Our Potential Seeding

Submitted by joeyb on
I am just wondering where people think we will be seeded in the NCAA tournament after a win today? If we were to beat Illinois? Purdue? MSU?

JokischTacopants

March 12th, 2009 at 4:23 PM ^

Okay, I'll be the first with a serious answer. 10. That's what it was before today's game (by consensus) and beating a team like Iowa (sub-.500, 10th team in the conference) doesn't help anything, it's neutral. It might drop to 11 if by some bad luck a few bubble teams pull off miracle runs in their conference tournaments. A win in the quarterfinals might get that up to a 9, and a semifinal win up to an 8. But, seeding can be moved a spot to accommodate the needs of the pairings (and with maybe 8 Big 10 teams this year, many in the 7-11 range, that could very likely happen).

bronxblue

March 12th, 2009 at 4:44 PM ^

I agree. That's why I wouldn't mind seeing this team as a 11 or even an 11. Seeding teams 8-9 has always struck me as a pretty useless "distinctions" since they follow the exact same tract. According to bracketology 101 (before games today), here are the 7s: Utah, Texas, LSU, Tennessee Of that group, UM would probably want to play Utah or Tenn., since those seem like the "weakest" of the 7 seeds. And UM is currently a 9, meaning that they could face any of these teams in an 8/9 matchup (presuming there might be some jostling between who is an 8 or a 9): Dayton, Boston College, Wisconsin, BYU, West Virginia, Ohio State, Butler Throwing out OSU and Wiscy (not going to match up conference opponents in the first round), I think UM could beat anyone in that group. In fact, if it shook out this way, you better believe the committee would line up UM-WVU for the Beillein (?) factor. So either way, UM will be in the 7-10 mix, and I think they can beat anyone else in that pool.

bronxblue

March 12th, 2009 at 4:57 PM ^

While I generally agree, it would probably depend somewhat on who UM beat to get the title. If seeding bears out besides UM, that would mean UM went through Illinois, Purdue, and MSU, which would be really impressive and would warrant some seeding jump. Now, if some upsets come along the way and UM beats, say, Illinois, PSU, and OSU, I'm not sure if that would be enough to jump to a 5, though probably enough for a 6. As it stands, I'm fine with UM being any seed other than 8-9.

collindebein

March 12th, 2009 at 4:37 PM ^

I think we are a 10 now. If we beat Illinois, 8/9. If we go to the finals, I say 7, and if we win the whole think, I see us as high as 5. At this point, I see our worst case scenario as winning against Illinois and then losing against Purdue or whoever else is still alive at that point.

Snuffleupagus

March 12th, 2009 at 5:19 PM ^

Decisions are made on Sunday. The Championship is on Sunday. How in the hell is us winning the thing going to help? The committee's mind will have already been made up. Seriously people... c'mon...

bronxblue

March 12th, 2009 at 4:46 PM ^

I agree. UM is going to be somewhere between 7-10, and 8-9 would be a death knell because each likely #1 (except perhaps UL) would physically dominate inside to such a degree that it would be pretty unlikely UM would win. I much rather see a number 2 like MSU, Duke, or Memphis, even if it means a lower seeding for the first round.

BleedMznBlue

March 12th, 2009 at 5:04 PM ^

most likely they will earn a 10 seed. WIth a possible victory tomorrow, they might climb up to a 8-9 seed. A strong showing in the championship game might get a 7 seed...

joeyb

March 13th, 2009 at 12:56 AM ^

Me too. But I had the same feeling about the seeding as others on here while my friend thought they would be much higher. I just wanted to know that I was more correct than him (at least for now).

TomW09

March 13th, 2009 at 1:28 AM ^

I don't care what the seed is. As long as they don't play in Portland, I'm going. So I'm obviously hoping for anywhere but Portland. Miami would be so sweet...