Updated 2017 National Championship Odds

Submitted by The Mad Hatter on February 16th, 2016 at 10:50 AM

Bovada currently has Michigan tied with Clemson at 15-2 odds to win the National Championship next season.  Now I'm not much of a gambler, but I'm pretty sure that means we're almost guaranteed to win it.

Ohio State: 6-1
Alabama: 7-1 
Clemson: 15-2 
Michigan: 15-2 
LSU: 14-1 

 

MSU is at 25-1.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/eye-on-college-football/25484611/vegas-oddsmakers-believe-in-michigan-lsu-vols-among-title-favorites

Comments

LSAClassOf2000

February 16th, 2016 at 12:15 PM ^

My building is a remote location but it has a pretty good, fast connection to our downtown headquarters, so we don't usually have too many issues with the physical connection. There are also three separate wireless networks that anyone could theoretically leech from as well, although one of them is strictly for our connection to field personnel. 

The trade-off here is that cell service sucks because of the gigantic microwave antenna which allows this building to operate as a Regional Operations Center in a pinch. 

Truthbtold

February 16th, 2016 at 10:22 PM ^

That OSU has the best Coaching a staff in Foorball and is loaded with talent. It's a formula that is highly likely to produce a Nat'l Champ in any given year. I don't expect UM fans to understand, so don't worry yourself. I'm sure Harbaugh will take UM to a NC game to get beat at least once before he quits.

westwardwolverine

February 16th, 2016 at 11:11 AM ^

I don't doubt they will be very good, but given all they lost it seems a bit of a stretch to say they should be the favorites to win the national title. 

This will sound homerish, but it really isn't: Michigan should be the favorite to win the Big Ten and thus the Big Ten team most likely to win the NT. 

Brihj

February 16th, 2016 at 11:58 AM ^

The only way they have a legitimate chance to win the championship is if they have one hell of a defense. I dont see any possible way that their running game is anywhere near as good as it was with Zeke and i know they still have good recievers but their qb is still jt barrett and most of the time he is a running the option rather than passing. They are gonna have to have a very dominant defense next year. They usually have a good d, but i mean better than it usually is.

UMichStudent2019

February 16th, 2016 at 4:38 PM ^

Yes, they're loaded with talent. Yes they will be very good. I don't think anyone will dispute that. But they won't be the best, especially in terms of most likely to win the National Championship. Disregarding all other teams' odds listed above, I think it's already pretty crazy to give OSU 6-1 odds. Throw in the odds of other teams listed, and that 6-1 makes even less sense, in my opinion. Maybe I'm biased, but I think I'm also pretty reasonable.

ztrain2323

February 16th, 2016 at 11:08 AM ^

This doesn't mean that bovada thinks Ohio State has the best chance to win, it means it's all based on how the general public is betting and the odds will be updated accordingly so the teams get an equal number of dollars bet on them.  What this means is that the general public has bet the most money Ohio State to this point so lower the payout will decrease the betting on them.

GoBlue

February 16th, 2016 at 12:37 PM ^

At this point the odds seem to be weighted much more on the liklihood to get to the 4-team playoff.  If you are willing to assume that any SEC west team has a higher likihood of a conference loss than OSU, then OSU is much more likely to get to the playoff, thus a much higher chance of winning it.

I'm not saying that I think OSU should or should not be the favorite, but the choices aren't OSU or the SEC west champ, its OSU vs each specific SEC west team who may or may not even make the playoff.

Wolfman

February 16th, 2016 at 1:01 PM ^

but as an astute poster explains below, there is a big difference between odds and actual favorite. At this point, we can safely assume that more money has been bet on OSU, therefore, the necessity to lower the return on the dollar if these bettors actually are fortunate enough to predict the winner at this point.

I would have to think that Clemson, already having answered the question all analysts ask going in to every season (do they have solid qb play?), and what was their perceived weakness going into last season, inexperience, and the opposite of that this season, they would have to be favored by the best students of the game, those that really dig deep.

They are returning the nation's best qb and a shit ton of talent on both sides of the ball. And thinking back on the NC game, I think the major difference in that game was STs play on the part of Bama. Of course, because the NC game always coincides with tequila season for me, there is a fair likelihood almost any poster on this site recalls more about that game than I do. 

Although I think right now we have a decent chance of playing for the BIG title next season, especially after the coaches were allowed the time to refine aspects of the game during bowl season, something the regular season does not allow enough time for. Our players will have a heightened amount of Swag going into year two, but until O'Korn answers the questions we all have, I am going to keep those chances at decent.

blueneverquits

February 16th, 2016 at 12:57 PM ^

They should be heavily favored in every game they play until they Michigan, who they get at home.  Despite losing nearly their entire team, they return their QB.  That will be plenty for Meyer, who has that roster loaded with talent despite the departures.  All that said, while I think their odds of reaching the playoff are very high, I think their odds of winning it are low.

FauxMo

February 16th, 2016 at 11:28 AM ^

Seriously, go look at some mock drafts. They have 5 or 6 first rounders leaving. And fourteen (FOURTEEN) kids that have been invited to the combine. How that team lost at home to MSU is beyond me. Urban should be ashamed of himself. But being ashamed requires a conscience, and after Florida and Aaron Hernandez, I doubt he has one...

FauxMo

February 16th, 2016 at 11:32 AM ^

As much as I hate to write this, I will... If I were a gambler, I would take Alabama every year at whatever odds to win it all, at least until Nick Saban retires or there appears any kind of evidence he is slipping...

Franz Schubert

February 16th, 2016 at 1:17 PM ^

Continue to exist. If it's that simple man, bet against Michigan and you are guaranteed to win right? Nope. The most overstated myth ever is that odds are not determined by anything more than an attempt to get even money on each side. If this was true and lines were skewed against teams with large fan bases a person could simply bet against said teams and profit. It's not that simple people, just think about it.

Bambam

February 16th, 2016 at 11:06 AM ^

Aren't these odds adjusted based on which team is getting the most bets to win it all? Might explain them putting OSU as the favorite, more people are betting on them.

Franz Schubert

February 16th, 2016 at 1:22 PM ^

First of all these are not individual games and any real money on a future bet like this is coming in from the sharps which means it's reflective of what the most knowledgable people think right now. There are not a bunch of fans betting enough money to move odds this early.