There is an excellent article by Nick Baumgardner at the Detroit Freep Press about John Beilein and recruiting.
Nick talks about how many fans (me included, FTR) thought that Michigan's championship run in 2013 would lead to increased recruiting success. And how this almost completely failed to materialize.
Here's the list Nick compiled, of guys Beilein recruited who went elsewhere:
- Devin Booker, 5 star, Kentucky
- James Blackmon, 5 star, Indiana
- Keita Bates-Diop, OSU
- Treven Bluiett, Xavier
- Vince Edwards, Purdue
- Derryck Thornton, 5 star, Duke
- Luke Kennard, 5 star, Duke
- Tyus Battle, 5 star, Syracuse
- Jalen Brunson, 5 star, Villanova
- Jamal Murray, 5 star, Kentucky
- Jaylen Brown, 5 star, Cal.
Instead, Beilein got 2 star Muhammed Abdur-Rahkman, Wagner out of Germany, (who no one else recruited,) Robinson, a Div III transfer (unheard of!!), and Zavier Simpson, after Cassius Winston chose MSU. Matthews was on the bench at Kentucky, a transfer, Teske and Davis were needed backups to Wagner at the 5, Poole had a modest offer sheet. Livers was really the first highly ranked guy we got head to head in recruiting against MSU.
The point, according to Baumgardner, is that Beilein has done an excellent job in recruiting a TEAM, not a collection of individual stars. There are other schools who will have guys go in the lottery, other teams with more athletic talent, other teams with more guys who will play professional ball. But Beilein has done an excellent job recruiting the right guys for Michigan, guys who have bought into his system and have gelled well together.
I love the incoming recruiting class. But on paper, we're woefully far behind. Duke has 4 guys who are 5 star talents. Oregon, Kentucky, Kansas, Villenova, LSU, North Carolina, and Providence ALL have multiple guys ahead of Michigan. I don't care any more. Many years ago, iirc, Brian felt that Beilein's ceiling was crippled by recruiting. The way that Beilein coaches, and the team plays, I no longer feel that his recruiting is a liability.
TL,DR. Summary: Beilein does a great job of recruiting, and Michigran will be fine.