This is why we can be sure that an NFL team won't jump in with a mega-offer and derail the Michigan deal.
(TL;DR version: there are a lot of things that need to happen for an NFL team to steal him away at this point, and there isn't enough time for all of those things to happen.)
Based on everything that has been reported and rumored, there are four things of which we can be reasonably certain: 1) Hackett is in the Bay Area as we speak to try to seal the deal, 2) whatever understanding has been reached involves some type of agreement by the 49ers to release Harbaugh from his contract, 3) there is a meeting scheduled between Harbaugh and Hackett at some point after the 49ers' final game today, and 4) as of last night, Harbaugh was sure enough that he wanted to come to Michigan that he gave his close friend Dave Feldman the go-ahead to report the news.
Neither Michigan nor the 49ers want Harbaugh to go to another NFL team, which is why the 49ers would probably only release Harbaugh from his contract if he agrees to take the Michigan job (or at the very least, agrees not to pursue a position with another NFL team). Hackett has probably spoken with the 49ers' brass about extricating Harbaugh from his contract and may have some kind of understanding in place by which Michigan covers all or part of Harbaugh's buyout (or, if there isn't a buyout, pays the 49ers some kind of consideration) on the condition that the 49ers refrain from trying to trade his rights to another NFL team. Thus, I think the meeting scheduled for after the game involves Hackett, Harbaugh (and his agent), AND 49ers representatives.
At that meeting, the written contracts that consummate this three-way understanding will be executed. It's in the interests of both Michigan and the 49ers to hold the meeting as soon as possible after the game ends, preferably before Harbaugh leaves the stadium and ideally immediately after he's done addressing his team and meeting with the media (which is why yesterday's report that Michigan is sending a "crew" to the 49ers game makes sense). Today is game day, and knowing how laser-focused and competitive Harbaugh is, his mind is on the game and only the game.
So, the only way that this could fall through and we lose Harbaugh to the Raiders or another NFL team is if 1) Harbaugh gets cold feet between the end of the game and the meeting, 2) he meets with his agent during that short window and tells him to delay the meeting, 3) his agent delays the meeting, 4) his agent immediately gets on the phone with other teams and is able to come to an agreement with one of them, 5) his agent somehow gets the 49ers to give the other team permission to interview Harbaugh, 6) the team satisfies its Rooney rule obligations, 7) the team and the 49ers agree to a trade, and 8) Hackett and everyone who has lobbied Harbaugh over the past few weeks is unable to sway him back. Keep in mind that if 1, 2, and 3 happen, Hackett will probably give Harbaugh a hard deadline of no more than two days to say yes or no, and that 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 would all need to happen before that deadline. The likelihood of that is extremely small.
In short, I think we can rest assured that this is done.
December 28th, 2014 at 1:58 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 2:32 PM ^
Much better with the update
December 28th, 2014 at 12:04 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:04 PM ^
I didn't read all that (paragraphs dude). However there will not likely be any "hail mary" NFL offers becuase Hackett isn't stupid and almost certainly made a deal with the Niners to keep JH away from other NFL teams. Rememer, the Niners have to give another team permission, which they won't do if they have an agreement with Michigan.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:05 PM ^
@SamWebb77: Per a league source - "Just got word that the Michigan plane is here to take him and his wife to Ann Arbor on Monday." Here = San Francisco.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:09 PM ^
thread worthy IMHO
December 28th, 2014 at 12:15 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:35 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 1:01 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:05 PM ^
I guess that settles it
December 28th, 2014 at 12:05 PM ^
White space, dude...
December 28th, 2014 at 12:05 PM ^
PARAGRAFFS CARNFLABNIT!!!1
December 28th, 2014 at 12:05 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:06 PM ^
My eyeballs hurt now. Thanks Obama!
December 28th, 2014 at 12:06 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:06 PM ^
Sam Webb @SamWebb77 · 12 minutes ago
Per a league source - "Just got word that the Michigan plane is here to take him and his wife to Ann Arbor on Monday." Here = San Francisco.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:06 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:07 PM ^
I think the biggest sign is that all his friends and family are mobilized for this to happen, including hotels and flights to AA for the bball game tuesday. You don't put that many people in motion and then have a quick change of heart.
December 28th, 2014 at 3:35 PM ^
I am not questioning in the sense that I disagree. I am asking because maybe I missed the thread or comments made that coraborate actuall proof that there have been tickets, hotels, etc. purchased by family/friends?
Go Blue!
December 28th, 2014 at 12:07 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^
rabble
December 28th, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^
I'm in. LMK if anything changes. Except for in a negative way.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:09 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 1:02 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 3:38 PM ^
This...This is an interesting theory?
Go Blue!
December 28th, 2014 at 12:16 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:13 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:14 PM ^
is how differently Hackett operates from Dave Brandon. Brandon engaged in a long series of poorly thought-out moves--among them, the deal with Notre Dame that allowed them to back out of the series with one more home game than UM. Why he would he have agreed to a contract that would allow that?
(scratches head incredulously)
December 28th, 2014 at 12:46 PM ^
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December 28th, 2014 at 12:14 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:15 PM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
December 28th, 2014 at 12:16 PM ^
He's quoting Glazer, FWIW.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:25 PM ^
"@mikefreemanNFL: Again, no one is saying Harbaugh isn't going to Michigan. Looks like he is. Just saying no firm deal in place yet. Calm yourselves."
December 28th, 2014 at 12:18 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 1:37 PM ^
The ONLY jet Harbaugh better have anything to do with is a blue and maize colored one waiting on the tarmac to wisk him away to A2.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:14 PM ^
JH would not have been finalizing an agreement if he was open to other offers. He would have waited a couple days before finalizing the Michigan offer.
Also, should he back out now he would compromise his reputation to the point that no one would trust what he has to say.
He is coming.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:17 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:17 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:19 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:21 PM ^
ESPN/NFL guys still asserting no deal is done (and even that the Raiders still have a chance).
All with the Michigan plane sitting in the hangar, ready to fly.
Odds that Harbaugh wears Maize and Blue to his last presser?
December 28th, 2014 at 12:24 PM ^
NBR = Negged Before Read
December 28th, 2014 at 12:31 PM ^
NAC = Negged Asshole Comment
December 28th, 2014 at 12:37 PM ^
Angry response to comment.
December 28th, 2014 at 12:50 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:51 PM ^
December 28th, 2014 at 12:29 PM ^