How we get in if Georgia wins

Submitted by Victors5 on December 3rd, 2011 at 6:06 PM

If Georgia wins we can still get in as long as TCU doesn't make it into the top 16. They are currently 18th right now. We need Baylor to win and stay ahead of TCU, and OK State loss would keep them and Oklahoma ahead of TCU. A Clemson win could jump them over TCU.

I am not sure if the B1G Champ loser will fall below TCU, but I dont think Houston will fall past TCU. This happening would keep TCU out of the top 16 and we would move up to 14th ahead of Houston and the BIG Champ loser. We would then probably get the only at-large bid into the BCS.

Comments

Sugaloaf

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:43 PM ^

Yeah, but Georgia can't get into the BCS anyway UNLESS it wins the SEC Champ.

And I'm not so sure Houston will fall below us with their loss.  It all depends on the voters. They'll still only have one loss, and that against a ranked team.

joeyb

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:59 PM ^

1) Voters are looking for a reason to knock Houston down.

2) Voters will hedge their votes a bit to get the matchups they want. That's how Florida passed Michigan in 2006, it's how Oklahoma State will pass Bama, and it's the reason that no one should have been worried about Michigan getting into the top 14.

3) Because of 1 and 2, Houston will drop to at least 14 and Michigan will be ahead of them.

Mr Miggle

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:12 PM ^

Their resume was very thin. They're going to get punished by the voters, a lot worse than a team that had played a tougher schedule. You can't play a handful of relevant games and end your season getting blown out. I'll be surprised if they are higher than #20. Should they even be ranked higher than S. Miss?

orobs

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:25 PM ^

that makes a lot of assumptions.  nobody can assume how far houston will drop, whether the b1g champ loser drops below michigan, whether tcu breaks the top 16, etc.  we will have to wait till tomorrow (unless LSU wins, in which case it is probably a done deal)

wile_e8

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:23 PM ^

I'd just like to take a moment to say screw the Big East.

Once Houston lost, I daydreamed about Michigan making the Fiesta Bowl if Georgia won, since that would be a doable day trip for me. But then I realized it would never happen because a lower-ranked TCU team would take Michigan's spot solely due to the immense amount of suck in the Big East. So screw the Big East.

wile_e8

December 3rd, 2011 at 7:10 PM ^

Although I should take that back. It's not solely due to the immense amount of suck in the Big East. LSU's ability to crush the souls of their opponents is making that irrelevant.

JClay

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:12 PM ^

I think it's wildly unlikely that both Houston and the B1G title loser conveniently fall below us, but not a spot or two lower below TCU. It's also a stretch to have Clemson move up JUST ENOUGH to pass TCU, but not us. Too many variables have to hit perfectly. Very minute chance.

I'd almost say our better scenario would be voters freaking out after an LSU loss and putting Oklahoma State in the title game instead of one of Bama/LSU.

Muttley

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:22 PM ^

Win or lose, LSU deserves to be in over Bama w/ wins over Bama, Oregon, Ark, & WVU.

The logic of avoiding a do-over gets a lot stronger if the two participants can no longer be considered a world apart from the rest of college football.

I really hadn't considered the ramifacations of a UGA win until it became a significant possibility.  I bet most of the CFB talking heads and pollsters haven't given it much thought either.  But if UGA & Okie St win, it will be batted around until the NC game participants are revealed.

wolverine futbol

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:49 PM ^

Even if Baylor jumps us, an Oklahoma win likely won't knock out Okie St. from a BCS slot, and thus OU and Okie St. fill out the 2 Big XII BCS slots.  This keeps Baylor out since the conference won't qualify for the narrow exception (3 teams only where 2 non conference champions are ranked one and two)

cp4three2

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:28 PM ^

It doesn't take into account TCU not getting to 16, nor does it include Ok St jumping Alabama with a win over a OU, which is very very possible.

 

OK St would have 5 top 25 wins versus Alabama's 1. This is going to be talked about and some people will change their mind.

jrt336

December 3rd, 2011 at 6:36 PM ^

UGA should be winning. I think LSU wins by 10-14 though. That should be enough for UGA to drop below us, but if they lose by 3 I can see a lot of voters not moving them down by more than 1-2 spots.