Predictions for Mich/Ohio bball

Submitted by goblue85 on February 5th, 2013 at 9:21 AM

Michigan comes back home tonight at primetime 9pm ESPN against Ohio.  The atmopshere should be amazing tonight.  I expect the Maize Rage packed and ready to go for this one.  I expect Burke, THJ, and I think frosh will play alot better from the first matchup.  In the Big Ten, this conference is tough enough that it is key to hold serve homecourt.  I expect Michigan to be very hungry tonight and get a win. 

Beat Ohio

Michigan 74

Ohio 65

 

Comments

ijohnb

February 5th, 2013 at 11:40 AM ^

has played one bad game, at Illinois.  They damn near blew us out of the building 3 weeks ago and have played head up against Duke and Kansas.  Overrated?  Those sound like some famous last words to me.  Michigan needs to play well tonight or they will get beat.

Moleskyn

February 5th, 2013 at 9:25 AM ^

I think the first 5-10 minutes are going to be crazy. This is the first big game our freshman have had at home, and I think they're going to be pumped. OSU will try to keep things slow, but I think our guys (especially the freshmen) will be in another gear. I expect that to lead to some quick points, but also some dumb mistakes. In the end, I don't think OSU will get out to a big lead like they did last time, and their offense (read: DeShaun Thomas) won't be able to keep up. Final score: 68-54.

GOLBOGM

February 5th, 2013 at 9:39 AM ^

If we lose our chances of winning the conference drop very fast- if we win we stay in very good shape.

I think everything worked out perfectly for an OSU win last  game away- I don't see that happening again.  I expect a win by about 6-10 points- but the game never to be too much in doubt for the last ten minutes.

BlueKnight

February 5th, 2013 at 9:44 AM ^

Craft makes me nervous; he's the one guy who can get Burke off his game.  Burke needs to let the game come to him and facilitate the offense instead of making it a personal challege with Craft.  Michigan wins 76-70.

LSAClassOf2000

February 5th, 2013 at 9:58 AM ^

Here are some key stats - season overall and conference only comparisions:

COMPLETE SEASON CONFERENCE ONLY
Offensive Stat Comparison Offensive Stat Comparison
  Ohio St. Michigan   Ohio St. Michigan
Points/Game 71.8 76.7 Points/Game 63.2 74.4
Avg Score Margin 14.5 17.2 Avg Score Margin 6.2 13.2
Assists/Game 14 15.2 Assists/Game 13.9 11.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 37.3 36.6 Total Rebounds/Gm 33.8 34.9
Effective FG % 51.80% 57.10% Effective FG % 45.30% 49.60%
Off Rebound % 32.30% 31.80% Off Rebound % 25.50% 33.70%
Defensive Stat Comparison Defensive Stat Comparison
  Ohio St. Michigan   Ohio St. Michigan
Opp Points/Game 57.3 59.5 Opp Points/Game 57 61.2
Opp Effective FG % 43.20% 46.70% Opp Effective FG % 38.30% 41.50%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10 9.1 Off Rebounds/Gm 7.8 10.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 25 24.2 Def Rebounds/Gm 26 24.3
Blocks/Game 4.5 2.9 Blocks/Game 5 3.2
Steals/Game 6.6 5.6 Steals/Game 5.7 6

The typical line for this game gives Michigan 7.5 and Massey is going with an 83% win probability. Looking at the table, it is a game that Michigan can win and win by at least 4-5 possessions if they can can get back to the ruthlessly efficient offense that they are capable of fielding. Control Deshaun Thomas, get him to force shots, and you take away their most consistent threat on offense, I think. Not-so-bold prediction - Michigan takes this one at home in a 74-66-ish performance.

Perkis-Size Me

February 5th, 2013 at 9:57 AM ^

If there is a definition of must-win, this is it. If we lose tonight, our chances at a conference title take a major hit, and the team's pride and swagger would take a disastrous hit as well. Can't afford to lose to OSU again.

I could see us losing, but I don't think it will happen. I think the team will feed off of Crisler's energy tonight. OSU has a great team, (or a great one-man show in De'Shaun Thomas?) and Aaron Craft is the one man that seems to always have Trey Burke's number, so this game will be close. But, Michigan finds a way to get it done. I also predict that McGary will come up with another big night.

71-66 Blue

Jinjooappa

February 5th, 2013 at 10:32 AM ^

I think we will feast on some home cooking and win by double digits. We'll see how good the Ohio defense is when they start getting called for blocking instead of getting charging calls. Also, if Craft gets called for some early fouls for his aggressive hand checking,this game won't ever be in doubt.

Soulfire21

February 5th, 2013 at 10:45 AM ^

Every game is a must-win game with Indiana, MSU, Ohio State, and even Wisconsin in your conference.

If MSU/Indiana/Michigan/OSU lose one game, their title chances take a significant shot.

Michigan by 12.

Fun fact:  In two seasons, we are 28-1 at home, the lone loss coming at the hand of Purdue on senior night last year (you know, the game that cost Michigan the outright conference title)

MGlobules

February 5th, 2013 at 11:07 AM ^

that charge against a freshman basketball player like some people did after Indiana. Especially after all GR3 has contributed without plays being run for him to date. But you take the bitter with the sweet in sports discussion land. 

EDIT: This is a response to Spontaneous and his salutary "lazy" comment up above. 

E. Gordon Gee

February 5th, 2013 at 12:17 PM ^

Michigan: A little more 

OSU: A little less

I'm not expecting a blowout win but I do expect both teams to beheld to under their season averages for points since both teams play good defense. Should be a good matchup at the PG position. I expect Michigan to hold serve and I won't be disappointed with a season split!