment Group owns 49% of Big Ten Network, while MountainWest Sports Network had CBS and Comcast as partners, and SEC Network is wholly owned by ESPN)."

11/15/2017 - 9:13pm I'll allow it.

I'll allow it.

10/20/2017 - 9:19pm EDIT: oops, too many beers.

EDIT: oops, too many beers. sadly, "too many" is like 2 these days, and shitty sam adams

03/05/2017 - 10:43pm I don't think this is

I don't think this is happening here, but it's also possible that he personally couldn't be as effective as a CB at the higher weight and that was his main goal. David Boston in the pros as one example.

02/12/2017 - 6:22pm I think the idea is that if

I think the idea is that if it wasn't the Michigan defense causing them to go 4-21 it was something else, and people are reading that as "because they just suck at shooting" instead of "randomly having an off-day" because that's the most fun way to read it.

Somewhat similar to some of the people who didn't like "winning is just a statistic" because they chose to read it uncharitably. In that case Funchess probably meant "don't be a results-ist," which is a completely reasonable thing to say, even if he was also wrong about the underlying situation.

02/10/2017 - 10:34pm Friendlier

12/31/2016 - 6:03pm it's possible that's not a

it's possible that's not a preferred throw for our QB(s) or WR(s) too, not every QB or tall WR are (is?) the same

11/28/2016 - 9:17pm Also one of the offsides

Also one of the offsides penalties, i think on Hurst, the center clearly shook his upper body before Hurst launched into him. And on OSU's first big zone read run, our DT (Glasgow or Godin) saw their guard or center jump on his back after we broke through the line right at the mesh point. I get missing calls, but these are either the person holding the ball or the play 5 feet away from it...

11/26/2016 - 5:43pm the neutrals seem to agree

the neutrals seem to agree with harbaugh...

11/25/2016 - 10:43pm AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

11/06/2016 - 9:19pm They don't usually let the

They don't usually let the janitors weigh in on draft strategy

10/28/2016 - 5:40pm Well this is unrelated, but

Well this is unrelated, but i'd be down to watch Woodson, Moss, and Manning on the same NFL show. That'd be pretty wild. It's not often that most of the heisman finalists share that kind of professional success.

12/30/2015 - 3:55pm Could you clarify your

Could you clarify your opinion on Morris as a quarterback? Not sure you've made it clear yet in this thread. Thanks, I'll hang up and listen.

12/06/2015 - 12:36pm For me this is somewhat

For me this is somewhat simple.

My background: I'm from the Lansing area so most of my friends and classmates were MSU fans. My friend's uncle or cousin was attending U of M when I was 6 or 7, so my one friend and I became Michigan fans. My whole extended family is from Ohio or near it and are huge OSU fans. Growing up, Michigan State was my second favorite team, we would call my uncle if MSU beat OSU etc. I was closer to neutral in hockey actually and attended many games at Munn as I grew up. I've never cared about the sport of basketball, but was more for Michigan than MSU, and football was always definitely Michigan but I cheered for MSU in their other games. My rivalry fun with MSU was mostly betting pops on the game type of thing.

Why I hate MSU: I was a sophomore at Michigan in 2008. I'd always had a friendly rivalry with MSU fans, not really talking too much trash because I liked their team and at that point we were 10-2 against MSU since I knew what was going on (I was 7 in 1996). The turning point for me was after the MSU game when I received > 30 texts from the MSU fans I knew talking nasty, immature, vitriol-filled smack, including from people I barely talked to. I was kind of in shock and had fun reading all those texts that I didn't remember sending in years prior, and that was that for me.

12/05/2015 - 11:43am To expand on this a little

To expand on this a little more, the average QB2 makes something like 2 million per year and the average QB3 is making 600-700 thousand. I don't know that they have that long of a shelf life though, their contracts aren't very guaranteed and they still have to pay agents etc. Not that I'd be sad to find myself in those shoes :).

http://overthecap.com/position/quarterback

12/03/2015 - 2:58pm Do you have a mustache?

Do you have a mustache?

12/10/2014 - 6:02pm Thing is, Wisconsin knows

Thing is, Wisconsin knows that just as much as we do, and they might have timing on their side. If they've got a few candidates that a relatively even in their eyes, they might give an offer with a deadline attached that might be problematic give our (Harbaugh) timeline. Not that this would work, and I'm sure they wouldn't do this to a candidate high on our board.  But if you were the OC at Ohio State and Wisconsin gave you an exploding offer while U of M said "wait til we hear from Harbaugh in January" you'd certainly have to think about it.

09/30/2014 - 11:01am I don't really agree with

I don't really agree with this. I liked Brandon's statement (I'm not a Brandon supporter in general by any means). What would you have him say? He said a lot of the things that people were complaining Hoke didn't say in his press conference as far as changes being implemented and what exactly happened.... I don't know, this still feels like people are mad that the football isn't good so we have to be mad at something.

08/22/2014 - 10:09pm ...Yes

.

.

.

.

.

.

Yes

08/21/2014 - 3:18pm Disagree.

Source:

08/20/2014 - 4:18pm In the last game I remember

In the last game I remember walking away from the TV after we turned the ball over, only to run back in as my friend excitedly shouted that we were kicking for the win! I'm looking forward to playing them again.

Before you scold me for walking away, I'll note that I was about 8 and didn't really know what was going on.

08/16/2014 - 1:06pm I like Man United because

I like Man United because they were the team I could watch on TV / highlights as a kid, and I never looked back from there. I play a lot but don't watch regularly although I enjoy it. I think I might be an interesting case for watching though - I think watching hockey and soccer in person is 1000x better than watching on TV and I'd much prefer watching football at home or the bar than at the big house. Weird!

12/11/2013 - 4:19pm My favorite part of these

My favorite part of these threads is so many people are posbanging so hard that when you click the up arrow on a post near the bottom of thread it goes up like 10 points cuz so many people have hit it since you loaded the page.

11/04/2013 - 8:42pm Montoya starting for the Jets tonight against Detroit too!

Montoya starting for the Jets tonight against Detroit too!

08/29/2013 - 4:36pm "fewer double-teams playing

"fewer double-teams playing next to fellow Michigan commit Lawrence Marshall."

Eh? Do tell.

06/19/2013 - 6:41pm Yeah, shoulda clicked

Yeah, shoulda clicked through. Heh.

06/19/2013 - 6:35pm I'm pretty sure he did this

I'm pretty sure he did this to Kane a few years ago too

08/06/2012 - 4:53pm These jerseys look like they

These jerseys look like they are identifying an element on the periodic table.

http://www.elementsdatabase.com/

04/09/2012 - 10:26am In all honesty, I'd like for

In all honesty, I'd like for you to stay and to make valuable contributions. But, I think maybe take a week off from posting and just lurk, and get used to how the site works (e.g. most one-word comments that say "Lol" are bad). You have plenty of time to reach 100 points before May if that is your goal, no need for so many comments to artificially raise your score. I mean, I've made like 10 comments in the last year but I still read everyday, so it is still possible to participate and have fun with less commenting.I, for one, was legitimately surprised that you had an actual positive goal in mind for reaching 100 points. From your posting habits it seemed like maybe you were trying to get 100 points so you could troll. I don't want to discourage anyone from participating here. I want to stress how important getting to know the lay of the land is before jumping into posting for many people.

I also might recommend having a running diary rather than a new post each day if you do your countdowns as well, so it is all in one place and only shows up once. For what it is worth, I think your picture that you uploaded is actually pretty cool, and your idea could certainly be interesting over the summer if it is well done. I also think you can make it well done if you hang around and understand the personalities here.

Happy posting!

04/08/2012 - 8:41pm No.

For you, the answer is there is no way to upload a photo from a URL on here.

I choose to believe you are some advanced bot made to make comments that are somewhat in context, and someone is using mgoblog as a test site.

02/29/2012 - 6:42pm Could we include the number

Could we include the number of times the player has been tagged in a post, as an additional (though incredibly flawed) interesting metric to gauge how much of an impact they had on the blog?

Also, it looks to me like a puck is going by Hunwick's head in that picture.

12/14/2011 - 7:27pm Hmm. Metaphor, Metaphor,

Hmm. Metaphor, Metaphor, physical act by my count.

12/13/2011 - 7:33pm Craig James killed 5 hoo-Ah

Craig James killed 5 hoo-Ah fuck it

11/25/2011 - 6:42pm beat ohio?

beat ohio?

10/12/2011 - 8:22pm Wisconsin fan?

Wisconsin fan?

05/12/2011 - 8:43pm Well. He could have hit a bad

Well. He could have hit a bad shot because it hurt particularly bad, thus the grimacing. Also, after the 18th, its all over right? so no worries with jumping around

05/09/2011 - 11:55pm

Snowball

Snowball Applecroft

Riley Applecroft

Andrew Applecroft

I've got some winners

04/24/2011 - 12:45pm Hey,

Check out the

Hey,

Check out the PowerPrep software available directly from the GRE website. They offer a practice test or two, using real test questions. No, really, at least a couple of the questions on that test were on my actual GRE. It is also valuable to get a feel for how the questions change as you go along in the test, as the next question is influenced by your performance on the previous one. It can be easy to psyche yourself out when you see an easy question pop up, and this helped me get used to that and not think about it too much. The computer program is the exact same as the one on the real test, so you will be familiar with it. Also, they have a list, somewhere on that site, of every essay question that they have that they could ask. It is pretty long, but will give you an idea of how the questions are shaped in general.

One of my essays on the test was to critique an argument made in a made up essay. The argument was basically that in 1910 there were 8 species of some rodent in Yellowstone park, and now in 1995 there are only 3 species of that rodent, so therefore environmental pollution is contributing greatly to global warming.  I'm pretty sure I could have written forever about that one.

04/11/2011 - 11:57am from what all the guys there

from what all the guys there say, they used to get a solid amount of varsity guys out there to skate back in the day (90's), before the money got too ridiculous to risk getting hurt or something or other

04/10/2011 - 4:43pm Also, there is a University

Also, there is a University club roller hockey team that plays against OSU, MSU indoors in a league and fun stuff like that. Starts in the fall, check it out.

04/01/2011 - 1:41am Yeah, right, and I had a

Yeah, right, and I had a 10-some with 7 chicks, a sock, some grass, and a jelly donut from MSU... I win

12/31/2010 - 12:38am I believe the NCAA has a

I believe the NCAA has a minimum, the Big Ten has a minimum, and Michigan has a minimum, each higher than the previous.  If a player is above the NCAA and Big Ten minimum, but below the school minimum, they go in front of a board of professors/administrators to plea their case to be eligible to play. This was what the controversy a few years ago was about, because the members of this board are given all expenses-paid trips to these bowl games, which they might not get if they didnt allow certain players to play causing the team to lose more games. So it could be a conflict of interest...i guess

12/23/2010 - 12:31am Might be difficult once we

Might be difficult once we get below 200...

11/09/2010 - 7:01pm lol

lol @ "splash his money shot on them"

11/09/2010 - 12:51pm Stroh's before hoes!

Stroh's before hoes!

11/05/2010 - 1:10pm Hidden point totals

I'm not sure about hiding point totals. It makes sense for voting, but sometimes when I am in a hurry or a thread has a lot of stupid/repetitive posts I'll scroll through and only read the higher point total posts.