TrueBlue2003

October 4th, 2016 at 6:38 PM ^

likes us to make the playoffs.  He said IF both teams are undefeated and IF it's an epic, close game, then he sees that scenario being the most likely scenario for a conference to send two teams to the playoff this year.  And he might be right about that but it's not at all a prediction that we'll make it.

I still think Louisville has the better chance to make it as the second ACC team than Michigan has as the second B1G ten team because 1) they already got the epic, close road loss to the likely conference champ that a conference loser would need and 2) they have a better (at least, currently perceived as better) non-conference opponent in Houston in what could end up a play-in game.

Of course, two teams from one conference making it would all depend on Washington losing at least two games this season or losing the PAC12 championship.  If that doesn't happen, it's a moot point.  There won't be a conference with two teams.  Also, Baylor needs to lose one, maybe two (but I bet they'd get left out with one loss).

Just beat Ohio.

ijohnb

October 4th, 2016 at 1:37 PM ^

see it.  Louisville and Clemson both from the ACC would be far more likely with the OSU/UM loss being so late in the season.  An undefeated Houston would probably rain on both of those parades as well.

MGlobules

October 4th, 2016 at 1:51 PM ^

we've got some improving to do. OSU's D is on course to be one of their best all time. If the game were in A2 I would be more inclined to the scenario Finebam describes. We'll know more after they play Wisconsin, but. . .

TrueBlue2003

October 5th, 2016 at 12:05 AM ^

a lot of terrible offenses in the big ten.  Nebraska might be the best they play this year?

EDIT: Nebraska does have the highest rated S&P+ remaining on OSUs schedule (including us) at a mediocre 24th in the country.  We're 40th, and Maryland and IU aren't far behind at 45th and 48th. Wisconsin has the 100th ranked offense in the country per S&P+!! So you are correct that Wisconsin will almost certainly not be a test.

And yeah, lot of bad offenses in the big ten.

stephenrjking

October 4th, 2016 at 2:11 PM ^

This continues to be horrible logic. No, the committee doesn't care about the tv show. They don't care about blue bloods. They care about who is the best team, and while they may not be perfect at it they go to some lengths to objectively determine who that is.

The B1G is good this year, so the champion's resume is going to be really good. That's all that matters.

drzoidburg

October 4th, 2016 at 4:04 PM ^

Yes but a 14-7 loss (and shoulda given up 2-3 FG) is a "blowout" compared to 42-36. It's more like Colorado's 17 point loss to Michigan

However i do believe Ohio is > Clemson and a similar close loss by UM combined with wins over CU and Wisc *should* put UM in over Louisville, which would only have beaten Houston. Sadly MSU and Iowa are worse than expected, so those won't count for much. On top of this, we'd need Washington to lose and possibly for Louisville to beat Houston

But the point is it will be very difficult to reach a 42-36 loss to Ohio on the road. More realistically, have to find a way to keep the game in the 20s and win

The other scenario is beat Ohio and then lose the CCG, but i find this unlikely

ElBictors

October 4th, 2016 at 6:26 PM ^

I don't know, that 6-3 snoozer between Alabama and LSU was spun to be the greatest exhibition of defensive magnificence in the history of college football.  A battle of two super powers so amazing, that it could only be between two SEC teams.

 

I'm sure a hard fought, "Bo vs Woody" style game in November would be regarded similarly.

I dumped the Dope

October 5th, 2016 at 3:07 AM ^

Imo they don't run a classic stuff-it-between-the-tackles offense that was played in those days.

Michigan is much closer to that when they can crack off 4-5 yard gains and keep the chains moving.  However OSU zone read with threat to pass is a sort of run-first offense, it requires fast guys and not big guys in my simple analysis.

Everyone Murders

October 4th, 2016 at 1:41 PM ^

Before the inevitable deletion, I'll note that capturing the Naked Mole Rat vote is viewed as essential to Michigan's campaign to get into the playoff.

Thanks for the support, Pauuuuuuuwwwwwwwwwwwwwwllllll.

Brendan71388

October 4th, 2016 at 1:42 PM ^

247 Wolverine's Facebook post about this called it a "dream scenario."

I can't be the only one who doesn't see both of us getting in as a dream scenario. It either means we lose to them, or it means they lose to us but get in anyway.

Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad

mgowild

October 4th, 2016 at 2:04 PM ^

I think "Dream Scenario" refers to the idea that if Michigan takes care of business up until The Game, they're in the playoffs, even if they end up losing. Now that probably means we'd have to lose a close game (not by 14 or more) for us to end up in the playoffs, but barring some real chaos, I don't see us getting in without winning the conference.
 

lhglrkwg

October 4th, 2016 at 1:43 PM ^

I think the only way we get both us and OSU in is if we're both undefeated going in and the underdog wins a narrow one. Like if #3 Michigan goes in and beats #2 OSU 24-21 then I could see us moving to #2 and OSU sneaking in at  #4. If the favorite wins, it's hard to see the underdog team bouncing back and getting to the CFP with no conference title and a competition (presumably) with the SEC champ, Washington?, ACC Champ, and maybe Houston.