2016-2017 Oregon Ducks
So this team is difficult to gauge by computer metrics alone. They are an efficient offense and a pretty stout defense. Per Kenpom, they are the #16 offense and #23 defense in the country. They aren’t really old and they aren’t really tall. They don’t rely on 2’s, 3’s, or FT’s with any sort of regularity. They steal the ball quite a bit and they don’t turn it over much. They are good at offensive rebounding but not so good at stopping offensive rebounds. They also don’t foul much. So yeah. These metrics are all based on the fact that they had 6’10” #10 shot blocker, top 300 offensive and defensive rebounder, and their third most efficient player when counting more than 20% usage – Chris Boucher. So, what do these Oregon Ducks look like without him? Here’s their last three games.
(18) Arizona 83-80 L
(118) Iona – 93-77 W
(33) Rhode Island – 75-72 W
From March 10th to March 20th, Michigan is #6 in adjusted efficiency. Oregon is #33 coming in right behind Bucknell. FWIW Louisville is #36 and Oklahoma State is #23 during the same time span. The depth chart over the last five games looks like this –
(player number, name, measurements, description, (2PT/3PT/FT))
#3, PG – Peyton Pritchard, 6’2” 200 LB FR, good distributor and decent shooter (46/37/71)
#2, SG I – Casey Benson, 6’3” 185 LB JR, very efficient at scoring and splits almost half the minutes with Dylan Ennis. (50/42/79)
#31, SG II – Dylan Ennis, 6’2” 196 LB SR, moves around from the 1, 2, or 3 spot, not great at any one single thing, has a proclivity to turnovers. (47/37/75)
#5, SF – Tyler Dorsey, 6’4” 195 LB SO, very efficient wing that takes a majority of 3PT shots. (53/40/73)
#24, PF – Dillon Brooks, 6’7” 225 LB JR, very efficient shooter and also leads Oregon in assist rate. (55/41/73)
#1, C – Jordan Bell, 6’9” 225 LB JR, super efficient at the rim, one of the best offensive and defensive rebounders in the country, blocks well, steals frequently, and doesn’t foul much. (65/15/70)
Oregon has really only used one other player much the last five games. He’s a big fella…
#35, C- Kavell Bigby-Williams, 6’11” 230 LB JR, not enough minutes logged to rank him among shot blockers, but he is a threat to do just that. (48/0/62)
They do move the ball around well from the little bit I’ve watched of them. Will be interesting to see how Beilein plans for this game. I’m not an analyst, just a data guy so feel free to educate me on the strengths and weaknesses we will face on Thursday. Go Blue!