4 things need to happen in the next 2 weeks IMO to have a remote chance of playoffs (JimMora.gif here); 2 of them have to happen this week.
UM over PSU; OSU over MSU.
Then next week
UM over OSU; Stanford over Notre Dame
Those are the musts if you believe ACC, SEC, B12 get 3 spots. if you believe B12 doesn't get a spot then you have more variability. I happen to believe 1 loss OK or undefeated OK State get in (1 loss Baylor or TCU does not). I could be wrong.
|Good guys||PSU||UM||UM -3.5|
|Baylor?||OK State||Baylor||OK St -1|
* if no meteor, MSU loss will suffice
In terms of "great bonus if it happens" we want USC or UCLA to win out, win P12 south, and be a 3 loss P12 champion upseting Stanford. This would displace both Utah and Stanford and eliminate P12 from playoffs.
The only scenario that helps UM in B12 I believe is OK State and OK both losing at least once more. Since they face each other a week from now OK State losing this week and then winning next week would be the simple path.
Also we want Iowa and NW to win out next 2 weeks.