Pickin' & Grinnin' - Conference Championships

Submitted by xtramelanin on

Mates,

Conference championship games this weekend, and some good ones.  Will be interesting to see how ohio and Wisconsin play out, and Auburn v. Georgia could be very good as well.   The favored team is listed first, followed by the number of points they are favored by.   Remember to pick them with the points, meaning for instance, ohio is favored by 6 points over Wisconsin.  If you like Wisconsin in that game to either win or to at least lose by 6 or less, you'd pick Wisconsin.   

Here are the relevant lines:

ohio               6            Wisconsin

Clemson       9 1/2       Miami

Auburn          2            Georgia

Oklahoma      7           TCU

USC              3 1/2      Stanford

Toledo            21 1/2    Akron  (apparently the Rockets score.  A lot.)

Have a great weekend.  

XM

SpilledMilk

November 30th, 2017 at 11:38 PM ^

Wisconsin, Clemson, Georgia, TCU

* I just want Wisconsin to win. If I we're actually betting, I'd take OSU+6

Bigly yuge

November 30th, 2017 at 11:37 PM ^

I always wait to see what the lines are the day of the games unless I anticipate a line moving in a direction that is not good for me monetarily. But I’ll give it ago:

Wisconsin +6
Miami +9.5
Auburn -2 (best bet)
Oklahoma -7
USC -3.5
Not familiar with Toledo or Akron but just for shits and giggles I’ll take Akron +21.5

Good luck! Hoping for chalk across the board to keep osu and bama out of the playoffs.

Bigly yuge

November 30th, 2017 at 11:48 PM ^

If osu and Alabama make the playoffs I won’t watch a minute of that bullshit. Ohio state got blown out TWICE. So I am praying to the football gods to allow Clemson, Wisconsin, Auburn, and OU to win.

JHumich

November 30th, 2017 at 11:51 PM ^

Wisconsin (straight up)

Clemson

Georgia (straight up)

Oklahoma

Stanford (straight up)

Toledo

 

CFP: 

Clemson v.s. Wisconsin -> Wisconsin

Oklahoma v.s. Georgia -> Oklahoma

 

NC: Wisconsin

Guy Fawkes

December 1st, 2017 at 7:27 AM ^

Wisconsin

Clemson

Georgia

Oklahoma

USC

Toledo

Wild Card pick for ya'll -- Georgia St rolls Idaho. Lay the points!

Perkis-Size Me

December 1st, 2017 at 12:29 PM ^

If OSU beats Wisconsin as bad as they did in 2014, they're leapfrogging Alabama. No question about it. And OSU could do it. Wisconsin is a very good team but they are not as good as their ranking. There are several teams right behind them that I think would beat Wisconsin pretty handily. 

chatster

December 1st, 2017 at 8:41 AM ^

Not a picker or a grinner, but I've been a lover and a sinner and a joker and a smoker and a midnight toker. I'm just rootin' for chaos.
  • Ohio State (8) beats Wisconsin (4) handily in the Big Ten championship game.
  • TCU (11) avenges one of its two losses and beats Oklahoma (3) on a controversial last-second play in the Big XII championship game.
  • Miami (7) beats Clemson (1) in a close ACC championship game.
  • Georgia (6) avenges its only loss and beats Auburn (2), but by no more than three points in the SEC championship game.
  • Stanford (12) avenges one of its three losses and beats Southern Cal (10) in the Pac 12 championship game.
  • Memphis (20) avenges its only loss and beats UCF (14) by at least 14 points.
No undefeated teams would be left. Georgia, Wisconsin, Alabama, Miami, Memphis and UCF would be the only one-loss teams. Let the Playoff Committee struggle with the playoff selections and the New Year’s Bowl choices. Heads will explode!

The Maizer

December 1st, 2017 at 9:36 AM ^

I usually like Chaos, but in your scenario, OSU wins the conference championship (please no) and both OSU and Bama may make the playoff (please, no). I would expect Miami to get in with a win and don't want to see Clemson repeat, so I'm good with that one, Stanford, and Memphis winning. I guess I'd also rather see Auburn in the playoff since we recruit more against Georgia.

chatster

December 1st, 2017 at 10:36 AM ^

At 11-2, Ohio State's record would be the same as Oklahoma's, a team that beat Ohio State in Columbus. A close loss to TCU in the Big XII championship game on a controversial, last-second play might give the edge to Oklahoma over Ohio State. Let's not forget that the Big Ten champion, Penn State, did NOT make the playoffs last season. I'd be fine with Ohio State being excluded from the playoffs.

In the chaos scenario I've outlined, I considered this to be the possible final rankings by the Committee: Georgia - 1, Alabama - 2, Clemson - 3, Oklahoma - 4, Miami - 5, Ohio State - 6, Auburn - 7, TCU - 8, Wisconsin - 9, Stanford - 10, Penn State - 11, Washington - 12, Southern Cal - 13, Notre Dame - 14, LSU-15, Memphis - 16, UCF - 17,  Michigan State - 18, Washington State - 19, Oklahoma State - 20.

Taking Miami over Clemson is the only possible change I'd envsion because of the head-to-head results in the ACC championship game.

But if Miami were to beat Clemson in a close game (especially if  Clemson were also to have lost on a controversial play), then based on (a) each of those teams having lost to a 4-8 team on the road, (b) Clemson's loss having occurred on Friday, October 13 when their starting QB was injured, while MIami's loss having been in the final regular-season game, and (c) Clemson being the defending national champion, Clemson might get the slight edge there.

In my chaos scenario, despite Ohio State winning the Big Ten championship game, only one conference champion (Georgia) would be in the playoffs AND the traditional Rose Bowl conferences would be excluded from the playoffs, BUT then have a chance to meet in a New Year's Six Bowl game.  

Like I said, heads would explode.

M_Born M_Believer

December 1st, 2017 at 1:16 PM ^

I posted the same chaos picks in another thread yesterday. Honestly I dont care who gets in the CFP this yeast. As long as there is chaos.

So. Miami, OSU, TCU, UGA wins would create a no win situation for the committee. Some would try and claim that is why you needed the committee but I would easily counter that an 8 teams playoff takes the guess work out of it. Five conference champs get a ticket and 3 wild cards. So it's the best of both worlds. The teams that actually earn their way in get in and the egotistical blow hard can self wax over deliberating the other 3 spots.

Perkis-Size Me

December 1st, 2017 at 9:58 AM ^

Unfortunately I have OSU over Wisconsin, and I have them winning big. This is just one of those kinds of games where I feel like they as a team finally wake up and are going to absolutely lay waste to Wisconsin in an effort to make the playoff. They'll win, sneak into the playoff as the four seed, and we'll all sit there wondering how the fuck we let this happen after last week. 

Clemson over Miami. Miami was exposed big time against Pitt last week, and while they're a very good team this year, I don't see them beating Clemson unless Clemson turns the ball over 4-5 times. If OSU makes the playoff, Clemson is who I want them facing. Clemson seems to have their number. 

I want Georgia to win (wife is a huge UGa fan and they're my unofficial second team), but I really don't believe much has changed in the last three weeks since Auburn curbstomped Georgia. It will be a closer game, and Georgia playing right in their own backyard helps. But if Kerryon Johnson can carry the load I don't see Georgia being able to beat them. If he's really hurt, and if their pass rush can get to Stidham, they've got a shot. But true freshman QBs against elite defenses are usually recipes for disaster. I've got Auburn by 10. 

Oklahoma over TCU, probably something like 42-31. 

Stanford over USC - Bryce Love just absolutely runs over USC tonight

xtramelanin

December 1st, 2017 at 11:27 AM ^

around with, their stadium name (ohio stadium), their logo on their field, trademark, letterhead is also that 'O', not 'OSU' or some other variation of it, and i think their fight song has it too somewhere.  so they are 'ohio', by their own designation. 

Jevablue

December 1st, 2017 at 1:54 PM ^

Beats Brutus. Brutus was nowhere near as tough as they were and M had Peters for most of the game. I think OSUs offense is grossly overhyped and gets shut down. IMHO

SFBlue

December 1st, 2017 at 2:46 PM ^

As a threshold matter, the Chips and Toledo are the two best MAC teams. Would love to see that rematch rather than 7-5 Akron. 

 

OSU over Wisconsin

Clemson over Miami

Auburn over Georgia

Oklahoma over TCU

USC over Stanford

Toledo over Akron