Saturday Betting

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on October 26th, 2018 at 7:21 PM

Please post your bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.  I'll start:

(Last week record: 5-2,  Overall season record:  27-22-1)

 

Army at Eastern Michigan, Noon  Army (pick 'em)

Clemson at Florida St, Noon:  Florida St +17

Texas Tech at Iowa St Noon,  Iowa St -3.5*

South Florida at Houston 3:30pm , Houston -7.5

Texas A&M at Mississippi St  7pm,  Texas A&M +1.5

Florida International at Western Kentucky 7:30pm,  Florida International -3.5

San Diego St at Nevada 10:30pm,  Nevada +2.5

 

*Note that this line has moved to Iowa St -5.5 at this time.  Got this earlier in the week

 

Noteable spreads of discussion:

Michigan St currently sits as a 1 point favorite over Purdue (at MSU)

Notre Dame currently sits as a 24 point favorite over Navy (Neutral site)

 

All spreads:

https://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline/college-football/

Comments

B-Nut-GoBlue

October 26th, 2018 at 7:26 PM ^

Army at Eastern Michigan, Noon  Army

Clemson at Florida St, Noon:  Clemson -17

Texas Tech at Iowa St Noon,  Iowa St -3.5

South Florida at Houston 3:30pm , Houston -7.5

Texas A&M at Mississippi St  7pm,  Mississippi St. -1.5

Florida International at Western Kentucky 7:30pm,  Florida International -3.5

San Diego St at Nevada 10:30pm,  Nevada +2.5

(Purdue all day tomorrow at +1, Navy +24)

FauxMo

October 26th, 2018 at 7:34 PM ^

MSU-Purdue has gone from MSU-2 to a PK. I still like Purdue. Frankly, even more now. MSU may have to start Dantonio's smug-but-fake self-righteousness at wide receiver tomorrow.

I also like:

Northwestern (+4) over Wisconsin

Navy (+24) over ND

Florida (+6.5) over Georgia

LSAClassOf2000

October 26th, 2018 at 8:05 PM ^

Purdue has Rondale Moore though, so they don't even have to really mount too much of a run game as they may not be able to do so anyway. Third-string kicker, so I would worry about the field position battle and a backup QB, so I would also worry about being able to do much of anything if I were MSU. If the Spartans pull it out, it's more Purdue's fault at this point. 

SouthOfHeaven

October 26th, 2018 at 11:17 PM ^

D.J. Knox is a home-run hitter, and I think Purdue can have success running the ball once they open it up by slinging it around first. Knox tore OSU up as the game went on.

 

Not to mention, MSU is just garbage as a whole. We could have easily beaten them 35-0 or something laughable like that if only we finished our drives. I think Purdue spanks 'em, especially with their pass-first offense against a terrible secondary.

Goblueman

October 26th, 2018 at 8:30 PM ^

Teams unaccustomed to success ,coming off a gigantic home win who then go on the road usually play poorly.All logic says bet Purdue but I think MSU wins an ugly game.I will be rooting for Purdue though.

Squash34

October 27th, 2018 at 11:09 AM ^

There is a difference though, Wisconsin was a very good team last year and Iowa beat OSU in a game that was out of character. Purdues offense did not play out of their minds last week, they are actually #10 in offensive s&p+. They are good at explosive plays, while MSU defense is in the bottom half in the country at not giving up explosive play.

Moreover, as a team, they are ranked 26 in s&p, whereas MSU is 42 (and has been steadily dropping after the preseason expectations have been removed).  So,  despite 3 early loses, Purdue is actually a good team. They just couldn't get out of their own way verse NW, week one. Then it carried over two Eastern Michigan, in a game that Purdue was hit with some very bad penilties that really affected the outcome . 

Purdue may have a letdown game. However, this isn't the normal situation where a team had a game will above their normal capabilities to get an upset, and now will come back down to earth. I actually think it's more likely that the beatdown to OSU will be the game to get them over the hump. 

Durham Blue

October 26th, 2018 at 8:47 PM ^

Utah -10.5 @ UCLA (tonight)

Wisconsin -4 @ NW

Boise St @ Air Force UNDER 58

Navy +24 @ Notre Dame

Florida +9 vs Georgia

I think MSU wins the game vs Purdue.  Hard to imagine Dantonini losing two weeks in a row.  I'm not really confident though.

BeatOSU52

October 27th, 2018 at 10:13 AM ^

Just checked my overall record with the military schools and I’m 1-3-1 overall this year so not good.  Can’t say I purposely do it but just happen to end of thinking of them is a one of the best plays each week but it hasn’t worked out .  Army last week got stuff twice in the Miami Ohio goaline at the end of the first half last week which really hurt them covering and their momentum .  I like them this week ... but I will say this.  Military schools don’t have a good ATS record in recent years the week before they play another military school next week and next week Army plays Air Force so ... we’ll see. 

MH20

October 27th, 2018 at 11:03 AM ^

(Spreads via Yahoo Sports)

MSU/Purdue got up to MSU -2.5 and now is PU -1.5 as of this morning (probably largely due to uncertainty of Lewerke playing).

Wisconsin/NW got up to UW -7 and now is down to UW -3.5 this morning (probably largely due to uncertainty of Hornibrook playing).

EDIT: Just saw on Rotoworld that Hornibrook and Lewerke have been ruled out.

B-Nut-GoBlue

October 27th, 2018 at 11:33 AM ^

This Mizzou line is odd...heard Bear talking about it earlier.  8 times in last 40 years or something crazy a team outside top 25 was a TD favorite overs a top 12...most of the time the favorite actually covered too.  Vegas knows something

The Denarding

October 27th, 2018 at 1:41 PM ^

Moneyline:

pittsburgh

syracuse

Arizona 

New Mexico State 

Georgia Southern 

Minnesota

georgia Tech

Michigan State 

Toledo 

south Florida 

oklahoma state

kentucky 

UNLV

Charlotte 

northern Illinois 

There are some good games that if I wasn’t mathematical in betting I would take.    Iowa, army, BC and Nevada being the best of the lot.    All those games especially if you get points - seem like great bets.