Week One CFB Lines

Submitted by jamiemac on May 14th, 2012 at 10:04 AM

Hey all. Hope everyone has had a great offseason so far and have an awesome summer planned. Havent been around much, but I am fixing to change that, so you're warned.

Believe it or not, but there are some spreads out for college games right now. Not that many. By this time next month, we'll have over 200 games with a line. As of now, all I can find are 10 games from Week 1 available to play at 5Dimes. I just posted over at the JCB about these games, but I figured I would list them here and see if we cant 1.) get any discussion going and B.) see if we can asscertain if there's any sort of consensus on anything this early in the game.

South Carolina -10 at Vandy (Thursday)

NC State +6.5 vs Tenn (nuetral site)(Friday)

Boise +6.5 at Mich State (Friday)

Navy +13.5 vs Notre Dame (Dublin)

Marhsall +21.5 at WVA

Auburn +5 at Clemson

Southern Miss +13 at Brasker

MICH +14 vs Bama (Dallas)

Kentucky +10 at LVille (Sunday)

Georgia Tech +9 at Virginia Tech (Monday Night)

Any thoughts? Any best bets? BOOK IT. Or something. Still more than 100 days to go. Not sure if I will make it......

Comments

Noleverine

May 14th, 2012 at 10:09 AM ^

Boise over State. They always do well in the beginning of the season. They DO have a lot to replace but so does State. I think Boise surprises them.

rbgoblue

May 14th, 2012 at 10:24 AM ^

State really lucked out in playing Boise THIS year.  I don't think they will be as sharp as years past after having to replace 20! starters, including the winningest QB in college football history and a first round NFL draft pick at RB.

BlueTimesTwo

May 14th, 2012 at 12:49 PM ^

Yeah, they had six players drafted, and one that wasn't drafted set the record for wins as a college QB.  Then again, look at what they have done for the last few years with one (!) four-star recruit on their entire team.  Petersen is an amazing coach, and I wouldn't bet against them.

Also keep in mind that they have a lot of non-starters that got a lot of PT during their many blowouts last year.  It is not like they have to play an entire team of freshmen or anything.  I would consider BSU-MSU a push, even at MSU.

jamiemac

May 14th, 2012 at 10:10 AM ^

For some reason, I am bullish on Vandy. I like those 10 points

I feel the Vols are a mess. I could see myself buying those 6.5 points with NC State

And......Georgia Tech, I love their coach catching points and have always liked this program catching points. I dont know. I might like that. Not sure

And a 7-point teaser: MSU +0.5 over Boise/Mich +21 over Alabama. Hey, i should make a post on that one, me thinks

MGoWangler

May 14th, 2012 at 10:24 AM ^

Also, I think WVU will be a hell of a team this year. Marshall is a rivalry game, and a bowl team last year, but I think WVU will put up a ton of points. Three TD might not be enough.

severs28

May 14th, 2012 at 10:24 AM ^

Auburn +5 at Clemson.  Auburn is returning a ton of starters from a very young team last year.  Sammy Watkins will probably be suspended that game as well.  

 

Also surprised to see State an almost td favorite over Boise.  

ctmaizenblue

May 14th, 2012 at 10:31 AM ^

I agree ND will put a pounding on Navy.  Kelly likes to do that when he can, and ND may feel they owe one more year of payback on 2010. 

I believe Hoke will have michigan ready for Dallas. I do not believe Michigan will fall behind by 14 to Bama at any point in the game.

Love when sparty gets no respect at home. 

BlueTimesTwo

May 14th, 2012 at 12:55 PM ^

Right, but they are at home, so they are basically considered 3.5 points better than a MWC team that is replacing nearly all of their starters.  I know that MSU lost a ton of talent as well, but they are the defending champs in our division.  It is not exactly a ringing endorsement of their ability to "reload," especially for a team that is now recruiting intergalactically.

TrppWlbrnID

May 14th, 2012 at 10:32 AM ^

i like clemson giving 5 at home to auburn who will be without malzahn for the first time

i also like VaTech with the points over GaTech. i think with the entire fall to prepare for the option, VT will be able to handle that spread.

i like boise to cover, but lose to sparty.

WestCBlue

May 14th, 2012 at 11:09 AM ^

'Bama smoked LSU by 20 but it wasn't really close.

I suspect by game time we will be +17 or more.

I still wouldn't touch it unless it gets over +21.

That game is not shaping up well for us.

MGoLogan

May 14th, 2012 at 11:43 AM ^

Why is the game not shaping up well for us?  Just because they are Alabama?  I, personally, would be shocked if they win by more than 10.  They are breaking in something like 15 new starters, and have a real lack of playmakers at the WR position.  They will most likely be able to run at will, but I feel that our offense will be able to move the ball as well.  It is greatly to our advantage that we play them the first game of the year, when you consider all of their new starters.

WolverineinDallas

May 14th, 2012 at 1:06 PM ^

I appreciate your optimism, but I would be shocked if they don't win by more than ten. In fact, I will be very happy if we lose by ten points. We simply do not have the talent nor the depth at key positions yet. In two years, I will be much more confident about games like these, but right now we just don't have the talent and depth to compete with teams like Alabama for the entire duration of a football game.

Our wide receivers are mediocre at best. We are an injury or two away from being a disaster on the o-line, and our defesive line is down three starters from last year--with no proven commodities. Also, did you watch our game against Virginia Tech last year? Our offense could not do anything against them. Do you really think we will do any better against Bama's defense?

Trebor

May 14th, 2012 at 3:15 PM ^

Yeah, I tend to agree. Alabama is at the point where they just reload everywhere. We're just finally starting to get past the rebuild phase. Sugar Bowl or not, we weren't a very high-quality 11 win team last year - a lot of luck went into that record.

Alabama's OL scares the hell out of me. They've got a lot of excellent and huge players there, and we'll be breaking in a whole new DL. Even if Lacy isn't healthy for that game, they've got some great-looking RBs in Hart and Yeldon. I suspect they'll run it down our throats, and I'm not entirely sure there's a whole lot we can do about it. I think our secondary matches up decently enough against the passing game, but Kovacs is going to have to live in the box to help out the run defense.

We have basically no outside WR presence, and if you're holding out hope for Devin Gardner to be the answer, then that should scare your damn pants off. We have a decent OL, but outside of Lewan it's not that spectacular. Bama lost a lot on defense, but they have a lot to choose from in terms of replacement. I mean, where do you see the mismatch that we'll be able to exploit: http://alabama.rivals.com/cdepthtext.asp? We might move the ball a bit on the ground because Denard and Toussaint do make for a very good backfield tandem, but there's not a coach in the country who gameplans as well as Saban does. I would be very surprised if he doesn't adopt the Michigan State strategy of blitz-blitz-blitz and dare Denard to throw to one of our array of undersized receivers. With Milliner and Lester patrolling the secondary.

I'll hope for the best, but put a gun to my head and I'll bet on Bama (-14) every time.

gopoohgo

May 14th, 2012 at 12:08 PM ^

Will root like hell for Navy against ND (live pretty close to Annapolis).

Not sure the middies will be blown out:

1) No Floyd
2) No Lynch
3) This year's Navy QB has a decent arm in addition to the fact he's fast as hell (not Denard fast, but very good running skills); do not think Navy will go 5-13 passing this year against a young, suspect secondary
4) Not in South Bend

Ziff72

May 14th, 2012 at 1:06 PM ^

New QB going on the road against a strong defense.   State is going to murder Boise.  I don't like it one bit that they got to avoid Moore and Company but I will profit from it.   Boise lost a ton of talent is due for a dip.  This will begin it.