New Offer to 2020 4* SF Michah Peavy
https://twitter.com/jakeweingarten/status/1084645098787344387
https://twitter.com/jakeweingarten/status/1084664619208200193
Coach Beilein has extended an offer to 2020 4* SF Micah Peavy out of Duncanville, Texas. Peavy was here this weekend for his official visit and left today with an offer. Peavy is ranked as the #64 player in the 247 Composite and #67 by 247's internal ratings
January 13th, 2019 at 11:18 PM ^
*Micah
Crap, misspelled his name in the title. My bad
January 14th, 2019 at 8:24 AM ^
That's okay Dererk. We forgive you.
January 14th, 2019 at 7:37 AM ^
I think this is the longest I've ever seen a post with no comments.
January 14th, 2019 at 7:41 AM ^
And then you ruined it. We were trying to set a record.
January 14th, 2019 at 8:34 AM ^
Everyone else still has their torch and pitchforks in the thread below.
January 14th, 2019 at 8:09 AM ^
So, like, is he good at basketball....?
/S
January 14th, 2019 at 8:21 AM ^
Only with a girls ball.
January 14th, 2019 at 8:42 AM ^
@Matt D - what say you?
January 14th, 2019 at 9:09 AM ^
I like what I see. A Beilein/Michigan type player...nice basketball IQ...plays all of the aspects of the game well. Good defense, good passer-sees the court very well, good handle, good scorer-not just a shooter. At a very athletic 6'5 he offers the great flexibility of playing anywhere from 1 to 3. Love these kind of kids.
January 14th, 2019 at 2:59 PM ^
"good scorer-not just a shooter."
At this stage you can get rid of the "just" in that sentence. There's a lot of work to do on his form. 23% shooter from three on 26 attempts last year in high school according to MaxPreps. Didn't shoot a three in 6 EYBL games (Thanks to UMHoopsFan on umhoops for the stats). Matthews seems to be a pretty good comparison right now.
January 14th, 2019 at 9:36 AM ^
I've viewed Peavy live on a few occasions, 2-3 times with Pro Skills (EYBL circuit 17u) and Texas Hard Word (UA Circuit), so I'm pretty familiar with his game. My eval/scouting report:
Physical Profile: legit 6'6-6'7, does not appear to have great length (appears to have short arms/perhaps even negative wingspan), but I could certainly be wrong about this
Athleticism: Fluid athlete with plus speed, verticality and acceleration. Good athlete in space (functionally means he likely needs a running start), doesn't quite have the quick twitch athleticism to utilize athletic abilities in tight spaces/through contact. Will have to add muscle mass
Skillset: Average/slightly above average handle, with some ability to change direction and speeds. Not a primary shot creator/high volume PnR prospect at this point in his development, but a very good secondary option in that regard. Good shooter from the midrange area, can hit midrange jumpers off the dribble which is a plus. Below average shooter from distance, not really a high volume shooter from three at this point in his development. Good vision for a wing, can pass from a stagnant position or off the dribble/on the move and create easy buckets for teammates.
Comparison/Projection: From the very first time I viewed Peavy live the first name that came to mind is a former Michigan player................Manny Harris. His game is almost identical to Manny in every way imaginable. Similar physical profile/athleticism, right hand dominant players that are good midrange shooters, have very good vision/playmaking skills for bigger wings and below average shooters from distance.
January 14th, 2019 at 9:39 AM ^
I'd be okay with another Manny Harris. Just think of we surrounded Manny with other talented players.
January 14th, 2019 at 9:48 AM ^
Matt D - Appreciate your input to the board and look forward to your scouting takes. To a novice like me, this profile doesn’t scream top 100 player. I’m not a “star watcher” but interested in how you think he is rated (too high/low/just right) and his upside. Thanks
January 14th, 2019 at 10:10 AM ^
Manny Harris was a top 40 player.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:30 AM ^
He's a 2020, so his ranking will be heavily influenced by how he performs on the AAU circuit this Spring Summer. Based on what I viewed last year (which will be sort of moot come April), I'd probably have Peavy in the 60-80 range in my rankings as of right now.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:53 AM ^
Top 100 in basketball doesn’t mean the same thing it does for football due to having less players. I would say it is more analogous to top 300. 65 overall probably translates to 175-200 in football.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:05 AM ^
Thanks for that! Useful!
January 14th, 2019 at 10:15 AM ^
I'm trying to visualize a negative wingspan and cannot. Intuitively, a negative wingspan makes no sense. A wingspan that is less than your height seems to still be positive.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:46 AM ^
Better wording is wingspan differential, but we're talking semantics here. Basically the difference between wingspan and height.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:31 AM ^
Thanks for the clarity.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:50 AM ^
Think Austin Thornton from MSU. I always felt like that dude had short arms compared to his torso.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:56 AM ^
think t rex
January 14th, 2019 at 11:27 AM ^
Or a kangaroo?
January 14th, 2019 at 1:16 PM ^
Or a corgi?
January 14th, 2019 at 10:20 AM ^
Thanks for your analysis. Great stuff
January 14th, 2019 at 9:53 AM ^
While Matt D's assessment doesn't overly excite me, I would trust Beilein's assessment the most. I would guess that his shooting and ballhandling skills are superior and that he has a high ceiling. He's at the sweet spot for a Beilein recruit, highly rated with elite potential but not quite rated elite at this point.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:16 AM ^
Agree - In Beilein I trust.
January 14th, 2019 at 10:39 AM ^
Let me be very clear (I can see as to how some would perceive my wording above as being meh on Peavy), I think Peavy is worth an offer and I like him as a prospect. Is he elite, no. Is he likely to be a day 1 contributor, no. Is he likely to have good return value, yes. Meaning I think he can be an impact player for a few years with a year or two of development.
Ballhandling evals are very subjective, and each individual has their own opinion. For me personally, I evaluate ballhandling/shot creation in the context of what you do vs a set, half-court defense where the handler is facing pressure and has to make decisions in tight spaces and absorb contact. Peavy isn't bad by any means, but he's certainly not a high-volume PnR handler where you give him the ball at the top of the key and say 'get us a bucket'.
With respect to shooting, this is probably the weakest part of his game, at least from distance. He didn't attempt a single three on the EYBL circuit (which is indicative in its own right) through 6 games and went 1/9 from three in 8 games on the UA Circuit.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:04 AM ^
I am in strong agreement with your assessment-from the clips I viewed. My assessment, however, is that he has a very high value for a coach like Beilein. This is a high IQ basketball kid with enough physical talent to have an excellent upside. Surely you agree that the AAU circuit does a kid like this no favors. But put a kid like this on the floor for Michigan and you have a Brazdeikis-who stretches every inch you give him into a mile. He's not Brazdeikis but he will make you pay if you give him that inch-and I will take that kid every day and twice on Sunday...and win.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:24 AM ^
I actually think AAU may inflate his value a bit, at least in relation to what value he holds at Michigan. AAU is a very fast-paced game, whereas Michigan is much more methodical and deliberate on offense. Essentially this translates to Peavy operating with more space in AAU, where he can really use his athleticism (speed in particular) to score or playmake for teammates. Offense under Coach Beilien requires players to operate in tight spaces with precise reads.
That said, I think Peavy will be used similar to how we used Manny and Irvin. Coming off down screens where Peavy curls at the elbow and takes a midrange jumper or gets into the paint to finish or playmake. As he develops I think you'll see Coach Beilein utilize Peavy as a handler in PnR on the left side of the court and get him going downhill with his right hand and put pressure on the rim and collapse the defense.
I'd love to have him on board in 2020. It sort of continues the trend of Coach Beilein and staff prioritizing positional size/length and athleticism as opposed to primarily shooting.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:12 AM ^
Thanks for your input Matt D! I always appreciate your analysis.
I apologize if you have covered this already, but do you see us getting another Iggy or top talent in the 2020 class? I was thinking last night that we still have some major talent (Freshman) on our bench that will more than likely be contributors next year.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:26 AM ^
I think that remains to be seen. A lot will depend on how we finish the year on the court (trending VERY well right now). And if we do get to another F4, that momentum will likely carry over on the recruiting trail where the staff can prioritize prospects that are of elite caliber and perhaps a notch below.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:35 AM ^
Thanks Matt!. Why don't you think momentum hasn't already moved in our favor with our results for the past several years or do you think it has? It seems to me that Michigan basketball has become a elite basketball program or am I just looking at things through my maize and blue glasses (which I usually tend to do)?
January 14th, 2019 at 12:00 PM ^
I think momentum has turned in our favor, to a certain extent. Locking up legit talents in Jalen Wilson, Cole Bajema in 2019 (and Jackson in 2020) in conjunction with our strong 2018 class is what leads to sustained success.
I think what you may be asking (and please correct me if I'm wrong), is why aren't we landing 5 star/one and done types? If I'm being candid, I don't think that is ever going to happen with consistency as long as Coach Beilein is here, and frankly, we don't need it to happen. Recruiting, to a large extent, is about relationships as opposed to anything objective. Coach Beilein simply isn't wired to maintain communication with kids every day, multiple times per day, without that same level of interest being reciprocated. Basically that translates to we're not going to play the begging/waiting game with elite caliber prospects that drag recruitments out for a year or two, which is often the case for 5star/one and done prospects.
January 14th, 2019 at 1:23 PM ^
Just to add to Matt's point about dragged out recruitments, I think this offer was an indication that Beilein had waited long enough for Ethan Morton to decide. Morton's a 6'4" SG from PA who's ranked a little higher and was offered in October. Beilein doesn't throw out many offers at all, much like Stanford in football.
January 14th, 2019 at 1:58 PM ^
Interesting thoughts. Thanks again for your input!
January 14th, 2019 at 11:04 AM ^
There's a clear theme developing in UM basketball recruiting, and that is to take a bunch of 6'5" to 6'8" wings who can do a bit of everything. They don't need to be elite in any one aspect, just solid all around. Jalen Wilson, Cole Bajema, now looking at Peavy. You could even go backward and see how Livers and Johns could fit the mold too.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:12 AM ^
Quite a number of years back Cleveland State had a very nice team composed almost entirely of a set of these kids who flew under the "elite" radar but knew how to play the game. These type of players set you up to create a variety of mismatches-in your favor. Coach Beilein is certainly including this element to his teams.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:13 AM ^
I don't think Beilein would walk away from all the one-and-dones like Zion Williamson, but he does like to take guys that he knows are going to be around for at least a few years. Look at how so many of his guys who do last three or four years in the program become tremendous team players and leaders, despite their lesser chances to make it to the pros. Teske and Simpson are blowing up in their third year and we will likely have both for a fourth--although if Teske keeps this up he might have some scouts gaining interest.
January 14th, 2019 at 11:54 AM ^
I actually think that Zion is the five star version of what I'm describing. He isn't up to the Beilein preferred level as three point shooter, but he can do pretty much everything average to excellent. He can dribble, can pass, can defend, can rebound, and obviously is a beyond superior athlete (none of the other guys fit that part).
However, I think Beilein's spent enough energy on the top 30 kids with marginal returns that he knows he could put that same energy into get two kids who are top 70 and maybe undervalued. Maybe they see a bit of an evaluating inefficiency for jack-of-all-trades prospects.
Also, Yaklich must have some level of input on this. As I understand it, he was the lead on Wilson, Castleton, and Carton. The slight tweak seems to have come around with his arrival.
January 14th, 2019 at 12:14 PM ^
Yaklich the lead recruiter for a good portion of our non-Midwest prospects/commits. Saddi is the lead recruiter for a good portion of Midwest prospcts/commits. Coach Beilein is obviously the head man in all things, but the two aforementioned coaches do a lot of the leg work.
January 14th, 2019 at 12:21 PM ^
Is he quick in space?
January 14th, 2019 at 12:36 PM ^
2020 could be another 5 man recruiting class. Teske, Davis, Simpson all graduate. Poole and Iggy probably gone to the NBA.
January 14th, 2019 at 2:12 PM ^
I'll drop this nugget here...........I'll be dropping news on a BIG TIME new target in the 2020 class either tonight or tomorrow.
January 14th, 2019 at 3:03 PM ^
Appreciate the contributions, Matt. Thanks for doing your best to keep us updated.
January 15th, 2019 at 9:11 AM ^
I've seen him in person several times. He's the son of Duncanville's basketball head coach. Which you can tell by his IQ he's a coaches son. I say he plays more like Caris LeVert, than Charles Matthews, beacuse of his ball handling abilities. He'd be a great addition. Go Blue!! In TX