Week 13 Opening Lines - Rivalry Edition (Michigan +4.5)

Submitted by Leaders And Best on November 18th, 2012 at 5:28 PM

Rivalry week is upon us.

Week 13 Opening Lines:

#20 Michigan +4.5 @ #4 Ohio (Sat 12:00pm ET ABC)

 

TCU +8.5 @ #18 Texas (Thurs 7:30pm ET ESPN)

#17 Nebraska -14.5 @ Iowa (Fri 12:00pm ET ABC)

#5 Oregon -13 @ #16 Oregon State (Sat 3:00pm ET Pac-12 Network)

#6 Florida OTB @ #10 Florida State (Sat 3:30pm ET ABC) Jeff Driskel status?

#24 Oklahoma State +9 @ #14 Oklahoma (Sat 3:30pm ET ESPN)

#11 Stanford +1.5 @ #15 UCLA (Sat 6:30pm ET FOX)

#13 South Carolina +4 @ #12 Clemson (Sat 7:00pm ET ESPN)

#1 ND OTB @ USC (Sat 8:00pm ET ABC) Matt Barkley-Doubtful?

 

 

 

 

Comments

ciszew

November 18th, 2012 at 5:38 PM ^

...by the mich line. I thought that it would have been +3, +3.5 at the most. Buckeyes are notorious for putting a lot of money on OSU that influence the spread. I am biased being a mich fan and I don't ever bet on them. But Mich is probably the best bet on the board. You watch, the sharps are going to bet blue ATS or maybe even play the moneyline. Mich is a bad match up for the bucks in almost every way. 4.5 is a ton of points to give such a balanced team.

Leaders And Best

November 18th, 2012 at 5:47 PM ^

Stanford is +1.5 pt underdog at UCLA. UCLA has already clinched their division while Stanford has not. If Stanford wins, these teams wil play a rematch a week later at Stanford. If UCLA wins, they will play at Oregon if Oregon beats Oregon State. I think UCLA may have some added motivation to tank the game if Oregon is winning in the early game. Not to mention Stanford is the better team in most computer rankings and has more motivation needing to win the game to get into the Pac-12 Championship.

snarling wolverine

November 18th, 2012 at 5:52 PM ^

Look at it this way: Ohio is an 11-0 team playing at home against an 8-3 team that will probably start its backup QB.  I think Vegas is showing us a lot of respect here.

Now, I certainly think we can win, and Devin Gardner is much better than the average backup QB (I think he could have been All-Big Ten if he'd played all year) . . . but I would not have expected us to be favored here.

LSAClassOf2000

November 18th, 2012 at 5:58 PM ^

For the sportsbooks, I think the +4.5 line pretty much guarantees them a ton of bets on both sides of this matchup. I am almost more intrigued to see how this will move by Wednesday or Thursday as the Game approaches. From what I understand, they folks who set lines consider many more items aside from computer modeling, but the Sagarin ratings out today would predict the Buckeyes to be favored by 4.73 points (slightly less than 3 points if you use the "Predictor" numbers). It sounds pretty reasonable for Vegas and from the standpoint of the raw record (11-0 vs. 8-3) for both teams, I would think. 

turd ferguson

November 18th, 2012 at 5:43 PM ^

You beat me to it.  Negged, though, for not including the lines for Rutgers and Maryland.  Clearly you don't understand who our rivals are. 

(Maryland, by the way, is +23 at UNC.  Thanks, Jim Delany.)

yigit

November 18th, 2012 at 8:02 PM ^

I got Michigan at +5.5 on sportsbetting.com and took them.  I usually prefer to bet against Michigan that way when we lose I don't feel quite as suicidal, but I couldn't refuse 5.5.

Soulfire21

November 18th, 2012 at 8:33 PM ^

Ohio State looked rather pedestrian against Wisconsin, so, I do think there's hope.  I'm surprised the line is this close, I thought it'd be OSU by more than that given they are 11-0 and the game is at the Toiletbowl Shoe.