Penn State Opens as 2 Point Favorite

Submitted by alum96 on

Per Vegasinsiders.com

Not sure UM will be favored vs anyone the rest of the year - the 2 obvious options, Maryland and Indiana both have throwing QBs who are better than Gary Nova, or at minimum the same.  And Maryland brings 2 NFL WRs.  Indiana brings Tevin Coleman who will be the best RB we face this year since we avoid Wisconsin and Nebraska.

At this point I think UM will be viewed in the Purdue/Illinois camp in terms of setting lines the rest of the year.  So guessing we will be 19-21ish pt road dogs at MSU and 15-17 or so at OSU.  Only that close due to "Michigan emotion and its a rivalry game where wacky things happen like UM staying within 30 of MSU".

NW will probably be a 6ish pt favorite I am guessing.

Other games in the Big 10:

  • Michigan State by 21 @Purdue
  • NW @ MN - pick em
  • Wisconsin by 23 v Illinois
  • Iowa by 7 v Indiana

Sports

October 5th, 2014 at 9:00 PM ^

I truly thought it would be skewed more towards PSU. Anyone want to speculate on the matchup between our D-Line and their O-Line? It would appear favorable, but who really knows at this point? 

Perkis-Size Me

October 5th, 2014 at 10:01 PM ^

What has you convinced that 2-10 is anything less than a certainty at this point, other than if we just get lucky one week?

Not criticizing, but I honestly don't see one win left on the schedule. I don't even see one game left where we might be favored, now that Northwestern is rebounding. Even Indiana will likely be favored. Their passing game is going to pick our secondary apart.


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snarling wolverine

October 5th, 2014 at 10:29 PM ^

If this team plays as hard as it did yesterday, it won't go 2-10.  We're not a good team but we're not that bad.  I think that only happens if the team quits on Hoke and mails it in the rest of the year.   Yesterday we played a likely bowl team on the road and may well have won without that terrible call.  

PSU, Indiana and Northwestern are winnable, and maybe Maryland as well.  I think we will win a couple of those.  This is assuming that the team keeps on playing hard each week.  If they decide to mail it in that's another story.  

MonkeyMan

October 5th, 2014 at 10:32 PM ^

2 and 10 absolutely cannot be allowed to happen!!!! I have MSU, OSU and NW as certain losses at this point. We must win 1 or more of the remaining 3 or this team (and its poor players) will have the awful scarlet letter of being the worst UM team in the modern era.

Hoke will walk away with millions- he cannot let these kids carry this label for the rest of their lives. He has to find a way to get them out of the negative record books. They are his 115 sons fergodsakes!

LSAClassOf2000

October 5th, 2014 at 9:35 PM ^

As you mention it, if you were to use the current Sagarin ratings to predict opening lines (which I do sometimes), then we would be in a position to be underdogs for the remainder of the year, which....yeah, pretend I didn't say that and I totally understand. 

That being said, 2 points is more narrow than what the ratings would have predicted (5.02), so that's something, I suppose. 

jhackney

October 5th, 2014 at 9:12 PM ^

I'd bet against the spread in the Iowa/Indiana game. Iowa always plays to their competition. If Indiana's offense is allowed to get clicking against the methodical Hawkeyes, that spread is dead.

buckeyekiller1

October 5th, 2014 at 11:02 PM ^

I moved out here to sunny Orange County, California a little over 2 years ago. My dad and I have had season tickets for 22 years now and I'm flying in to Detroit for this game. Here's hoping I can leave AA happy. As for drinking...not sure where but if you're tailgating for game day I'd consider it.

MUUM79

October 5th, 2014 at 9:23 PM ^

So having Hoke as your coach can do more damage to your program than NCAA sanctions. Obviously we have to play the game to see where we actually stack up but not a good sign.

Steve in PA

October 5th, 2014 at 10:19 PM ^

Since Hoke has been the coach at Michigan:

1.  PSU has a better Big Ten record

2.  Michigan has lost the only head-to-head matchup against PSU

3.  Michigan only has 1 more bowl win than PSU while PSU is not bowl eligible.

All this despite PSU having the modern version of The Death Penalty

bj dickey

October 5th, 2014 at 9:27 PM ^

This sites most favorite thing to say during the Rodriguez years was that, turnovers ere random occurrences. If that's the case (or even if it's not) we should be due for some change in turnover margin. If that happens vs psu, iu, nw, Maryland I think we win those games. If not, well it will be a sad sad state in A2.

Perkis-Size Me

October 5th, 2014 at 9:31 PM ^

Yep. A team hit with bowl bans, massive scholarship reductions and the worst PR firestorm college athletics has ever seen is still favored against our team. On the road. Yep, folks, we haven't hit rock bottom yet. It can always get worse. And I have a feeling that things are going to get worse before they get better.


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Bando Calrissian

October 5th, 2014 at 9:34 PM ^

Ranged between 100 and 200 bucks, I can't imagine Athletics is going to have an easy time getting rid of the many remaining tickets for this one. Was just able to pull up a block of ten seats in row 31. Plus a good 4000 on StubHub, the student market probably hovering around free... 

This is Michigan.

Jinxed

October 6th, 2014 at 4:03 AM ^

Jesus, you love exagerating for emphasis.

In another thread you said Notre Dame was never as bad as we are right now, and now you say this. JLS only had 1 season above .500 at MSU... Brady Hoke hasn't had a season below .500 here yet. He probably will after this season, but that's just 1, JLS had 3 before getting fired.