Michigan will have a better year than...

Submitted by blue95 on September 2nd, 2011 at 10:07 PM

a) Texas

b) Florida

c) both

d) neither

That's what I'm dealing with at work, the only folks who care about college ball follow either Texas or Florida. 

It's all good-natured, but were I to trash talk or wager either one, where do you think we stand against them?  I honestly don't know the first thing about where either program is at this year.

I hear a lot of, "well, if it was the 19th century, then I'm sure Michigan would be relevant" type stuff.



September 2nd, 2011 at 10:18 PM ^

from last year, we were 55th and Texas was 72nd (their offense was 104th, so essentially just like our defense). They return 6 on defense. The break even point in the FEI projections I saw on here was 7 (?). With recruiting, they'll probably be about the same or a bit better on defense than last years 31st. The offense returns 6 including the QB. That will be better, but they have a long, long way to dig out of the hole they are starting from.

The Gators return only 4 from last years 36th ranked D. They also return 6 plus a QB on last years 57th ranked offense.

The funny caveat is that both teams are breaking in new coaches at major spots. Texas has a new DC after their became Florida's HC. Florida has to break in a COMPLETELY new system.

Moral of the story is, Florida and Texas are a ways off from being in the upper echelon on college football right now.


September 2nd, 2011 at 11:18 PM ^

 Mich 05 was in every single game & beat EOY #3 PSU

2005 Michigan Wolverines Schedule
Sept 3 1-0 (0-0)
Sept 10 1-1 (0-0)
Sept 17 2-1 (0-0)
Sept 24 2-2 (0-1)
Oct 1 3-2 (1-1)
Oct 8 3-3 (1-2)
Oct 15 4-3 (2-2)
Oct 22 5-3 (3-2)
Oct 29 6-3 (4-2)
Nov 12 7-3 (5-2)
Nov 19 7-4 (5-3)
MasterCard Alamo Bowl
Dec 28

7-5 (5-3)



2010 Florida Gators Schedule
Sept 4 1-0 (0-0)
Sept 11 2-0 (0-0)
Sept 18 3-0 (1-0)
Sept 25 4-0 (2-0)
Oct 2 4-1 (2-1)
Oct 9 4-2 (2-2)
Oct 16 4-3 (2-3)
Oct 30 5-3 (3-3)
Nov 6 6-3 (4-3)
Nov 13 6-4 (4-4)
Nov 20 7-4 (4-4)
Nov 27 7-5 (4-4)
Jan 1 8-5 (4-4)


2010 Texas Longhorns Schedule
Sept 4 1-0 (0-0)
Sept 11 2-0 (0-0)
Sept 18 3-0 (1-0)
Sept 25 3-1 (1-0)
Oct 2 3-2 (1-1)
Oct 16 4-2 (2-1)
Oct 23 4-3 (2-2)
Oct 30 4-4 (2-3)
Nov 6 4-5 (2-4)
Nov 13 4-6 (2-5)
Nov 20 5-6 (2-5)
Nov 25 5-7 (2-6)



September 3rd, 2011 at 12:48 AM ^

Florida is stuck with a legacy (dad and uncle) QB who just isn't that good and an offensive system downgrade to better fit his abilities.  Urban Meyer proved to himself that he couldn't do the job when he forced himself to work for less hours.  That affected recruiting.  The coaching change may be a disaster or it may be great; I am leaning toward Ron Zook v2.  

As for Texas, I can't imagine them sucking two years in a row; they have too much talent and too many resources (read; lots of money).  We'll know by the BYU game.  If they lose to BYU or win a close game against them, they probably have three more losable games.  If they beat BYU handily, it will be an indication that they are back.  

After all that, I don't see Texas losing more than two games.  If Michigan is better than Texas this year, it could mean a trip to the BT Championship game.  


September 3rd, 2011 at 6:19 AM ^

.....well, my 401(k). 

In all seriousness, I dare say we have a better year than both Texas and Florida. The former has a below-average offense, and the latter has a sadist doing their scheduling this year. 


September 3rd, 2011 at 7:54 AM ^

2-OC system is asking for trouble IMO, and their personnel is about the same from last year.  I think Florida is getting past the end of the Urban Meyer era and they have a good chance to make 10 wins this year.  Michigan might make 10 but it's going to take a lot of luck to get there (9-3 is my Michigan prediction, if anyone was wondering).