TomVH: Update on ATH Kris Frost and WR Devin Lucien

Submitted by TomVH on January 17th, 2011 at 9:41 PM

I just caught up with 4 star ATH Kris Frost. He told me has spoken to Brady Hoke, and that the Michigan staff will be coming down for an in home visit. He's not sure what the date will be, but it will be soon.

Frost hasn't heard yet from Auburn on whether or not they'll accept him. They told him they're waiting to see who goes pro to see if they have room. If they say no Michigan has a great shot.

Unfortunately Michigan is out of the running with California WR Devin Lucien. Chris Singletary called Devin today and said that Michigan will recruit him for defense, and Lucien doesn't want that. He said, "It killed my heart, because you know how I felt about Michigan." At one point Lucien had told me he was just waiting to make sure his scholarship would be honored and he would commit to Michigan. They told him this morning that they want him as a defensive back.

Comments

Magnus

January 17th, 2011 at 10:30 PM ^

My guess is that they're trying to build a rapport/pipeline in Florida, where Michigan has had considerable success in recent years.  They might not intend to get those two guys, but they can at least say, "Hey, Mr. 2012/2013 Recruit, we recruited your former teammates."

kmedved

January 17th, 2011 at 10:35 PM ^

I think the Lucien situation may be as simple as Hoke not believing that Lucien was a high end WR prospect worth using a scholarship on.

1. There's decent, but not great depth at WR now. This wasn't like offensive line (a position of super high need).

2. They may feel Flowers is close to a lock.

3. They may have promised Frost a chance to try at WR before moving him to LB. So that would make 1.5 WR in the class already...

4. ESPN's rankings say Lucien is only a 2 star guy. Now that seems extreme, but he does have a "light" offer list for a 4 star player like Rivals says he is. 

I think Hoke probably thinks Lucien isn't quite a stud, and thinks the depth and situation with Frost is fluid enough that he's not worthwhile as a WR prospect. I have no idea if Hoke is right, but it's not crazy.

bluenyc

January 17th, 2011 at 10:47 PM ^

Magnus-I remember some on this board contemplated that we should maybe take 2 WR's this year when Conway was committed.  If we get Flowers, is that enough.  Do you think we need 2 WR's?  And do you think Flowers or Frost as a WR is better than Lucien.  I thought Coach Hoke should have taken him.  I am just trying to understand what Coach Hoke is doing here.

Magnus

January 17th, 2011 at 10:54 PM ^

I think we should try to get 2 wide receivers total, but not 2 in addition to Conway (i.e. three total).  Obviously Conway isn't in play anymore.

Lucien is a better WR than Flowers and Frost.  Frost is a linebacker.  He's being stubborn about playing WR, because everyone knows he'd be a better LB.

WolvinLA2

January 17th, 2011 at 11:01 PM ^

Do you really think Lucien is a better WR than Flowers?  I've been more impressed with Flowers, and Flowers has a MUCH more impressive offer list.  Lucien wasn't really offered by any big name programs, except Nebraska and Miami.  He's from Los Angeles yet was passed over by anyone good in the Pac Ten. 

Flowers is taller, faster, and his offer sheet is sick - also offers from Miami and Nebraska, in addition to Auburn, Oregon, ND, Tenn, Florida State, and Oklahoma.

GoPackGo

January 17th, 2011 at 11:31 PM ^

maybe we don't have access to all the film or maybe we're just not cut out to be talent scouts, but I thought Lucien was a much more impressive prospect on video...what is it that these other services/schools are seeing? Devin accelerates quickly, seems to have some good speed, great hands, physical, catches jump balls, and runs damn impressive routes...I'm just rambling now, but it's so confusing...

kmedved

January 17th, 2011 at 11:43 PM ^

ESPN's scouting report on Lucien may be what coaches are seeing:

 


"Lucien is not a smooth and fluid athlete. He has adequate-to-good top end speed, but he builds to it. Lacks a second gear as a vertical guy and after the catch. He shows stiffness in his hips and is a short-strider that lacks lateral agility and fluid change-of-direction skills as an athlete. We feel he is a straight-line player at the wide receiver position."

Obviously the entire report isn't as negative as that. I just took the most negative parts there. It may be those issues holding him back however.

I don't know if that's it, but it's likely to me that Flowers is the better prospect. Offer lists are much more compelling to me than 3rd party ratings.

mblood7

January 17th, 2011 at 11:19 PM ^

From that offer list it also seems like alot of other schools like flowers better as a prospect too. Don't get me wrong because I was excited to have Lucein in this class but IDK if I'd say Lucein was the better prospect. I tend to lean towards offer sheets over so called Guru Raitings.

WolvinLA2

January 18th, 2011 at 12:08 AM ^

That's all I'm really trying to say.  There is a whole staff whose job it is to evaluate these guys, and they've had ample time to do so.  If Hoke knows the ins and outs of Lucien's game, knows Lucien has high interest in Michigan, and says he's not worthy of an offer to play WR at Michigan, who are we to say he is?  Guys who've watched 2 or 3 highlight videos and saw how many stars he has on Rivals?

Before we jump all over Hoke for this, let's assume for a second that he's done his homework on this kid and made an informed decision that he felt was in the best interest of the team.  If Lucien was a mid 3-star guy who loved UM no one would care that he was passed over.

WolvinLA2

January 18th, 2011 at 12:10 AM ^

I'm not saying it's not, and I admit I was excited to get a commitment from him.  But I'm also not going to say that I'm a better judge of talent or of the needs of Michigan's football team than Brady Hoke, no matter how much time I've spent on MGoBlog.  If he doesn't think Lucien is UM material, then I don't either.  Best of luck to him wherever he ends up.

MH20

January 18th, 2011 at 12:44 AM ^

But I'm also not going to say that I'm a better judge of talent or of the needs of Michigan's football team than Brady Hoke, no matter how much time I've spent on MGoBlog.

Dude, no way.  15,000+ mgopoints has to count for something.  I keep getting close to 10,000 (in fact I did hit it once) and then I get hit with a flood of expired points from a day where I apparently went on a posting rampage or said something really funny (probably not).

Anyway, I am bummed and puzzled (obviously) that we are passing on Lucien, but I will wait until Signing Day to give a final word.

mblood7

January 18th, 2011 at 1:10 AM ^

Those damn expiring points are killing me at one point I had like 2,000 and distinctly remember being one of the first to 1,000 (I used to care about mgopoints because I thought I'd be able to trade them in for a t-shirt or at least a damn key chain)

Seriously though I'm going trust the coaches and I say the offer sheet speak for themselves. Do I know with WR is better no, so I'll go with the real experts not the self proclaimed ones. Is Lucien one hell of a prospect yes, Would I choose him over other WRs we are recruiting IDK thats why I'm a firefighter not a football coach.

MH20

January 17th, 2011 at 10:49 PM ^

Outside of Roundtree, I don't think any of the remaining WRs will have shown much going into 2012.  With Stonum and Hemingway, and then probably Odoms and Tree in front of guys like Stokes, Jackson, and Robinson, I don't foresee them getting a lot of playing time/chances to prove themselves in the 2011 season.  Jackson is a nice possession guy, Stokes still has potential, I think, and Robinson is a guy who has made some nice catches in practice but lacks explosion on the outside.

Thus, IMO, we will probably be going into 2012 with a very unproven WR corps.  A high-end WR like Lucien is a privilege.  And yes, his offer list isn't blown up, but that does not always mean something.  Watching his film and reading the analysis on the kid, he has skills -- really good skills.

BlueVoix

January 17th, 2011 at 10:53 PM ^

The problem with thinking that Lucien is going to come in and challenge the current or future receiving corp is the degree to which we can expect experienced receivers to not live up to their ability versus Lucien living up to his hype.  Call me pessimistic, but I've seen enough busts at wideout to wait until they are actually in college before proclaiming them as solid contributors.

kmedved

January 17th, 2011 at 10:57 PM ^

I'm not a scout, so my ability to gauge him from watching tape is non-existent. The analysis on him is hit and miss meanwhile. ESPN says he's got serious flaws in his game. They complain about his acceleration and his ability to change directions. I don't have a Rivals/Scout subscription, so I can't compare there.

But yeah, if you think ESPN is crazy (and they may well be), then this is kind of a shame. At the end of the day though, when his offer list is only so-so, and a guy who initially recruited him is essentially telling him to take a hike, I kinda have to think there may be visible enough flaws him that he's not worth crying over.

lilpenny1316

January 17th, 2011 at 10:53 PM ^

I understand that Hoke was out West and maybe had people see more of his games in person than we did, but this doesn't seem right.

He looked polished on film and our current crop of WRs say average at best.  Roundtree and crew had critical cases of the drops as the season wore on. 

Even if we are close to a lock on Flowers, there's no law against having two top notch recievers in the same class.  Look at Toomer and Hayes.  That worked out well for us even though we had Derrick Alexander and Walter Smith for a couple of those years.  Same goes for David Terrell and Marquise Walker.

Plus he was recruiting Lucien at SDSU.  Unless I hear otherwise, I'm going to assume he was recruited to play WR for them.

lilpenny1316

January 18th, 2011 at 1:23 AM ^

...then you take Lucien.  It sounds like he was just as good a sure thing to commit as Flowers.  And based on the schools he's considering now, that's not something to sneeze at.  From everything I've read, and maybe it's just with blue stained glasses, Lucien was better than Flowers.  Either way. it would not hurt to have both of them.

mmiicchhiiggaann

January 17th, 2011 at 10:44 PM ^

Normally I would be pissed, but considering Lucien is from California I am going to assume Hoke and his staff have plenty of info on this kid and are making a very informed decision on him.

BlueVoix

January 17th, 2011 at 10:49 PM ^

As much as we'd all personally like Lucien, both as a player and for the fact that he stands out as a kid that really wants to be here, it might be best to wait until the class shakes out.  It seems like Hoke and his staff may have an idea of who they want to round out the class with.

Dreisbach1817

January 17th, 2011 at 10:51 PM ^

I agree... don't understand this Lucien business but Hoke recruited him a lot at SDSU so you might want to trust his judgment here a bit.

As for this class... if we land Flowers, also consider that we would still bring in Rawls or another RB and then move Justice Hayes to slot.  Of course, Hayes is not an outside WR but at least then we are bringing in 2 WRs.

The Denarding

January 17th, 2011 at 11:00 PM ^

The only explanation is we are recruiting someone else.  SDSU recruited him as a wide receiver - why change your mind now?  

There is some other top flight wide receiver we want.   And no I don't mean Flowers.

Otherwise this is beyond a stupid move...