# Nate Silver Predicts the Tournament

By combining two things I geek out about -- politics and sports statistics -- Nate Silver has become something of a legend in my own mind. Plus he's from Michigan. Briefly, he's a baseball statistician who rose to prominance by predicting the 2008 election better than any polls and has since become a sort of pop-statistician for the *New York Times* doing both election and sports predictions. He has come out with a bracket largely based on KenPom and similar computer rankings adjusted for injuries, locations and the like (as far as I can tell it hasn't been adjusted for current form, which is why Villanova isn't given a 0% chance of winning their first game). It picks Tennessee to win, so I'm angry at it right now, but it's worth a look and at least as legit as Joe Lunardi.

http://ncaabracket.nytimes.com/2011/bracket/men/fivethirtyeight-forecast

## Comments