November 27th, 2011 at 9:33 PM ^

drop to 16th with even a 1 point loss. WI would drop to 18.

LSU will beat Georgia like a drumb...may be by 30 + points. Georgia will be in a free fall.

OU lost several of it's skilled offensive players.  I don't see them keeping up with OSU.

We will be 12th or 13th in the BCS this time next Sunday.

swan flu

November 27th, 2011 at 8:26 PM ^

we can hope for LSU to blowout Georgia and for Wisco to blow out State.. That would put us at 14. 


And for good measure we can root for Oklahoma State to put a hurt on Oklahoma.


we'll make it to 14


November 27th, 2011 at 8:26 PM ^

If im looking at this correctly, we only have 1 legitimate scenario to get us in ... LSU beats Georgia AND Ok. State bests OU. Wisconsin will jump us if they win. MSU will stay ahead of us if they win. UCLA will not beat Oregon. We can pray for Iowa State to beat Kansas St but that's praying... I dunno ...


November 27th, 2011 at 8:28 PM ^

One of MSU and Wisco will drop behind us next week, so essentially, we're 15th. As long as LSU beats Georgia, we're in the top 14. Okie St. beating OU and Houston losing also helps us. And if K-State loses to Iowa State, which is possible, we have an even better chance.

SF Wolverine

November 27th, 2011 at 8:31 PM ^

Is that BCS does not use the Sagarin "predictor" ratings -- which Sagarin himself says are the most accurate representation of what is likely to happen on the field. The "other" Sagarin ratings really hit Michigan, and seem to love the B12 this year. That said, if things play out as they should, we should catch 14th.


November 27th, 2011 at 8:34 PM ^

Here's what could very well happen and I would love it: Wiscy wins and goes to Rose Bowl. Then we get picked for a BCS at large spot over Sparty even though they finished higher than us because we are a sexier draw. Sparty's inferiority complex that even a head to head winning streak can't cure will grow even more. Dantonio will be walking around with an eye twitch next year.


November 27th, 2011 at 8:32 PM ^

Folks, 10wins now doesn't mean what it did in the 90s. Schedules are too watered down. I think there are what 15-16 10+win teams??

The Big Ten being seen as down based on last years bowls and the regular season doesn't help. If you look at our schedule we had 8 home games and only beat one ranked team. Nothing special.

If we get the sugar great, if not then thats fine. I would almost rather we go take care of business vs a top tier SEC team then play houston. Sugar or not. Its all about respect, and you get it by beating good teams. Lets just let the polls do their thing and take care of business on teh field,



November 27th, 2011 at 8:45 PM ^

If the worst case scenario is the B1G gets more favorable bowl matchups and we go to the Capital One Bowl to face an SEC team, I'm a happy man. Hoke uber alles.


November 27th, 2011 at 8:47 PM ^

If Baylor beats a ranked Texas, they will jump us.  So we need two of three following:


1.  Texas beats Baylor

2.  LSU beats Georgia

3, OK State beats Ok

One of MSU/Wisco will drop beneath us.  I feel good about LSU, the other two are toss-ups.  So fingers crossed...


Red is Blue

November 27th, 2011 at 9:01 PM ^

LSU beats Georgia is most important as it is possible LSU stays at #2 with a loss and SEC gets 3 BCS bids.  This would be a double whammy as not only would Georgia stay in front of us, there might be one less at large BCS spot.

I'd also add Iowa State beating K State as another possibility.

These seem less likely to be beneficial as they are not likely to happen or it may not mean the loser falling behind Michigan, but Oregon losing to UCLA, Houston or Boise losing to their respective tomatoe cans would also be beneficial. 


November 27th, 2011 at 9:22 PM ^

Baylor is already 2 ahead of us in the computers.  Even with a win won't go up that much more in other polls.  Key game is LSU, rest will take care of itself.  

I'm hoping for a Houston loss, then we can play in Sugar Bowl against a much better opponent.  Thus better ratings and more national attention.