Saturday Best Bets

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on November 2nd, 2018 at 10:46 PM

Please post your bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.  I'll start:

(Last week record: 5-2,  Overall season record:  32-24-1)

 

Bets:

Memphis at East Carolina, Noon  Over 65

Southern Miss at Marshall: 3pm,  Southern Miss +3

Penn St at Michigan: 3:45pm  Michigan -10.5*

Missouri at Florida  4pm,  Florida -6

Duke at Miami,  7pm  , Duke +9.5

Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State 7:30pm,  Louisiana Tech +23.5

Utah St at Hawaii  Midnight,  Utah St -19.5

 

 

Breeders' Cup Bonus Play:

#6 (McKensie)-  Win (6-1 odds)

Exacta Box  #6, #11  (McKensie, Mind Your Buscuits)

 

Noteable spreads of discussion:

*Michigan currently sits as -12 point favorite in a majority of the books

Alabama currently sits as a -14 favorite over LSU (at LSU)

Notre Dame currently sits as a -10 favorite over Northwestern (at Northwestern)

Ohio St currently sits as a -19.5 point favorite over Nebraska (at Ohio St)

Michigan St currently sits as a -3 point favorite over Maryland (at Maryland)

 

All spreads:

https://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline/college-football/

NittanyFan

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:01 PM ^

FWIW, it's Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State (not Ole Miss), with MSU favored by 23.5.

I'd La Tech against that - they played LSU fairly well in Baton Rouge and they're really not too bad.  Just hope they don't find themselves with any 3rd down and 93 like last year vs. MSU.

LSAClassOf2000

November 3rd, 2018 at 8:17 AM ^

I've actually mulled over this game since the Durkin Debacle - this one seems like it is hard to read. On one hand, I do think Maryland is bringing incredible emotion to this game, but on the other hand, this is the sort of matchup that MSU typically wins, and "it is Maryland" qualifiers apply too. 

ESC25419

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:12 PM ^

I'm in a CFP pickem pool and these are my 10 games.

Nebraska +20.5 @ OSU

Texas State +6.5 @GaSt

South Alabama +16.5 @ArkSt

NcSt -6.5 v FSU

WVU +1.5 @ Texas

TCU -7.5 v KSU

UK +9.5 v UGA (all had to pick game or I'd have avoided)

Charlotte +20.5 @ Tennessee

Alabama -14.5 @ LSU (Also a must pick or I'd avoid)

FAU +3.5 @ FIU

 

s1105615

November 3rd, 2018 at 8:44 AM ^

Nah...I’m taking the 14 points and LSU*...I’ll go with Bill Simmon’s advice and take the home dog only if I believe they can win outright...and since an LSU win is bad for UM (despite what Brian or anyone else believes), I’d say it’s almost guaranteed to happen.

*i don’t actually have any $$ on this

dennisblundon

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:13 PM ^

Florida is a loser. Mizzu is the play there. Nebraska looks also to be a solid bet. Like Maryland too but more so because it’s a noon road game for MSU. Have to see what line does tomorrow for Michigan still.

BeatOSU52

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:21 PM ^

I will say that Florida has been one of the most publicly bet teams, percentage-wise, this week and the line has basically stayed about the same. And so that bodes will for Missouri if you go by that factor, which has been a big factor in favor of the bookmakers in recent weeks especially.  I bet Florida early in the week btw... :/

Laser Wolf

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:15 PM ^

Ohio State at home +19.5 over Nebraska feels like easy money.

I’ll take the points with Northwestern. That game will be closer than 10. 

Laying the points with Bama. They are a steamroller and LSU being without White for the first half will help put that to bed early. 

Florida -6 over Mizzou all day. That is a confusing line. 

BeatOSU52

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:24 PM ^

I definitely lean Northwestern as well.  Stadium will be about half ND fans but I'm sure NW is used of it.    It's one of those odd games I'd feel a bit more confident in NW at home vs ND if it was a noon game compared to a night game.

Meyer traditionally does very well off a bye against the spread, so I'd lean OSU even though there was some early week sharp money on Nebraska.

butuka21

November 2nd, 2018 at 11:35 PM ^

So my buddy who graduated from penn state and is constantly giving me crap about harbaugh and under achieving just angered me into a bet that we go 100 of the line 30 minutes before the game.  This pissed me off because the last three years we never have gone off the line just straight up.  After 20 texts of harbaugh bashing I said that’s fine but if Michigan wins but doesn’t cover I am going to send you something of the equivalent value of 100.00 dollars, and you have to wear it all weekend when Michigan is in the big ten championship game.  He agreed. So I will be sending him a harbaugh jersey if that happens.  Bottom line is I like Michigan to win but not cover, but they proved me wrong with Wisconsin and state so I am hoping they prove me wrong again. 

 

msu cover 2.5

lsu 6 point teaser over

georgia 6 point teaser over

northwesterb 6 point teaser and the over

4 team parley

msu 

ok state 

Iowa 

Georgia 

 

Durham Blue

November 3rd, 2018 at 10:51 AM ^

Here's what I have.  I got Michigan and NW the day they were posted.

Michigan -10

Iowa +2.5

Oregon -10

Kentucky +9

Utah - ASU under 56

Georgia Tech -5

Wisconsin -28

Northwestern +10

Ohio St -21

And it's me against the rest of the betting world -- LSU +14.5

Blue's Company

November 3rd, 2018 at 10:55 AM ^

I like Michigan line too which is not usual for me.

 

Michigan (-12) vs Penn State

Ohio State(-18.5) vs Nebraska ***Lock***

Duke (+9.5) vs Miami

West Virginia (+2) vs Texas

Iowa (+2.5) vs Purdue

Northwestern(+10) vs Notre Dame

B-Nut-GoBlue

November 3rd, 2018 at 12:31 PM ^

Memphis at East Carolina, Noon  under 65

Southern Miss at Marshall: 3pm,  Southern Miss +3

Penn St at Michigan: 3:45pm  Penn State +12.5

Missouri at Florida  4pm,  Mizzou +6 Duke at Miami,  7pm  , Duke +9.5 Louisiana Tech at Mississippi 7:30pm,  Mississippi -3

Utah St at Hawaii  Midnight,  Hawaii +19.5

The Denarding

November 3rd, 2018 at 1:29 PM ^

Money line:

Akron 

 Pittsburgh

navy 

byu

Nebraska 

Louisiana Monroe

Baylor

Cal

ASU

Florida Atlantic 

UCLA 

Iowa

North Carolina

FSU

wake Forest 

northwestern

illinois 

MSU -3.5 

South Florida -7 

LSU +13

Hawaii +17.5 

UNLV +24.5

U Conn +17