Selection Sunday update on seeding/potential playing locations

Submitted by Mr. Elbel on

My apologies for the block of text. I won't be able to edit this post today but feel it's needed ahead of the fireworks tonight. Mods, if you want to throw some paragraphs into this thing for the sake of people's eyes, that'd be helpful...

Michigan is currently the 3rd 3 seed on bracketmatrix, but still have some outside chances of moving up. Our chances of getting a 2 seed come down to both Tennessee and Cincinnati losing today and falling behind us. Based on where they are now (UC 3rd 2 seed, UT 1st 3 seed), unless they both lose badly I don't know that it's possible. The 2 seed locations are Charlotte, Nashville, Pittsburgh and Detroit. Charlotte and Nashville will be swallowed up by Duke/UNC or if UNC gets a 1 seed then either Xavier or Kansas would get Nashville. That leaves Detroit and Pittsburgh, but to get Detroit we'd need to jump not only UC and UT, but MSU and Purdue as well. I doubt we make that sort of jump if we haven't already, but hopping MSU is possible if the committee does the right thing (lol).

If we get to a 2 seed, it's behind Purdue as the 4th 2 seed with us playing in Pittsburgh. Much more likely is staying where we are, but possibly jumping UT, maybe UC (I think this is possible with WSU losing yesterday, making a loss today much worse), or possibly MSU. 3 seed locations are Nashville, Wichita, and two Dallas slots. As the current 3rd 3 seed behind MSU and UT we're in one of those Dallas slots, which is the furthest location we could be in outside of dropping to a 4 seed (all 4 seed locations are out west). If we can pass UT, that gets us to Wichita at least. Nashville is hundreds of miles closer though.

To get there we'd need to either jump both UC and UT with MSU getting a 2 seed, or jump one of the teams playing today along with MSU. Nashville is also in the south regiom, which would include Virginia as the 1 and possibly Cincinnati as the 2 if they win and stay put. I'd prefer that to playing in Wichita, which right now would have Nova as 1 and Duke/UNC as 2. The team that could help even more would be Arizona.

The matrix hasn't updated since their win last night, so they could conceivably hop us, though they have a long way to go from the 4th 4 seed. Them jumping up could be to our benefit as they are closest to Dallas. So for rooting interests today, root for UT and UC to lose badly and the committee to put MSU below us, or if not AZ above us. Of course, I think our boys can beat anyone anywhere if they continue to play like they have been. The location will definitely matter though to us fans who want to see the first couple rounds.

Go Blue!

 

MOD EDIT - I am guessing at breaks here. Not sure what the OP intended for breaks. - LSA

MfanItalia

March 11th, 2018 at 2:09 PM ^

M just needs to win the first two games against whoever they get assigned, wherever the games are played. After that, they're going to have to beat very good teams to advance. And the taste of victory would only be sweeter if it involves eliminating traditionally great ACC teams along the way.

HireWayne

March 11th, 2018 at 3:37 PM ^

1. Virgina-Pittsburgh 2. Villanova-Pittsburgh 3. Kansas- Wichita 4. North Carolina- Charlotte 5. Xavier- Nashville 6. Duke- Charlotte 7. Tennessee- Nashville 8. Michigan- Detroit 9. MSU- Detroit 10. Purdue-Wichita 11. Cincy-Dallas

Ajcoss

March 11th, 2018 at 3:48 PM ^

I think to have any shot, Cincy needs to lose this game to Houston. This would give Purdue to Nashville, UM/MSU to Detroit. Cincy & Tenn going to Dallas or Wichita. Just don't see Cincy, currently most saying a 2 now, dropping below us on the 3 line. Even with a loss to Houston.

Ajcoss

March 11th, 2018 at 3:58 PM ^

Overall I think close is good & bad. Distractions could be higher in Detroit. With that said, many more fans. Don't think more than a 5% chance msu & um could both stay in Detroit though. One has an ok shot with Tennessee losing, but probably will benefit Msu more. Just our luck.

Ajcoss

March 11th, 2018 at 3:45 PM ^

Would be shocked if the top 3 seeds aren't the below. Seems off this matrix 2 of the 12 teams will not get a site close to home. Unfortunately I think we are one of the 2.

1. Virginia/Villanova/Kansas/Xavier
2. UNC/Duke/Purdue/Cincy
3. UM/MSU/Arizona/Tennessee

Maybe wit the L today for Tennessee, they get bumped slightly. Could really come down to UM & MSU. One gets Detroit, other gets Dallas or Wichita.