Hey Jamiemac....pleeezz read this....(bettin' stuff)

Submitted by Chrisgocomment on October 1st, 2008 at 3:28 PM

Jamiemac, considering you are the MGoBlog betting savant what do you think of these picks?  My little betting team is having a rough year this year.  My brother wants to do a 10 game parlay wherein we can win like $400 each.  If only we were good at this....  Any other opinions are also welcomed:

  1. Penn
    St.
    -12.5 @
    Purdue
  2. U
    Conn +7 @
    UNC
  3. Kansas -13 @
    IOWA
    St
    .
  4. Notre Dame -7.5 vs.
    Stanford
  5. Missouri @
    NEBRASKA (OVER 58)
  6. Texas – 14 @
    Colorado
  7. Florida -24.5 @
    Arkansas
  8. ALABAMA -16.5 vs.
    Kentucky
  9. Oklahoma @ BAYLOR
    (OVER 51)
  10. Ohio State vs. Wisc
    (Under 40)

 

Comments

WolvinLA

October 1st, 2008 at 3:41 PM ^

Could you put the over/under point total on their?  Hard to advise on that without the number.  Here is how I would bet these:

1.PSU

2. UConn

3. Kansas

4. Stanford

6. Texas

7. Florida (will be pissed, Urban likes to run up the score)

8. Alabama.

bfat

October 1st, 2008 at 3:51 PM ^

when its not good to lay a bunch of road chalk.  That being said, Arky is still an abomination of a team.  I would be leary of anyone giving that much at Colorado, just because they usually have a good home field adv.  Best advice I can give is to not bet parlays...its begging to give your money to the book.

Dan Man

October 1st, 2008 at 4:11 PM ^

You can win a lot more betting one game at a time.  Bet on a game and if you win, put the total amount you won on a later game.  If you did this ten times in a row (which would be the same odds as a ten team parlay) doubling your money every time, you'd win a ton more money than a 10 team parlay.  The only downsides are that you can't pick all the games at once and if you lose, you lose juice.  Anyway, I think it's smart to pick one or two games where you feel like you have particular insight rather than a whole bunch of games where you have a hunch.  Even smarter would be to put your money in our ridiculously deflated stock market (but I guess that wouldn't be as fun).

Jim Harbaugh S…

October 1st, 2008 at 4:22 PM ^

  1. Oklahoma @ BAYLOR
    (OVER 51)

Take the over.

reasons-

1. OK is averaging 49.75 points a game (and they have played 2 BCS conference teams and TCU)

2. Baylor can score some points, they won't get blanked - so you can count on the putting up at least 10.

3. Bob Stoops loves to run up the score.

4. Every game Baylor has played in this year has had at least 54 points.

I'd predict something like 52-13 or something for the final score, Oklahoma might get the over all on their own.

jamiemac

October 1st, 2008 at 4:45 PM ^

...thanks for the kind words. I feel like I've created some pretty high expectations for my abilities after last weekend. Gulp!

Anyway, JHS took the words right out of my mouth. Oklahoma can cover that Over all by themselves. But, Baylor has some offensive horses as well. That looks like a winner.

I also like CU a lot. I feel like they're a sleeper team and I like Hawkins. I am still not trusting of Texas D, especially vs the pass. The Buffs have a strong chance to spring the upset, so I love the 2 TDs there for the home team. Plus, i am an avid reading of burnt orange nation and they are not sold on their team for this year as far aa a title contender. This line is way inflated.

Double Digit Dog in SEC league play have been cahsing in like mad for the last several years. I have the numbers at home. 4-1 this year, and I;ve been on them all including Ole Miss and Miss St last week. Arky was the 1 loss, so that one scares me....but I would have no problem going to window and taking UK over Bama.

The over in that Mizz game looks tempting as well. VT and NEB put a lot of points on the board, although 58 is pretty high.

But, I agree with the sentiment about Parlays. I think they can be sucker bets......it is hard to pick one winner, let alone the 4 or so you would have to win through a parlay.

Its too bad those are the only games on the card. There are better games out there, but those parlay cards sometimes force you into games you would not want to bet otherwise.