Offseason Speculation: What is Gardner's Ceiling?

Submitted by Michael Scarn on

Despite the fact that it was a relatively small sample of QB play this season, Gardner looked pretty damn good at times, including an impressive performance against the mighty South Carolina defense.   What do you think his ceiling is?  Let's say the levels are:

-All B1G QB

-All American QB

-Heisman Finalist

-Heisman Winner

-Top 15 pick

-Top 5 pick

-Number 1 overall pick

Obviously, a wide range of possibilities, but this is assuming again, an optimistic ceiling, not a prediction of what he'll necessarily turn out to be.  Personally, I think his ceiling is somewhere around All-American/Heisman Finalist, a lot will also depend on his redshirt and the success of team the next couple years.

In case you need a reminder:

 

eamus_caeruli (not verified)

February 25th, 2013 at 11:22 PM ^

Were you watching the last five games? People are making too much out of this supposed power run game. I would bet bottom dollar the coaches want 200/200 game splits. That may seem high, but frankly it's not, especially against most of the BIG.

samdrussBLUE

February 25th, 2013 at 11:41 PM ^

If we are going for that why not just 300/200? This makes us elite offensively and we want moar yards. If denard can do it by himself on multiple expectations I say we make it an offensive goal. Yes please

HAIL-YEA

February 25th, 2013 at 11:59 PM ^

he played amazingly well, especially considering he was not working at qb for most of the year. But 200 yards passing a game is not going to get him in the heisman race. Unless DG can somehow keep scoring touchdowns at the sick pace he was during that 5 game stretch, he wont have the #'s Make no mistake, I am super excited about his potential and I always argued with people who claimed Bellomy had passed him. He has all of the physical tools to be great and I know he won the classroom award at the elite 11 camps..all that adds up to great potential. All that being said, I look at our schedule and only see 2 maybe 3 games( ND,OSU, maybe Neb or NW) where there will be a need for a strong passing attack.  Other than that I expect the coaches to pound the run.

turd ferguson

February 25th, 2013 at 11:25 PM ^

The question is about his ceiling, not his most likely outcome.  His ceiling with respect to accolades is extremely high.  If we can put together a stellar season (say two or fewer losses) and he's a big part of it, he'll probably be part of the Heisman discussion.  I'm not saying that's likely, but it's certainly possible.

maineandblue

February 26th, 2013 at 3:22 AM ^

Exactly. I feel like his ceiling is what Borges' playcalling allows it to be. I think/hope we'll see improved o-line, rb, and wr play this year (Gallon really started showing some breakout potential towards the end of last year, and I see Funchess and Dileo having big years), so my big question mark will be the RPS game and making adjustments to exploit defenses, and that frankly has left me unimpressed more often than not under Borges. Trying to be cautiously optimistic though that Borges will design a solid offense around Devin, who is a better fit for his style than Denard was. 

Newbs

February 25th, 2013 at 11:12 PM ^

I think his ceiling is extremely high. If he puts the work in this offseason and the O-Line wide receivers gel early I think he could do anything on that list. If he gets the redshirt I highly doubt he leaves regardless of what he does this year. Anyone know the status of his redshirt yet or when we will find out?

Gobgoblue

February 25th, 2013 at 11:20 PM ^

But if the receivers can step up or a top talent can emerge (Darboh?) then maybe All-American.  I wouldn't say he can get into the top 15 in the draft, but I'd be surprised if after coming back for his redshirt senior season and devloping nicely, he doesn't go by the end of round 2.  

Gobgoblue

February 25th, 2013 at 11:35 PM ^

because it gave me a warm and fuzzy.  Also, looking at the "hopefuls" it is not that out of the question.

IMHO, I don't think Manziel will win again.  In the SEC, you can bet your ass Saban is staying up until 4:30 in the morning watching film to break down this guy.  

I think this is a pretty decent list: http://www.foxsportssouth.com/12/10/12/Who-will-be-in-2013s-Heisman-Trophy-race/landing_sec.html?blockID=833277

Unfortunately, I think Braxton (vomits) and Aaron Murray are Devin's biggest threats. With a big up to Marqise Lee. 

What does everyone else think?

EDIT: also, Taylor Martinez is on that list so take it FWIW, because that made me LOL in a "no chance in hell" way.  

vbnautilus

February 25th, 2013 at 11:22 PM ^

his ceiling is that textured spray on "popcorn ceiling" kind.  It's also sometimes known as "cottage cheese" ceiling.   I just hope it doesn't contain asbestos.  

WolverineFanatic6

February 25th, 2013 at 11:25 PM ^

Devin has the tools to be the quarterback everyone thought he would be coming out of high school. I believe he will be better then he was last season.

Devin's exhibits great poise in the pocket amd has solid arm strength. He possesses the speed and elusiveness to pick up crucial yardage at important junctures in the game.

I think Devin needs to improve his coverage recognition, and his awareness in the pocket. Several times he tried to make something happen but got sacked when he should have thrown the ball away. His improvement in these areas will definitely come as he's given a full offseason, spring, and fall with first team reps and film study. I do think the continued transition to what Borges wants to run will present a slightly slower pace of improvement then if it were the same system as last year.

I believe if Michigan's offensive line is able to establish the run at even an above average level, Devin and the WR's will benefit greatly. I have a feeling Devin Funchess will double his Freshman numbers and emerge as one if the best TE's in the nation.

All that said I think if granted the Medical redshirt he will become a potential 1st team All American.

turd ferguson

February 25th, 2013 at 11:29 PM ^

His improvement in these areas will definitely come as he's given a full offseason, spring, and fall with first team reps and film study.

Working with the first team is great, but how about the fact that he'll actually be practicing as a quarterback? 

I agree with your broader point.  I expect a major step forward.

willywill9

February 25th, 2013 at 11:27 PM ^

I don't know that he out performs say Braxton Miller, but few QBs will next year.  I think DG will have a very strong season, and we see the best offensive season for Michigan to date (in the Hoke era.)

taistreetsmyhero

February 25th, 2013 at 11:28 PM ^

How is his ceiling not #1 draft pick? He's a former 5* recruit with NFL size and speed. He's shown glimpses of excellence and more than likely has 2 more years to develop.

Now, do I think he will reach that ceiling? No. But then isn't the better question, based on pure speculation, what do you think he will become?

Perkis-Size Me

February 25th, 2013 at 11:34 PM ^

If he can significantly improve his accuracy, I think he can have potentially an All-American season, maybe a Heisman finalist. But that's a tall order. He showed flashes of brilliance against South Carolina, but he had a lot of trouble hitting wide open receivers at times.

All depends on if he puts in the time in the offseason. I think he will, and I remain cautiously optimistic. My ultimate guess is All Big Ten next Fall, and if he sticks around until 2014, that could be a really special year.

erald01

February 25th, 2013 at 11:40 PM ^

Honestly i rather see less accuracy but quick decision and i think the reason he is not accurate is because he makes very quick decision and releases soo quick that he doesnt think twice about the throw.. Denard always would sit there and think too much which led to a sack or him trying to outrun the defense

Gobgoblue

February 25th, 2013 at 11:57 PM ^

he has shown he has the arm strength (Rountree vs. Northwestern), but if he can consistently hit our WR on the money, while still utilizing his altheticism, he is going to be scary good.  As an aside, DG has GREAT instincts and decision making skills (the former is absolutely unbelievable).  

samdrussBLUE

February 25th, 2013 at 11:35 PM ^

If he can add some zip on the ball then he can climb towards that ceiling. He has shown he can run/scramble, he has decent awareness, has the size and we know he can throw the ball deep. I just need to see balls get there more quickly and with less arc, personally.

erald01

February 25th, 2013 at 11:36 PM ^

Devin can and will be a great QB, he has what Michigan needs; size, arm strength, quick release, can outrun defenders and accurate on his throws.. Does he need work? Yes he does, he needs to improve on some of the areas but i love the fact that he keeps calm even when they are behind... I hate to say this but he reminds of Terrell Pryor, big guy, not fast but with his long legs he can collect some yards and make ppl miss.. Devin needs to add some size also, but he will work hard and pull through, he loves Michigan and will do anything to win

Real Tackles Wear 77

February 25th, 2013 at 11:36 PM ^

He is inevitably going to be underrated by the press going into next season, I don't expect him to be on any of the preseason all B1G teams but he will have a tremendous season next year and hopefully the year after.