MGo Weather Update:
My daughter is a Staff Sgt in the USAF stationed in Warner Robbins AFB. Her MOS is short term (24 hour) weather forecasting for the Eastern USA. Her forecasts are slightly different from the NWS that we get via Weatherbug, Weather Channel and other weather sources.
Her Lt. is a HUGE Michigan fan and has authorized her to be the "unofficial" weather forecaster for MGoBlog. Here is her terminal forecast for KARB:
10am: 75deg wind 010 @ 4: Rain: 45% Partly Sunny
11am: 77 deg wind 010 @5 Rain: 50% Partly Sunny
Noon: 79 deg wind 000 @ 5 Rain: 43% Partly Sunny
1pm: 82 deg wind 010 @6 Rain: 40% Partly Sunny
2pm: 82 deg wind 000@5 Rain 40% Partly Sunny
3pm: 84 deg wind 010@4 Rain: 38% Partly Sunny
KICKOFF: 84 deg wind 000@5 Rain 37% Partly Sunny
4pm: 84 Deg wind 000@5 Rain 38% Partly Sunny
5pm: 82 Deg wind 000@4 Rain 36% Partly Sunny
6pm: 81 Deg wind 010@4 Rain 40% Partly Sunny
7pm: 75 Deg wind 045@3 Rain 45% Partly Sunny
8pm: 72 Deg wind 022@3 Rain 50% Partly Sunny
So it looks like the game will get book-ended by rain. So plan ahead with a poncho just in case.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:21 PM ^
She's absolutely unofficial, because there's already someone who does this...
August 30th, 2013 at 3:36 PM ^
Than where is the official person? It's less than 24 hours until kickoff (!)
August 30th, 2013 at 3:38 PM ^
NO OFFICIAL WEATHER UPDATE YET?!?! PANIC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
August 30th, 2013 at 4:07 PM ^
use the term "unofficial" because she and her Lt could get into trouble because of sequestration. All of the civilian meterologists have been furloughed. The active duty service people are manning the stations. She does not like it because she has to work a swing shift.
August 30th, 2013 at 4:00 PM ^
You are the official mgoDouche.
August 30th, 2013 at 5:44 PM ^
Just saying.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:21 PM ^
if I am ever in trouble with the USAF, all I really have to do is name drop MGoBlog? Sounds good to me.
Also, thanks for the inside information. That's pretty cool.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:38 PM ^
I appreciate your post. A lot of unappreciative dicks on this site
August 30th, 2013 at 3:22 PM ^
disagree with your rain predictions:
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/Weather.aspx?location=USMI0028
but always better to be safe than sorry and bring the ponchos
August 30th, 2013 at 3:30 PM ^
different from the USAF. She is forecasting a much higher humidity than Intellicast has. Humidity+Heat=Trouble.
I will certainly heed my daughters advice and bring ponchos just in case. I just hope it done not rain until after the game.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:42 PM ^
weatherbug agrees with your daughter http://weather.weatherbug.com/MI/Ann%20Arbor-weather/local-forecast/hou…
weather.com doesnt though http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/graph/Ann+Arbor+MI+USMI0028:1…
seems like a coin flip, hopefully it will avoid raining during the game at least
August 30th, 2013 at 3:23 PM ^
Does rain include thunderstorms or no?
August 30th, 2013 at 3:27 PM ^
I remember CMU and the first-ever delay at Michigan Stadium. I was watching the radar on my Moto Razor phone and watching the clouds roll in from the North. (I was sitting in South End zone). It rained about 2 inches in 30 minutes and there was no where to hide.
The PA said to "exit the stadium for your own safety". Where the hell were we to go? Out on an open golf course?
I was there in 11 but was smart and left before the storms came in. We pulled out onto State St when it unleashed. We made it to I94 and got ahead of the storm by going 90MPH.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:37 PM ^
I remember the 2011 WMU game when the stadium was evacuated twice. At first, no one wanted to leave. Then they put the radar up on the scoreboard screen, and suddenly everyone wanted to leave.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:47 PM ^
Almost 2 years to the day. That was a blast.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:51 PM ^
Yea that was fun. Still wish we could have finished that last drive
August 30th, 2013 at 3:50 PM ^
Got freaking drenched. Took my son and nephew...they loved it.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:50 PM ^
Yeah being in the student section for that game was awesome, it was so hot before the storm and nobody in the student section left, when it started to rain was the loudest cheer in the game and from that point everyone was into it until they literally kicked us out.
August 30th, 2013 at 5:05 PM ^
It was my (now) wife's first game... her second game also had rain. Tomorrow is her third...
August 30th, 2013 at 3:28 PM ^
Better odds that it won't rain, than it will.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:32 PM ^
The meteorologists at my airline and myself highly disagree.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:41 PM ^
Yeah this seems to disagree with every other forecast I can find, most of which put the chance of rain at 10%.
August 30th, 2013 at 9:43 PM ^
3 hour intervals from 2am,5, 8, 11, 2pm,5, 8, and 11. Thuderstorms and current Tstorm watch for SE Michigan. I live by Wunderground, seems to be most accurate. They miss too, but not often.
50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 10% | 10% |
August 30th, 2013 at 3:47 PM ^
Go Blue! Go AF!
August 30th, 2013 at 4:12 PM ^
It was difficult for my wife because she had to root for M and AF last year. My youngest daughter gradutated from CMU (Michigan has no Actuary Program) so my wife will be conflicted tomorrow.
My daughter will wear her Michigan Season T with her CMU hat.
I paid enough money to CMU so I will be dammed if I wear anything CMU tomorrow.
My boss will be tailgaiting with us tomorrow as well. He is a Wiskey Grad but will be wearing Maize. I told him he should wear Wiskey T shirt but it could be mistaken for ohio.
August 30th, 2013 at 5:56 PM ^
I work with the AF's base ops and air traffic folks, and we're always in the same squadron as weather. I have found the AF weather models to be some of the most accurate, and always love getting the inside scoop on the forecast. It was especially nice while I was stationed in tornado alley; they were always the best at predicting when the big thunderstorms would pop-up.
August 30th, 2013 at 9:18 PM ^
she loves her job and enjoys making a difference; especially to the Pilots. She will chat up Pilots as they report PIREPS. She is well known on the airwaves at 119.475.
August 30th, 2013 at 11:04 PM ^
Having a degree in actuarial mathematics (that I don't use, but that's beside the point) from Michigan, I'm confused why you say Michigan doesn't have an actuary program.
August 30th, 2013 at 3:47 PM ^
The NAM has very low moisture at the 500 and 700 mb levels during the game. Frontal boundary will be south of the Michigan / Ohio border. Expect rain to stay to the south and east of Ann Arbor with partly cloudy skies for the majority of the blood-bath. Source: I have a meteorology degree.
August 30th, 2013 at 4:08 PM ^
after 7:00 p.m. Saturday. It will be 100% accurate.
The fact is, it’s going to be so damn warm tomorrow that the rain will actually feel good. I’ll have my raincoat for my camera gear! That’s all that matters to me. Anyone who was at the game in ’06 and/or at WMU ’11 are veterans and will stick around until the clock reads 0:00 (or game cancelled, whichever comes first).
Go Blue!
August 30th, 2013 at 4:24 PM ^
6" lense is the max, mines literally 6 do they actually pull u aside and measure? I'm wearing mine on my neck for minnesota if we have nice weather.
August 30th, 2013 at 6:26 PM ^
i have seen other post where they do not measure lens. i have a new 6" lens this year as well.
any thoughts?
August 30th, 2013 at 4:19 PM ^
Be prepared for rain because if you don't, it will rain....BUT if you bring a poncho and are prepared, it will not rain. My joints and knees are bad at this weather stuff
August 30th, 2013 at 4:25 PM ^
Can I have my sweet sweet tax dollars back?
/nopolo
August 30th, 2013 at 4:40 PM ^
I hope it rains just enough for all the students to swivel their feet on all the seats and make a nails-on-chalkboard-esque sound effect for CMU (and my roommate*).
*Tyler if you're reading this, no hate intended, I just think it's funny ^,^
August 30th, 2013 at 4:58 PM ^
of a blowout!
GO BLUE!
August 30th, 2013 at 6:03 PM ^
...and I'm not sure I do.
They've been going back and forth all week. About a week ago, zero percent chance, then it went to 30%, then as high as 50% -- just this morning. And now?
- Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind 5 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
- Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
I include tonight's forecast there because of Notre Dame 2011.
August 30th, 2013 at 9:07 PM ^
My suggestion is, if you're adamant about taking in your camera, be prepared to have to walk it back to your car if you are turned away at the gate. If you can get it in, good for you. Just make it worth your while once you get it in there!
August 31st, 2013 at 8:58 AM ^
does no one with this kind of equipment understand what a sig fig is? 43% weather prediction a day out with a 50% range from other predictors? Bullshit....