If DRob is now "Pat White", how many carries should he average?

Submitted by iawolve on September 7th, 2010 at 1:18 PM

Not sure if you agree he is PW, but it is the current meme being put out there so I would assume there is an optimal range of carries in this offense that could be derived from Pat White's time at UWV. Obviously, the QB is reading a defense so some of it is out of his control, however, I imagine there is a target range for success.  It would need to come from select games in his later years as to not distort the numbers. Has anyone completed this type of analysis?

Comments

UMfan21

September 7th, 2010 at 1:22 PM ^

as long as he's clicking off 7 ypc, just let him run it. I'd let the game conditions dictate it more than an arbitrary number.

defenses will adjust to him so his effectiveness and carries will go down.

michgoblue

September 7th, 2010 at 1:27 PM ^

It depends.  If the run is working and teams can't stop it, then he should continue to run as often as the defensive formations allow (while at the same time not going overboard and risking injury).  But, I suspect that ND will adjust to DRob's speed (as much as anyone can), and may stack the line.  If this happens, then Denard needs to switch into Robo-Henne mode and start laser-targeting receivers over the middle.  In such a situation, I could still see DRob carrying 15-20 times, but not 29. 

To me, that's the beauty of Denard.  If he is as good as he showed, then as long as the O-line holds up, he becomes borderline unstoppable.  If you stack to prevent the run, he kills you with the pass.  If you play off to protect against the pass, he kills you with the run. 

Please stay healthy, Denard.

joeyb

September 7th, 2010 at 1:27 PM ^

As many times as the offense dictates that he run the ball. The offense works by attacking a defense's weakness. If that means the QB needs to run 29 times in a game every game, then so be it. If that means he only runs 5 times and passes 50 times, so be it.

michgoblue

September 7th, 2010 at 1:38 PM ^

The crazy thing about your precise projections is that I cannot disagree with any of these.  But, I think you might have messed up our last opponent.  Why do you think that Oregon will beat Boise St. out for a seat in the NC game?

OysterMonkey

September 7th, 2010 at 1:35 PM ^

YEAR G ATT  ATT/G YDS  AVG  TD 
2005 12 131 10.9 952 7.3 7
2006 12 165 13.8 1219 7.4 18
2007 13 197 15.2 1335 6.8 14
2008 12 191 15.9 974 5.1 8

He missed one game in 2006 and one in 2008. In 2008, of course, no RR at WVU.

Tha Quiet Storm

September 7th, 2010 at 2:16 PM ^

that his carries will be on the higher side for the first half of the season (20+ per game) and that they will decrease (15-20/game) a little bit once the OL and RB's gain more experience and he gets more comfortable running the zone read (i.e. handing it off a little more).  Also, the teams we play from here on out will probably bring an extra man or two into the box to try and contain him, thereby forcing more throws and cutting into his carries.  The main reason he rushed 29 times on Sat. was because, for whatever reason, UConn only had 7 in the box on virtually every play, making it more advantageous for us to run the ball.

Also, once we get our "Steve Slaton/Noel Devine" (whether a current back develops or it happens to be Dee Hart), Denard will not have to take things into his own hands as much.

Bb011

September 8th, 2010 at 12:34 AM ^

If he's running like a RB during those why will he get hurt anymore than a typical RB? I feel the hits that he's not expecting(when hes not on a specific running play) will potentially be the most dangerous.  With that said i do know what your saying, i don't want him to be running it 29 times...I think 15 would be perfect.

Copey1050

September 8th, 2010 at 12:53 AM ^

Wow the whole first initial followed by the first syllable of the last name was old 10 years ago.  

 

It's SHOELACE.   SHOELACE.   He is our starting quarterback - GET IT RIGHT. 

dahblue

September 8th, 2010 at 2:50 PM ^

It seems that 29 is not the optimal number and I'm hoping to see 10-13.   Then again, I was hoping we wouldn't burn Devin's redshirt on a meaningless play with our former starter on the sideline.   Anywho...if Denard is possessed and runs for nearly 200 against ND; I'll take it.  I just worry that star skill players might look elsewhere if our QB accounts for nearly all of the offense.  I'd love to see more downfield throws, but maybe that will come with time.

At 10-13 QB runs, I think we not only keep the defense guessing, but we also keep the other offensive players from getting bored.  Sure, one game of QB-everything is fun for the team, but I bet kids get a little annoyed if they aren't involved in a non-blocking capacity.