Spread posted. Michigan 4.5 point favorite (edit: now 5.5)

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on

Bovada currently has Michigan as a -4.5 favorite over Nebraska today.

 

EDIT:  now moved to about -5.5 in most books. 

Other notable spreads of interest:

 

MSU -11 over Wisconsin

Purdue -15 over Rutgers

Ohio St -4.5 over Penn St

A Lot of Milk

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:00 AM ^

*Penn State is favored in second game against OSU* *Penn State wins by over 20* *Penn State is underdog in third game* I get that this is because they lost their center and it's not a home game, but geez

Mike Damone

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:06 AM ^

cover.  Best bet out of those four, in my opinion.  2nd best would be Rutgers to cover, but I am not sure on that one.  Would stay away from bets on Mich-Neb and OSU-PSU - those lines look fair...

rc15

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:07 AM ^

-4.5 point favorite, so Nebraska is favored?

It's either Michigan -4.5, or Michigan is a 4.5 point favorite. Combining contradicts itself.

 

Michifornia

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:31 AM ^

We played our worst game at their place and I have a feeling this team doesn't shoot poorly on back to back days.  Statement game on the way to the B1G finals.

GO BLUE!!

LostInACoinToss

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:40 AM ^

The line is now at -4 in most books with 54% of the tickets on Nebraska, 63% of the money on Michigan. 

Could just be sharps fading the public here, but I think they're confident in a Michigan cover - a good sign, IMO.

 

Edit: More tickets coming in on Michigan now, this may settle at -4.5

LostInACoinToss

March 2nd, 2018 at 12:08 PM ^

You're right, I'm seeing 52% of the money and 60% of the tickets were on Maryland, most at -2.5 yesterday. 

Even though sharps and public were in on MD, the line shrunk and ended up at -2. Reverse line movement, i.e. Line moves in the opposite direction of the tickets+money. The books made out on that one.

BeatOSU52

March 2nd, 2018 at 2:07 PM ^

Hey do you mind giving me a link to the site you use to gather this info?  I am always interested in reading about sharp/public money.

 

On a side , if you're on twitter, "The Greek Sportsbook" is a good follow to see stuff posted about when sharp money is coming in on plays.  

LostInACoinToss

March 3rd, 2018 at 9:08 AM ^

For sure - the site is pregame.com. There's a lot of deep dive info on the site, but the high level stuff (opening line, current spread, O/U, and tickets vs money%) for all major US sports can be found by clicking Game Center on the main menu bar once you're on the home page. If you have any questions let me know!

Primo

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:41 AM ^

I loled last night watching BTN’s programming in which Robbie Hummel said how he’s “interested in how Nebraska will react to being expected to win” the game. I get that they’re a higher seed but it seemed pretty lazy to put “favored” status on them. Had he been watching us the last 2 months? Those guys were all waaay overreacting to our bad shooting night.

A Lot of Milk

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:51 AM ^

I forget which fucking awful btn announcer it was, but some ass kept talking about how nervous Nebraska was that Iowa went to OT with us and were so relieved to play us instead of a "hot Iowa team". This douchebag literally said it at least three times across two games

lbpeley

March 2nd, 2018 at 11:53 AM ^

but fucking maddingly inconsistent whistles. Iowa guy incidentally runs into Mo's leg and it's a foul on Mo. Z gets intentionally tripped driving the lane and it's Iowa ball because Z flung it out of bounds trying to protect himself during the fall. 

KingRJ

March 2nd, 2018 at 12:58 PM ^

I'll be celebrating early as I know for a fact that we can't play as bad as we did in Lincoln 2 games in a row against these guys.  No freakin' way. 

LSAClassOf2000

March 2nd, 2018 at 1:48 PM ^

I am actually having to watch this game elsewhere as I am one of the victims of the snow and ice at the moment. Of course, the day I took off to do some things is the day I am without power and a refugee with a laptop.

As for the spread, I would have thought it would have been a little wider, but then my nightmares from our last run-in with Nebraska says that is fairly reasonable.