Odds on some remaining Recruits & Class Size

Submitted by StephenRKass on April 16th, 2012 at 4:43 PM

We are at 17 recruits verbally committed, and are finished with the QB, OL & TE position. I'm interested in two things. First, I'd like to get a sense of the odds of the following recruits coming to Michigan. Second, with seventeen already, do we have room to take all eight below and end up with 25? I realize that the odds and the timetable are different for each recruit, and the one thing I'm sure of is that it probably won't be exactly these individuals who commit. However, this would be a great finish to the class, and would fill all the needs.

  1. Poggi
  2. LaCouture
  3. Treadwell
  4. Isaac
  5. Levenberry
  6. Cravens
  7. Fuller
  8. One more unidentified WR. (Allen?  Massington? LaRue?)


Mr Miggle

April 16th, 2012 at 5:24 PM ^

I'll add my own. It's 100% that nobody knows exactly how much attrition there will be in the next 9+ months. The staff has some control over who comes back for a 5th year, but there will usually be some surprises.


April 16th, 2012 at 5:32 PM ^

I feel good about Poggi and Isaac

Ok about Levenberry and Treadwell

And not that great about Cravens

Think of the last X years of recruiting when you had your top X list of recruits. How many of them do we normally end up getting? For sure not 100%. I imagine a few out of the Treadwell-Levenberry-Cravens-Mathis-[Insert Name of Top250 WR]-Isaac ends up going elsewhere


April 16th, 2012 at 5:33 PM ^

Idk your list looks great, but not sure if that's totally what they are looking for.  As I see it Michigan will be trying hard to get a nose tackle and Poggi has been said to be a 3-tech, Lacouture is a 5-tech/3-tech which is also where Joe Mathis would play if he did so happen to come here, but I don't think were really stressing over another player to play the strong side. It would be more of a luxury to get another strong side d-lineman, and I think that is the same situation for the cornerback position. Since we did tell some corner prospects that we our full at the position, so its either K. Fuller or bust. And the tightend position might not be over just yet I know no new offers have went out, but the coaches did say that might be trying to take 3 tightends in this class which kinda makes sense if you check our depth for next year. We don't really have many blocking tightends. It does seem like we will be taking two more receivers because there is so much talent that has high intersest in at least comng for a visit so I dont think we will be able to turn down that oppurtunity. Also Cravens isn't a must get even though I want him very very much he will also fall into the luxury category. I think it will be more like this:

1. Issac

2. Treadwell

3. Poggi

4. Nose Tackle

5. 2nd receiver (Allen, Massington, Ateman, Bradshaw)

I think the next two spots are left open for a variety of people, but if I was to say who we want the most

6. Levenberry

7. Cravens

The 6 and 7 spot could also be filled by a strongside player like LaCouture or Mathis and maybe a third tight end who has yet to be offered



April 16th, 2012 at 5:49 PM ^

Josh Augusta should probably be on the list. We're in great position with him and he's definitely a four-star talent. Josh's recruitment has been slowly picking up and he currently holds offers from ND and Oklahoma. He would be a great addition to our class.


April 16th, 2012 at 5:50 PM ^

My thoughts:



  1. Poggi - 70%
  2. LaCouture - 20%
  3. Treadwell - 55%
  4. Isaac - 80%
  5. Levenberry - 51%
  6. Cravens - 20%
  7. Fuller - 4% (three of his brothers went to VT)



April 16th, 2012 at 5:53 PM ^

  1. Poggi - 80%
  2. LaCouture - 30%
  3. Treadwell - 50 %
  4. Isaac - 75%
  5. Levenberry - 50 %
  6. Cravens - 20 %
  7. Fuller - 5 %
  8. Massington - 60 %

I'm no expert, but that would be my best guess. I'll say we end up with Poggi, Isaac, Levenberry, Massington, and one other.


April 16th, 2012 at 6:44 PM ^

Very interesting that you put Treadwell and Cravens at the same likelihood.  You're less optimistic on Treadwell and more optimistic on Cravens than anyone else.

My guess - Shane Morris meets some big-ish time receiver at a camp over the summer and convinces him to join the fold.  With a pitch like: "5 star QB, best OL in the country, solid running game, favorable WR depth chart, killer defense" I have to imagine some top WR will jump on board.  Even if you didn't care about the Michigan name, the Big House, the history, the academics - that would be tough to pass up. 


April 16th, 2012 at 6:11 PM ^

If we were to get everyone on that list, I think it's fairly safe to say we'd have one of (if not THE) greatest recruiting classes of all time. We'd have five(!!!) guys in the current Rivals Top 20 (Morris, Isaac, Fuller, Cravens and Levenberry), one or two more five stars, a ton of four stars and a couple three stars.  It would be absolutely ridiculous.


April 16th, 2012 at 7:41 PM ^

I was just saying earlier to keep an eye on Josh Augusta. He was bumped in the rankings on 247 to #195 nationally in today's update that was released an hour ago. Scout has him as a TE, so pay no attention to their ranking right now. Rivals has him as a high three-star and I would expect a bump to four-star status down the road. Some may favor him over LaCouture and even Teller at SDE.

Rather be on BA

April 16th, 2012 at 7:49 PM ^

My completely uninformed, semi-baseless guess is that we get Poggi, Isaac, and 1-2 more out of the rest of those (Levenberry and/or Treadwell?).  The rest of our ~4 scholies going to people we haven't heard much/anything about yet.

Bo Knows

April 16th, 2012 at 8:38 PM ^

I don't have percentages,but from who you have named I think we get Poggi, Isaac, Treadwell, and Levenberry.  Tremendous's interview with Kenton Gibbs is interesting since Gibbs says Michigan wouldn't be his outright leader even with an offer, but I still think he becomes the NT in this class.  


April 16th, 2012 at 10:19 PM ^

Poggi 75%.    Isaac 75 %.     Levenberry 65% before the end of august, 35% after.    Treadwell, Allen and Massington 33%.    Cravens and Fuller 10 %.