I can't find a database online to help me on this one. Maybe someone has the data?
IIRC as of a few years ago, it was something very odd like 18 of the past 20 UM/MSU games was won by the team that had the greater rushing yardage. I don't know if that trend continued under RR. Does anyone know the current data for that trend?
Not that past performance is any indication of future results, but you have to think that we will outrush Sparty this weekend. Their OL is full of holes; if they are going to win it's on Cousin's arm. While their D has great stats, clearly we're faster than probably any team they've faced, including ND, and they lost that game. I don't see us rushing for 400 but maybe 250-250 is probable, but at the same time, I don't expect Sparty to rush for over 200.
Hence, I think if the rushing stat trend were to have continued viability, then we win this Saturday.