Check out this new post on footballoutsiders.com written my brother. He created a formula he calls SackSEER that he uses to projects edge rushers to the NFL. He uses vertical leap, short shuttle, sack rate and missed games to project NFL sacks. It will also be in the upcoming Football Outsiders book, but they have a preview on the site.
Here's the portion people will most care about, BG's draft stock. His vertical leap really brought down his projection:
Brandon Graham, University of Michigan
Vertical: 31.5", Short Shuttle: 4.25, SRAM: 0.62, Missed Games: 4
Projection: 22.1 Sacks through Year 5
The comparison between Brandon Graham and fellow Michigan alum LaMarr Woodley has been beaten to death by pundits. SackSEER, however, distinguishes Woodley and Graham both by virtue of their prospects for success and by their athleticism. Woodley was an extremely explosive but somewhat "stiff" prospect, recording an excellent 38.5-inch vertical leap and a below-average short shuttle at 4.42 seconds, which added up to a solid 28.2 sack SackSEER projection. Graham, on the other hand, demonstrates good quickness with his 4.25-second short shuttle time, but his 31.5-inch vertical leap raises a major red flag. A more apt comparison for Graham would be Tamba Hali, who shared both Graham’s hustle and lack of jumping ability coming out of college.