Joe Lunardi's Latest Bracketology

Submitted by um09inohio on March 5th, 2011 at 5:09 PM

Michigan State is now listed among his last 4 in.  Michigan is not, so presumably we are comfortably in at this point.

Comments

AAB

March 5th, 2011 at 5:10 PM ^

Still would like to beat Illinois to hopefully insure that we're not playing in one of the 2 play-in games.  And to avoid getting screwed if conference tourneys go insane.  

enlightenedbum

March 5th, 2011 at 5:13 PM ^

Last four in are the play in games, so we're safe for the moment.

I want a win and a 10 seed because I think Notre Dame gets a 2 and I doubt the committee could resist the potential of that match up in the second round.  We could beat them.

cheesheadwolverine

March 5th, 2011 at 5:19 PM ^

I don't want to go to the play in game like some bullshit team from the MAAC or the SWAC.  But also I don't think anyone is "safe."  Remember his bracketology assigns autobids to the top regular season team.  Even best-case senario, you have to assume there is some upset that in an otherwise one-bid conference.  Add that to the natural uncertainty and if we're fifth from out, I wouldn't be confident even if conference tournaments generally go our way.   Also important to remember that losing the 4/5 game would hurt us as much as winning it wold help us, so we'd fall probably back into the last four in.

Muttley

March 5th, 2011 at 5:46 PM ^

that have a shot at stealing an auto-bid, knock an expected autobid into the at-large pool infront of us.

Would Lunardi have MSU in the dance at this moment?  I'm guessing no, if you were to freeze everything, play the league tournaments in secret, and then just announce the winners.  Being on the "Last Four In" means you're one of the first to be elbowed out by a mid-major also ran that only has to win one or two games against tournament quality opposition to win its league.

It's great to see us above the "Last Four In".  But I think a Friday loss would put us back there, having to root against league tournament upsets and someone in the "Last Four Out" taking the opportunity to go deep and move ahead of us.

WolvinLA2

March 5th, 2011 at 5:32 PM ^

We wouldn't play a team from a one-bid conference, we'd play another at-large team.  That would actually be kinda cool because it would be another bubble calibur team like us, and I like our chances at this point.  I think we're playing our best bball right now - it we played like this all season we'd be a 9 or 10 seed at least. 

WolvinLA2

March 5th, 2011 at 5:20 PM ^

Here's my take.  If we lose our first round BTT game against Illinois, we're a 12 seed.  Every win we get from today on moves us up one seed.  If we beat Illinois we're an 11 seed.  If we follow that up with a win over OSU, we're a 10 seed.  If we win the BTT over Purdue or Wisconsin, we're a 9 seed.  It makes sense.

GoPackGo

March 5th, 2011 at 5:35 PM ^

I like the 12 seed idea, but I think a win vs Illinois would indicate we are no bubble team anymore, as we are playing our best basketball and are SO HOT right now ( like Hansel)..I would say it moves us to a 10, and another win puts us in the 8-9 range...(maybe even 7, assuming its OSU or Purdue?)...with those wins, it would be established that we are no fluke, and a legitimate middle seed...

WolvinLA2

March 5th, 2011 at 6:08 PM ^

We will certainly play Illinois in our first game of the BTT now and we'll play OSU if we win, assuming OSU doesn't blow it against the Minny/NW winner. And I don't think they will.

umich_fan1

March 5th, 2011 at 5:28 PM ^

five min after tip off i realized that my basement was flooding. 3 inches of water over half of it. i missed parts of the game cleaning it up. i am still cleaning and will be for hours. ya know what, try wipeing the f ing smile off my face. its a great f ing day. d mo, mad love.... this is your house baby.

UM Swagger

March 5th, 2011 at 5:36 PM ^

We're a 12 right now.  I agree the better we do in big 10 tournament we move up in seeding.  I don't know why everyone is talking about play in games.  Not going to happen.  You will not see a major confrence team any worse then a 12 seed.  If you can't be a 12 seed you're in the NIT.  Play in games are for schools like Coastal Carolina.....

UM Swagger

March 5th, 2011 at 5:46 PM ^

I just looked up how the seeding would go and I was wrong as usual!  Maybe will be in a play in game.  I don't like the format at all.  12 over  5 is always the best part of first round.  If you make 12's play an extra game I think it limits that from happening.  Anyway I still say we won't be in a play in game ; )

 

bronxblue

March 5th, 2011 at 5:53 PM ^

At this point, 9-9 in a top conference should get UM in, especially give some of the close losses and the fact that the team has been playing way better now than at the beginning of the season.  That said, you don't want to be a 12-seed floating near the bubble, and a loss to Illinois does that.  Win in the 2nd round and this team will be an 11 seed, and then who knows.  Luckily, there are not that many mid-major bubble teams out there, so UM should be in either way.  Still, 20 wins would be a nice cherry on the regular-season sundae.

Zone Left

March 5th, 2011 at 6:08 PM ^

"Brett: "Michigan showing up big-time, Sparty playing like they know for sure they’re already in."

Me: "Michigan State's season is that of a lazy high school cross country runner. They lolly-gagged the whole race, started running just in time for to make their time, and then coasted the rest of the way."

Brett: "Honestly, I’m not sure they’ve made their time. If they lose their first Big Ten tourney game ... a 17-14 team with zero significant nonconference wins and a 3-9 record vs the top 50 is getting in? Based on what?"

Via ESPN

That's what happens when talented teams get too entitled--especially in a sport like basketball where lots of teams with mediocre records make the postseason.


 

john22

March 5th, 2011 at 6:48 PM ^

have done enough to get in as of right now. We still have one more game left. I think we will beat whoever we play. GO BLUE!!!

umichjenks

March 5th, 2011 at 7:20 PM ^

What a great day.  Michigan beats up on his little brother again and Iowa beats Purdue lol.

GO BLUE!

Someone also explain to me how Yahoo named Aaron Craft B10 freshman of the year over Tim Hardaway Jr.?

TH Jr. has won B10 freshman of the week 4 times this year and most likely will get a 5th one after today.