Indiana by the Numbers
After the Minnesota near debacle I appreciate the Scarlet Knights for playing almost exactly as the numbers would show them to. They were decent in the few places they were supposed to be, and "rutgery" in the places they were supposed to be. After playing 2 teams back to back with few strengths and many weaknesses we face Indiana who has quite a few more strengths....but still racks up a lot of weaknesses.
Things Indiana is Good At
Natl Rank | Value | ||
Offense | |||
Passing Offense | 31 | 275.1 | |
Passing yds per comp | 23 | 13.76 | |
Fumbles lost | 15 | 3 | |
Passes Had Intecepted | 27 | 6 | |
Red zone Offense | 12 | 91.7% | |
Rushing Offense** | 48 | 185.8 | |
Sacks allowed / game | 20 | 1.2 | |
TFL allowed / game | 26 | 5.1 | |
Total offense | 30 | 460.9 | |
Defense | |||
Fumbles recovered | 22 | 8 | |
Misc / Special Teams | |||
Turnover Margin / game | 24 | 0.56 | |
Turnovers lost | 12 | 9 |
As one would expect almost all of Indiana's strengths lay on offense. The only thing the D does well is recover fumbles but UM usually does a good job not giving those up. Indiana also doesn't turn the ball over much which is a credit to them considering how much yardage they generate. Creating fumbles has been a massive issue for UM D as it is now among the worst in the nation in that category.
Offensively I included "rushing offense" in Indiana's strengths even though they don't rank top 30ish because the excellent Jordan Howard missed quite a few games either completely or a shell of himself. He seems to be back to full form as of last week and is a guy I wish we had gotten in the transfer market - he is a beast.
Indiana has a quick strike deep ball offense - one thing Iowa did an excellent job last week was keeping everything in front of them; some games Sudfeld has a 10-11 yards per attempt; he was down near 5 last week which is Nick Sheridan range. Indiana is deadly in the red zone. Last - whether due to the quick strike nature of their offense, tired defenses, or just a QB with a quick release Indiana does not get sacked a lot. Nor do they give up a lot of TFL so expectations should be in check in term of getting to the QB or creating negative plays. It is not that easy against Indiana.
Things Indiana is Not so Good At
Natl rank | Value | ||
Offense | |||
3rd down conversion % | 81 | 38.2% | |
Completion % | 80 | 57.9% | |
Defense | |||
3rd down conversion % | 110 | 45.2% | |
Passes Intercepted | 93 | 6 | |
Passing yds Allowed | 126 | 330 | |
Red zone defense | 75 | 84.4% | |
Rushing defense | 77 | 174.0 | |
Scoring defense | 114 | 37.0 | |
Total defense | 119 | 504 | |
Misc / Special Teams | |||
Fewest Penalties/Game | 81 | 6.8 | |
Fewest Penalty Yds/Game | 85 | 59.6 | |
Kickoff return defense | 75 | 21.7 | |
Kickoffs returns | 97 | 19.4 | |
Net punting | 95 | 35.8 | |
TOP | 90 | 28:40 |
Indiana is not good at many things. Starting at the bottom one thing I have noticed doing this for various opponents the past 5-6 weeks is that Big 10 special teams is just bad. Not mediocre but bad.... almost all our opponents save NW really have sucked at special teams. This leads to a huge advantage to UM. The ave starting spot for UM's 6 TD drives last week was our own 49 yd line i.e. 51 yds to score. Indiana continues this trend with horrid kickoff returns, bad kickoff return defense (hello Lewis), and a bad net punting game. Expect more good field position for UM this week. They are also often penalized and no surprise lose the TOP game (by design).
Offensively, Indiana is surprisingly bad at 3rd down conversions. Sudfeld's completion % is 60% which is good considering how many deep balls he throws but the backups that played when he was out hurt Indiana's data point there so you can ignore it.
Defensively, Indiana is not good. Among the nation's worst in total defense (yds given up per game) and scoring defense. The rushing defense is not terrible but mediocre while the passing defense is putrid. Hopefully Jake can take his talents from last week on the road. They are also abysmal on getting teams off the field on 3rd down.
November 13th, 2015 at 11:00 AM ^
1. Win with Character
2. Win with Cruelty.
3. Oh Hell, just win the game.
November 13th, 2015 at 10:54 AM ^
thanks for compiling this information. Very informative and interesting.
I hope our running game can make some progress this week against their poor rush defense, but I do think that we should be able to score a decent amount of points regardless.
November 13th, 2015 at 10:58 AM ^
This is all great information, but what we really want to know is does their coach fall asleep at recruits houses.
/s
November 13th, 2015 at 11:04 AM ^
Brady did not fall asleep - he recruited hard for the entire visit
November 13th, 2015 at 11:14 AM ^
love that
Also love the other two trying to hide their laughter. You always know when someone is truly being funny in those sketches when the other actors are trying to contain their laughter.
November 13th, 2015 at 2:20 PM ^
it's just that he's not aware of it.
November 13th, 2015 at 11:01 AM ^
is an enigmatic and mysterious riddle. Someone solve it.
November 13th, 2015 at 11:05 AM ^
But their O can put up points. And the way they stayed with OSU, MSU and Iowa still has me concerned. This is probably the most nervous I've ever been to play an 0-5 team in conference.
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
November 13th, 2015 at 11:19 AM ^
I appreciate your efforts. Would like to see more content like this.
November 13th, 2015 at 11:33 AM ^
Granted we won't have a Denard like player going ape shit, but I am expecting a somewhat high scoring game within one score of each other, with of course Blue (or in this case, white) getting the win.
November 13th, 2015 at 12:14 PM ^
Over at TeamRankings, their calculated Vega Implied score - which comes out of multiple runs of the game in simulations as well as from the current lines, as I recall - is something like 35-21 in favor of Michigan, so they tend to agree with that assessment. If Durkin has the defense running on all cyclinders, I don't see Indiana even touching 21, and as bad as the Hoosier defense is, I could see us getting more than 35 potentially.
November 13th, 2015 at 12:58 PM ^
November 13th, 2015 at 11:39 AM ^
Great breakdown and analysis of the stats. Sudfeld presents a real challenge, even with our very talented secondary. But we will still come out ahead by three scores. #Harbaugh
November 13th, 2015 at 11:40 AM ^
Does anyone else think Jabrill is too quick to call a fair catch ?
(Obviously I do not want him hurt but he seems to catch some with no one near him).
November 13th, 2015 at 11:49 AM ^
Maybe a few times but he also makes those crazy flying forward at the speed of Peppers near stumbling fair catches that probably save the offense 15+ yds if the ball bounces and rolls a dozen yards. So I can live with it.
November 13th, 2015 at 11:53 AM ^
Yeah, I think that's true on some occasions when he has to make a snap judgment. In view of his high pitch count on offense/defense/ST, he probably absorbs each hit with more and more caution. I'd rather he prematurely fair catch a few punts here and there to give himself viable PT on defense and offense. Overall, though, he shows impeccable instincts when fielding punts. Kid is a baller.
November 13th, 2015 at 11:40 AM ^
Oi.
I'm a little worried about Indiana moving the ball on us, but this whole game is going to look like the 1st half vs. Rutgers. In light of your post, I'm adjusting my prediction to something like 55-16
November 13th, 2015 at 1:20 PM ^
with Sudfield at QB, not Diamont at QB. Indiana was awful without Sudfield. I'd bet the numbers would look a lot better with him on the field
November 13th, 2015 at 5:38 PM ^
Disruption is key.
Receivers don't catch as many passes when they're getting hit really hard at every opportunity.
Punish them.