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13 years 7 months
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Recent Comments

Date Title Body
thank you for everything…

thank you for everything Brian <3 

No I absolutely do not want…

No I absolutely do not want a role player shooting baseline jumpers. We're in 2020, not 2010. He's gotta stretch to 3 to provide any value on offense.

I'm going to nitpick and…

I'm going to nitpick and expand a bit here (for those who somehow might be interested in this).

The R stands for regularized as you said -- it is a penalty term in a regression to handle outlier weights. In a basketball context, that means that all player ratings are regularized / penalized toward 0, which is not necessarily a league average player. From a Bayesian perspective, this is a non-informative prior. Luckily, we know a few things about basketball so we can avoid regularizing everyone towards 0.

What the BA really does is that it regularizes each player to a different number, and that number is based off a formula that includes box score metrics and team factors.

Because of the way the player ratings are regularized, you wouldn't be able to interpret Teske's 6.7 def rating as "Michigan's defense is expected to allow 6.7 fewer points per game than if he were replaced by an average player" (https://mgoblog.com/comment/243384170#comment-243384170)

My favorite OT idea is do an…

My favorite OT idea is do an auction for starting field position

http://arcticdark.com/fieldpositionauction/index.html

I would suggest doing a bit…

I would suggest doing a bit more research on how the draft works. The Ringer isn't 100% correct, but no one is. There are ways to critique / debate these rankings, but your over-simplistic reductive reasoning isn't it.

this guy has pbp data for

this guy has pbp data for college bball - his scrapers are in the repo too

 

https://github.com/octonion/basketball-m/

I don't know if I'd call that

I don't know if I'd call that first clip a hard hedge. Simmons' defender was still pretty much in front of him when Simmons made the pass -- Haarms doesn't really need to be "helping" there if he's not above the level of the screen and actually forcing Simmons to take a more circuitous route (that would be actual hard hedging)/ 

this is art

this is art

Wow. These are fucking

Wow. These are fucking beautiful. I am on the club triathlon team at UC Berkeley and I am so tempted to order this...colors are similar anyway right? 

I wonder what Brian's record

I wonder what Brian's record against the spread is with these predictions...

Thanks!

Thanks!

Ahinga transferred to UCSB

Ahinga transferred to UCSB I'm pretty sure.

oh math ...

Geometry is a different beast than a lot of other math disciplines. Especially with an honors class, I'd except there are lots of proof problems. Those require a lot mathematical maturity that some people just don't develop until later. 

Let's forget about numbers for a second...

Rich Rod is an innovator and offensive mastermind. He's constantly looking for ways to put his players in advantageous positions on the field. That's what a coach should do. 

Hoke, on the other hand, sits there, talks about fundamentals, and tries to run an offense from the 90s while pretending that technology like headsets don't exist. He's just straight up backwards.

The regression under Hoke and improvement under Rich Rod is expected just by looking at the vastly different styles of these two coaches.

Let's get an innovator for our next coach.

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

***

Morris == Gardner

Meme =/= GIF

Meme =/= GIF

Guys, what is a DREB?

Guys, what is a DREB?

Johnny Manziel is like Tate

Johnny Manziel is like Tate Forcier with Denard's speed and Tom Brady's smarts

I cried when I saw the

I cried when I saw the receiver depth... I love Gallon and Dileo... but we need big targets for those two slot guys to succeed.

Damn. I'm gonna have to agree

Damn. I'm gonna have to agree with AJ Barker here... best player but no scholarship? srsly.

Wofford anyone?

Wofford anyone?

I got stuck and missed the

I got stuck and missed the game. What number was Kovacs given?

I'm not understanding what's

I'm not understanding what's going on with Arizona right now... hmmm

I don't understand... why can

I don't understand... why can State stop Denard but not Martinez?!

I love what Devin did

I love what Devin did today.

 

But will this in any way affect Denard's chances at the NFL?

4 rec - 92 yards vs MIchigan

4 rec - 92 yards vs MIchigan State

ahem.

I'd love for him to break it in the 'shoe

Maybe he can get a standing o on the way out like Harmon? Nah, OSU is too fucking classless.

Give Gibbons your avatar

Give Gibbons your avatar

holyyyy fuckkkk

holyyyy fuckkkk

9 for 14 on fourth down.. ? I

9 for 14 on fourth down.. ? I wish Hoke was this gutsy

Interesting to see Edu listed

Interesting to see Edu listed as a defender... why?

EMU up 7-3 at the half. Go

EMU up 7-3 at the half. Go Eagles!

Spread > MANBALL

Spread > MANBALL

I hope you mean Obi Wan

I hope you mean Obi Wan Kenobi...

Time of Possession

624 yards in 28:04 is impressive

I feel Alabama's

I feel Alabama's overconfidence... #GOBLUE

(are hashtags appropriate here?)

did anyone else read his name

did anyone else read his name as Analzone at first?!

oh freakmaster

oh freakmaster

So is this where the

So is this where the Touchdown celebration came from? Or vice-versa?

Kovacs 2.0

Kovacs 2.0

I think West Virginia would

I think West Virginia would be much more interesting. RR Bowl

i wish jason forcier did this for Michigan a few years ago...

I like.

I like.