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Date Title Body
11/11/2018 - 2:25pm What happened to Petrino? I…

What happened to Petrino? I know he's a garbage human being, but he's always been a good coach. Why is Louisville so bad? 

11/06/2018 - 10:41am I think Shea is outstanding…

I think Shea is outstanding and has the tools to be a Heisman finalist, but the way we utilize him right now doesn't seem conducive to even being considered as a Heisman candidate. We run on like 70% of our plays or something like that, with him accounting for a small fraction of those. Again, he is outstanding and excels almost every time we use him, but we don't use him that much and Heisman finalists have gaudy stats.  

11/01/2018 - 1:25pm I'd take Hoke as DL coach in…

I'd take Hoke as DL coach in a heartbeat, but I don't think it would ever happen. I could be wrong. 

11/01/2018 - 1:07pm First, let me preface this…

First, let me preface this by saying that I agree with you and I hope he retires at Michigan. With that said, he was actually pretty damn good as a head coach. From Wikipedia:

In 2004, Brown returned to UMass to take over as its head coach. During his tenure as head coach from 2004 to 2008, UMass posted the best five-year record in school history, 43–19.[2] In his first year, he led the Minutemen to a 6–5 record, including victories over fourth-ranked Colgate, seventh-ranked New Hampshire, and ninth-ranked Maine. During 2005, Brown led UMass to a 7–2 start and a final ranking of #19. That year, the Minutemen defeated fourth-ranked James Madison and handed Delaware their worst home loss in two decades, 35–7.[1]

In 2006, Brown led Massachusetts to the Atlantic 10 conference championship and a finish as runners-up to the national championship. They ended the season ranked No. 2 with a 13–2 record. At home, he set a school record with a perfect 8–0 record in McGuirk Stadium. That season, Brown was named the AFCA Region I Coach of the Year, Atlantic 10 Coach of the Year, and New England Football Coach of the Year.[1]

In 2007, UMass again won its conference as a member of the Colonial Athletic Association. The team advanced to the semifinals and finished the season with a No. 6 final ranking.

10/28/2018 - 1:29am If you're big on Ghost Wars…

If you're big on Ghost Wars and Directorate S, you should check out Legacy of Ashes by Tim Weiner. 

10/28/2018 - 1:26am I endorse this comment. Your…

I endorse this comment. Your local library has a ton of audiobooks that you can rent for free with your smartphone. 

10/24/2018 - 12:20am I think what we're going to…

I think what we're going to do to Rutger will be obscene and not suitable for young children.

10/21/2018 - 7:44pm I saw him in the game for a…

I saw him in the game for a play. Not sure if he played more than that, but we didn't target him. 

10/21/2018 - 1:09pm Their big, impressive win…

Their big, impressive win against TCU is turning out to not be impressive at all. TCU kind of stinks this year. 

10/21/2018 - 12:24pm Nope, no adjustments for…

Nope, no adjustments for these stats. Just the raw numbers. 

10/21/2018 - 12:15pm It was easy to miss, but…

It was easy to miss, but Tarik played a down yesterday. 

10/21/2018 - 12:14pm #1 is Temple, so definitely…

#1 is Temple, so definitely a different caliber of opponent.

10/21/2018 - 12:05pm With Wisconsin, it's…

With Wisconsin, it's important to remember that they play at a slow pace. Because of this, traditional stats that don't adjust for the number of plays underrate their offense and overrate their defense. 

10/21/2018 - 12:02pm Some more stats:

Defense:

Some more stats:

Defense:

 
Opponent rushing ypc: 
2. MSU 
7. Michigan 
22. Notre Dame 
52. Penn State 
70. Indiana 
76. Ohio State 
108. Wisconsin 
118. Rutgers 

Opponent average team passer rating: 
2. Michigan 
8. Notre Dame 
21. Penn State 
39. Wisconsin 
53. Ohio State 
57. Michigan State 
62. Rutgers 
77. Indiana 

Opponent yards per play: 
1. Michigan 
11. Notre Dame 
22. Penn State 
32. Michigan State 
69. Indiana 
79. Ohio State 
91. Rutgers 
92. Wisconsin 

Opponent points per play: 
6. Michigan 
11. Notre Dame 
17. Penn State 
34. Michigan State 
39. Wisconsin 
41. Ohio State 
78. Indiana 
106. Rutgers 
--------------------------------- 
Offense: 


Average team passer rating 
5. Ohio State 
17. Michigan 
33. Notre Dame 
40. Wisconsin 
46. Penn State 
68. Indiana 
130. Rutgers 
97. Michigan State 

Rushing yards per attempt: 
4. Wisconsin 
8. Penn State 
29. Michigan 
53. Ohio State 
61. Indiana 
66. Notre Dame 
89. Rutgers 
120. Michigan State 

Yards per play: 
12. Ohio State 
13. Wisconsin 
15. Penn State 
24. Michigan 
46. Notre Dame 
83. Indiana 
110. Michigan State 
127. Rutgers 

Points per play: 
7. Penn State 
13. Michigan 
14. Ohio State 
23. Wisconsin 
41. Notre Dame 
89. Indiana 
98. Michigan State 
129. Rutgers 

 

10/20/2018 - 6:17pm I'm beginning to see a…

I'm beginning to see a method to the madness wrt the running game. Over the last couple weeks, we've had little success early, but have worn down our opponents over time and run effectively at the end. 

10/19/2018 - 1:54pm WhErE cAn I wAtCh A gAmE oN…

WhErE cAn I wAtCh A gAmE oN tHe MoOn?

10/18/2018 - 2:07pm Their OL was ass last year…

Their OL was ass last year as well, and was not the foundation that built their extremely unlikely 10-win season. I think Lewerke is a solid QB who is throwing to the walking wounded behind an awful OL. 

10/18/2018 - 12:15pm This is true, but Wisconsin…

This is true, but Wisconsin's rush defense hasn't exactly been great this year either. They surrendered over 6 ypc against BYU, so we likely figured we could run on them. 

10/18/2018 - 11:43am If this was anyone other…

If this was anyone other than MSU I would feel very confident about a win. Heavy rain will likely negate their glaring weakness, but will also harm the only way they're able to move the ball. We may be in for a sludge fart.  

 

Advantages for UM:

Abysmal MSU running offense v elite rushing defense

Average MSU passing offense v #1 passing defense

Extremely efficient UM QB v abysmal passing defense

 

Advantages for MSU:

#1 MSU rushing defense v above average rushing offense

Dantonio's black magic against Michigan

 

10/17/2018 - 1:04pm Yup, this. He was an elite…

Yup, this. He was an elite OL coach at OSU but not that great as an OC. 

10/12/2018 - 5:01pm Wisconsin's run defense has…

Wisconsin's run defense has not been that great at all. In their last three games they've given up the following:

Nebraska: 4.6 ypc

Iowa: 4.8 ypc

BYU: 6.8 ypc

Nothing to write home about in general, and just straight up awful against BYU. They padded their stats at the start of the season against two awful non-con opponents and suffered a bunch of injuries. 

10/12/2018 - 12:07pm Hey guys, check out this…

Hey guys, check out this Michigan buttplug that plays the victors when you fart. I bought 30 of them because I love the team so much. 

10/10/2018 - 3:45pm I think against MSU we'll…

I think against MSU we'll have to go straight up air raid, as their rushing defense is impregnable and their secondary is Charmin soft. Wisconsin's defense doesn't appear to be all that great at anything this year other than benefitting from a slow paced offense that prevents high scoring games. I imagine we'll see a balanced attack on Saturday. 

10/10/2018 - 3:37pm In their last few games…

In their last few games their opponents have been able to run the ball. If we ignore the games against tomato cans and just look at when they've played real teams, here's what we have:

  • BYU: 6.8 ypc with their top two runners over 9 ypc
  • Iowa: 4.8 ypc with their two main backs over 5 ypc
  • Nebraska: 4.6 ypc with their main two backs over 5 ypc

This defense doesn't look anything like what they put on the field last year.  

10/10/2018 - 11:59am (No subject)

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10/09/2018 - 2:36pm 9-3 with this year's…

9-3 with this year's schedule is a huge improvement over 8-4 with last year's schedule. 

10/02/2018 - 12:48pm I wonder if this year we're…

I wonder if this year we're seeing some of the 2011 Borges effect at Penn State. Very frequently when a coach who was elite on one side of the ball is fired or leaves, there is some residual skill and discipline that remains in the following year(s).  Everyone knows Borges was not an elite spread option OC, yet we still scored buckets of points in 2011 with Denard Robinson and Fitz Toussaint running a modified version of RichRod's offense before completely losing our ability to run the ball in the following years. 

10/02/2018 - 11:53am And Gene Chizik has a…

And Gene Chizik has a national championship. Having the best OC in the country and the best player in the country in the same year can mask a lot of deficiencies. 

09/28/2018 - 4:45pm Yeah, I wonder what he could…

Yeah, I wonder what he could have been. 5-star recruit with plenty of arm strength, good speed, and a lot of size. He showed many flashes of brilliance (hello 2013, ND, Indiana, Ohio State, and the close to the 2012 season) but got obliterated because of an awful line and long-developing pass plays and was sentenced to one year of Nuss to close out his career.  

09/28/2018 - 4:27pm That 2014 team had redshirt…

That 2014 team had redshirt senior Devin Gardner passing to three NFL receivers and it couldn't score. Breathtaking lack of competence by the offensive staff. 

09/26/2018 - 12:05pm Okay, I need to get some…

Okay, I need to get some work done. Last one. nosferatu.gif

09/26/2018 - 11:34am (No subject)

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09/26/2018 - 1:37am (No subject)

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09/25/2018 - 1:30am The mad scientist Al Borges…

The mad scientist Al Borges opened it up all the time, even when he didn't have the line to support it and it resulted in our QB getting murdered. In 2013 Gardner had several games where he passed for over 300 yards. Let's not forget the heroic 451 passing yard performance against OSU with 4 TDs and no interceptions. 

09/24/2018 - 8:33pm Bad frequently beats good in…

Bad frequently beats good in real life. Anyway, this is weird.

09/23/2018 - 11:49am Let's stop doing this. My…

Let's stop doing this. My projections as a fan have absolutely nothing to do with the performance of college students on a football field. 

09/23/2018 - 10:58am Rutgers got annihilated by…

Rutgers got annihilated by Buffalo and Kansas and doesn't have fans (other than OP, who is probably Chris Ash's mom). I'm dead serious when I say they shouldn't be in the B1G. 

09/21/2018 - 10:53am So USC lost 4 of its top 5…

So USC lost 4 of its top 5 skill players, one of whom was a first-round draft pick quarterback, and is coached by Cali Hoke and it's somehow the RB coach's fault that the offense sucks? I was no fan of Drevno, but come on. RB coaches do not make an offense hum in any way. 

09/18/2018 - 1:16pm I am all for boring games…

I am all for boring games where we pound away against crappy opponents, then opening things up against teams like Wisconsin, PSU, MSU, and OSU. If we don't need to expose Shea to unnecessary hits, we shouldn't. 

09/18/2018 - 1:15pm We won the game by 25 points…

We won the game by 25 points on Saturday. I'm all for airing it out against big-time opponents that threaten us, but there's no need to get Shea blasted against SMU. 

09/16/2018 - 4:39pm 191 yards on 6.8 ypc. 

191 yards on 6.8 ypc. 

09/16/2018 - 4:31pm The results of yesterday…

The results of yesterday made me look more closely at Wisconsin, who many (myself included) likely had listed as a probable loss at the start of the year. Last year Wisconsin was very good and the narrative focused on everything they returned on offense. According to Phil Steele, here's what they return:

Offense: 9 players

Defense: 4 players

The thing that people seem to forget is that Wisconsin's strength under Chryst has not been the offense. Last year their offense was solid, but barely cracked the top 25 of the advanced stats. The year before that it was in the mid-30s. Essentially, Wisconsin lost 2/3 of the backbone of its team and returned most of the supporting cast. After watching them lose at home to BYU, I like our odds of beating them at home.    

09/16/2018 - 1:16am Our top pass catcher last…

Our top pass catcher last year had three touchdown receptions all YEAR. Good to see. 

09/16/2018 - 12:22am DPJ had as many touchdown…

DPJ had as many touchdown catches today as our top pass catcher had all of last YEAR.

09/15/2018 - 11:57pm Michigan was a really ugly 7…

Michigan was a really ugly 7-6 and 5-7 those years. 

09/12/2018 - 7:54pm Last year he was a true…

Last year he was a true freshman who was expected to be the #1 by the end of the season even though freshman receivers almost universally are bad. 

This year we've played two games, and in one of them we leaned heavily on the running game. 

 

 

09/08/2018 - 10:38am Stueber or Hudson and…

Stueber or Hudson and looking okay.

09/08/2018 - 10:01am I imagine the OL recruits…

I imagine the OL recruits are doing the things D1 OL recruits do, which is pushing overmatched kids and generating no statistics.

09/07/2018 - 6:34pm Chryst Bielema's OC, so it's…

Chryst was Bielema's OC, so it's not exactly like they've had whiplash. Alvarez micromanaged the hell out of Andersen while he was there before replacing him with someone from the lineage again. 

09/07/2018 - 5:01pm I'm wondering the same thing…

I'm wondering the same thing. It looks like the receivers are running screens.