Most bracketologists have Virginia Tech in the tournament. Joe Lunardi said that the Hokies were above his “last four in”, even after their loss to (and sweep by) Virginia yesterday (Virginia is about even with Iowa in RPI). FWIW, Michigan’s current RPI is 57, Va. Tech’s is 64. I thought it would be interesting to compare Va. Tech’s resume with Michigan’s, and I’m doing it by comparing their individual wins and losses to each other. I used the RPI numbers coming into Sunday, put common opponents in bold, and tried to format as best I could.
RPI Team RPI Team
50 Florida St. 42 @ Michigan St.
59 vs. Oklahoma St. 43 Harvard
61 Penn St. 61 @ Penn St.
65 Miami 61 Penn St.
91 @ N.C. St. 66 Oakland
94 @ Maryland 73 @ Clemson
94 Maryland 76 Northwestern
102 vs. St. Bonaventure 108 Utah
130 vs. Miss. St. 161 @ Iowa
168 Georgia Tech 161 Iowa
236 Mt. St. Mary’s 178 Indiana
243 Wake Forest 249 Bowling Green
259 Campbell 253 Bryant
266 vs. CSU Northridge 260 Gardner-Webb
299 @ UNC-Greensboro 262 N.C. Central
317 S.C. Upstate 317 S.C. Upstate
RPI Team RPI Team
9 Purdue 1 Kansas
10 @ North Carolina 4 @ Ohio St.
26 vs. UNLV 4 Ohio St.
31 @ Kansas St. 9 Purdue
45 @ Boston College 19 @ Wisconsin
144 @ Virginia 22 vs. Syracuse
144 Virginia 39 Minnesota
168 @ Georgia Tech 41 @ Illinois
51 vs. UTEP
76 @ Northwestern
178 @ Indiana
The biggest differences between these schedules, in terms of difficulty, is that Va. Tech played Longwood, while Michigan played Ohio State twice and Kansas. Our wins are better than their wins. Our losses are better than their losses. But Michigan is punished for playing a more difficult schedule. If Michigan had played and beaten #144 Virginia rather than losing to #1 Kansas in overtime in their out-of-conference schedule, there would be no argument; Michigan would have the better resume.
So why is it that Va. Tech is above the bubble while Michigan is not even mentioned? They have 1 top 50 win (against #50, at home); are only 3-3 against teams ranked 100-200 (the Iowas and Indianas of the world), including a home loss; and their best road win is at #91 N.C. State. Michigan has 2 top-50 wins, has road wins at #42 Michigan State, #61 Penn State, and #73 Clemson, and is 4-1 against teams ranked 100-200. Virginia Tech’s only advantages are a 7-5 record against the top 100, compared to Michigan’s 7-10, and a 7-5 conference record where they have only played one game against either of the conference’s two ranked teams.
I’m not saying that Michigan belongs in the tournament; they have to get to .500 in the conference, which would include two more top-50 wins, and then win at least one game in the BTT. But can someone explain why everyone seems to have Va. Tech in their brackets but no one (outside of mgoblog.com and Andy Katz) mentions Michigan?