Scenario where UM gets into playoff with loss to OSU.
Since this is a semi bye week(lol Rutger) my mind has been wondering a bit.
Starting thinking about what would happen if we lose to OSU. And I think there is still a path to the playoff if we do.
There are only 9 teams with less than 2 losses(my Alma mater UCF doesn't count, sorry Knights). The 3 undefeateds, plus 6 1-loss teams. So we would need the other 5 1-loss teams to lose and we would need to win the Big 10 CG.
The scenario: OSU loses to MSU tomorrow to lockup the east for us. Alabama, Clemson and ND win out, which gives Georgia 2 losses. West Virginia and Oklahoma lose 1 more time each, there's a good chance they play head to head twice, so splitting that works. Then we would just need Washington State to lose to Washington or in the Pac 12 title game.
That leaves 11-2 Big10 Champ UM competing against a 2 loss Big12 champ, a 2 loss Pac12 champ Washington State and a 2 loss Georgia who didn't win the SEC. We would have by far the 2 best losses and probably 3 top 25 wins. It's not a slam dunk, but I think we would have the best resume.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:35 AM ^
I hope this season can help us fans move on from any talk of a "good loss" let alone multiple "good" losses.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:55 PM ^
Agreed. I'm getting tired of being Bozo's "Almost Winners"
November 9th, 2018 at 11:40 AM ^
Good to see all of you have forgotten about our record vs OSU and don't have the PTSD that I do. Also what else is there to do during Rutgers week but speculate? Why not plan for the worst case just in case?
November 9th, 2018 at 11:46 AM ^
If we're speculating, dream us up a scenario where we get in with a loss to Rutger.
November 9th, 2018 at 1:04 PM ^
- Bama, Clemson, ND, Michigan win out.
- Georgia loses to Auburn.
- LSU loses at TAMU
- Oklahoma State beats both WVU and Oklahoma
- Winner of the Oklahoma WVU game loses to winner of Texas/Iowa State
- UCF loses a game
- Washington State loses to Washington.
That's probably the minimum.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:41 AM ^
This is a bad post, and you should feel bad.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:41 AM ^
We ain't losing to OSU
November 9th, 2018 at 4:22 PM ^
Damn skippy!
November 9th, 2018 at 11:42 AM ^
No thanks. That is exactly what UCF wants though...and throw in an ND loss for good measure.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:43 AM ^
win + win + win + win = we're in. I prefer this scenario.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:45 AM ^
This season is better than I expected regardless how this plays out against OSU and the playoffs. However, I would prefer a win against OSU over anything else, including not getting into the playoffs and/or losing our next 2 games. OSU must be beaten!
November 9th, 2018 at 11:47 AM ^
If we lose to that garbage team then we don’t deserve to be in the CFP.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:49 AM ^
The number of good scenarios where Michigan loses to OSU is 0.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:02 PM ^
Bacon was on the radio this morning arguing that we should want OSU to win tomorrow so our strength of schedule will be better when we beat them. Nevermind the fact that the other top 4 teams haven't beaten anyone with a pulse all season.
I don't care if it helps or hurts us, you root for OSU to lose every game, in every sport, until the end of time.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:10 PM ^
If OSU wins, we get to beat an OSU team that just beat an under-ranked MSU. If OSU loses, we already beat a team that beat a top 10 OSU and get to beat a still-ranked OSU at the end of the year.
No scenario makes losing to OSU anything but bad, and neither alternative is really better than the other.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:56 PM ^
Eh, we're not D'antini. If Michigan needs an OSU victory in order to accomplish something -- e.g., a Big Ten basketball championship -- so be it.
Mind you, I'd never root for OSU. I'd just root against their opponent. ;)
The same holds true this weekend. This idea of "we want OSU to look as good as possible" is asinine; doubly so when you consider that an OSU loss tomorrow means Michigan -- assuming they don't crap the bed in The Birthplace™ -- can win the Big Ten east with a victory on Senior Day against a team that hasn't won in Ann Arbor since Jim Harbaugh was three.
In a perfect world, MSU and OSU could tie, which is like both teams losing. Since there are no more ties, I'll root harder against OSU this weekend than I will against MSU.
November 9th, 2018 at 1:17 PM ^
Exactly. Guys on this blog are always worried about strength of schedule. No team in the country has had a stretch like Michigan just had. Only one other team could pull it off at this point. End of story. If Michigan wins out and doesn't get into the playoff, it's because of bullshit and a bunch of stupid fuckers running the show that shouldn't be. I wouldn't care to be a part of that circus anyway and be one of those teams picked. I'd take the high road knowing what the situation was, who was involved and be just fine and happy with that. That's just me.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:48 AM ^
Are you that fucking bored where you need to talk about this now? I won't be pounding my chest if Michigan has 2 losses and gets to CFP.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:49 AM ^
Nooooooo
November 9th, 2018 at 11:52 AM ^
Osu would get in over us in that scenario
November 9th, 2018 at 11:53 AM ^
Beat Rutger
Beat IU
Get Revenge on Ohio State
Win the B1G
The rest is icing on the cake!
November 9th, 2018 at 11:53 AM ^
Or a 2 loss OSU team that just beat said Big 10 champ
We will not get in playoffs if we don't beat OSU......period. NO WAY
November 9th, 2018 at 11:54 AM ^
Fuck that shit. Beat them.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:54 AM ^
"My Alma mater UCF"
I lol'd
November 9th, 2018 at 11:55 AM ^
Let's not be pathetic and just beat OSU.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:58 AM ^
We fucking cross this bridge if we fucking have to. Until then, don't even think about it.
Beat Ohio.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:59 AM ^
Plan A is to beat OSU....there is no Plan B.
November 9th, 2018 at 11:59 AM ^
We lose to osu, we don't belong in the playoff. Gotta win that game.
GO BLUE!!
November 9th, 2018 at 12:04 PM ^
Mental gymnastics aside, I don't think that a two-loss B1G champ has any shot of getting in this year. If we manage to lose another game, yet still make it to Indy, we're going to be facing a team with a pretty shitty record (even if they're ranked).
Even as a Michigan fan, I don't think we would deserve to go to the playoffs after losing to OSU and ND (the two best teams we will play all year).
November 9th, 2018 at 12:07 PM ^
We'll beat OSU.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:07 PM ^
Just win. No what ifs.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:07 PM ^
No way they forfeit their opportunity to have a 2 sec team playoff. Georgia would. Leapfrog is because a loss to Alabama, no matter the beating, is a win
November 9th, 2018 at 12:09 PM ^
It's not even a done deal that we make the playoff with one loss. A Georgia victory over Bama puts us on thin ice or outside looking in. Let's not try to figure out how to get in with two losses.
Win the next two games and beating OSU guarantees us a B1G title regardless. That's a goddamn successful season. Anything that comes after that - B1G Championship game, Playoffs, that' all gravy, baby.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:09 PM ^
I don't think there is a scenario - hell, we're not even sure Michigan makes it in even if they DO beat OSU.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:11 PM ^
This scenario would be quite the opposite of my optimal revenge tour scenario. Let's beat those bozos.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:19 PM ^
How about all those scenarios play out, except we beat OSU convincingly. Then we are in for sure. Seems much less stressful to me.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:19 PM ^
Next time, STOP your wondering mind from worrying about such things.
BEAT OHIO!!!
November 9th, 2018 at 12:24 PM ^
I would rather beat osu and not get into the playoff than lose and get it
November 9th, 2018 at 12:27 PM ^
They would not be in in this scenario. Their best win would be....Northwestern? Penn State? MSU? Wisconsin?
Whoever would win the Big 12 would have a better resume at that point
November 9th, 2018 at 12:30 PM ^
I hope we don't play them in the rain, because I'm pretty sure the team plans on going in dry.
November 9th, 2018 at 1:32 PM ^
downvoted because you reminded me
November 9th, 2018 at 4:15 PM ^
And fuck them for always wearing those clown uniforms for The Game.
We need to beat their ass. Period.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:33 PM ^
Would rather beat OSU and miss the playoff than lose and get in
November 9th, 2018 at 12:37 PM ^
why would you even waste your time typing all this bullshit? who even cares if they make the playoffs? will you really care more if michigan loses to osu, but some how stumbles into the playoffs, or wins out with 12 straight wins plus an outright big ten chaimpionship? if they do the latter i don't care if they are in the playoffs or not.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:37 PM ^
What if everyone loses all their remaining games ... then who gets in? Huh? Did you think about that?
I'm almost angry at this topic.
November 9th, 2018 at 12:38 PM ^
It would need something like 2014. A lot of uncertainty about who takes the #4 spot, and Michigan would have to absolutely steamroll someone in the Big Ten title game. Like a 63-0 shellacking type of game
November 9th, 2018 at 12:45 PM ^
Just win, baby