ESPN way too early Bowl Projections

Submitted by winterblue75 on May 27th, 2014 at 12:15 PM

Bowl Projections

Bowl Brett McMurphy Mark Schlabach
New Orleans Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Wyoming Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Colorado State
Military North Carolina vs. Connecticut Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina
Russell Athletic Clemson vs. Kansas State Notre Dame vs. Texas
Buffalo Wild Wings Oregon State vs. TCU Oregon State vs. TCU
Armed Forces Houston vs. Colorado State Houston vs. Air Force
Music City Maryland vs. Missouri North Carolina vs. Mississippi State
Duck Commander Duke vs. Louisiana Tech Georgia Tech vs. Louisiana Tech
Liberty Oklahoma State vs. Tennessee Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss
BBVA Georgia Tech vs. East Carolina Memphis vs. Troy Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Miami Beach Cincinnati vs. BYU Tulane vs. BYU
Potato Nevada vs. Toledo Bowling Green vs. Wyoming
Las Vegas Utah State vs. Arizona Boise State vs. Arizona
New Mexico Fresno State vs. UTSA San Diego State vs. North Texas
Camellia Northern Illinois vs. Troy Akron vs. South Alabama
Poinsettia Boise State vs. Navy Fresno State vs. Navy
Boca Raton Western Kentucky vs. Buffalo Ohio vs. Middle Tennessee
Bahamas North Texas vs. Ball State Toledo vs. Marshall
Hawaii San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Rice vs. Utah State
Heart of Dallas Washington State vs. Rice UTSA vs. SMU
St. Petersburg UCF vs. Pitt UCF vs. Louisville
Pinstripe Miami (Fla.) vs. Michigan Virginia Tech vs. Northwestern
Sun Louisville vs. Arizona State Duke vs. Arizona State
Holiday Nebraska vs. USC Washington vs. Iowa
Texas Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M
Belk Virginia Tech vs. Mississippi State Miami vs. Missouri
San Francisco  Minnesota vs. Washington Minnesota vs. USC
Detroit Syracuse vs. Illinois Syracuse vs. Indiana
Capital One Iowa vs. Florida LSU vs. Ohio State
Outback Wisconsin vs. Ole Miss South Carolina vs. Nebraska
Alamo Texas vs. UCLA Kansas State vs. UCLA
TaxSlayer Notre Dame vs. LSU Michigan vs. Florida
Peach Auburn vs. Marshall Georgia vs. Baylor
Orange Florida State vs. South Carolina Clemson vs. Auburn
Cotton Baylor vs. Georgia Oklahoma vs. Cincinnati
Fiesta Stanford vs. Michigan State Stanford vs. Wisconsin
Rose Ohio State vs. Oregon Alabama vs. Oregon
Sugar Alabama vs. Oklahoma Florida State vs. Michigan State

Michigan, meh, NYC for Pinstripe or Jacksonville for Gator. Either MSU or OSU makes CFB Final 4, ugh.



May 27th, 2014 at 12:28 PM ^

Even better, it's going to be played in a 25,000 stadium that once housed a minor league baseball team and is also the home of several high school football teams in the Montgomery area. As I recall, the Camellia Bowl was the name of an old Division II quarterfinal game back in the day as well. It seems only fitting somehow that the tie-ins would be the MAC and the Sun Belt in this case. 


May 27th, 2014 at 12:53 PM ^

is that it is the second best stadium in Montgomery, Alabama.  D-1AA Alabama State built a pretty nice 27K stadium with luxury boxes that opened in 2012.


But ESPN, which owns the Camellia Bowl, had the final call on the facility - and decided to go w/ the Cramton Bowl because the logistics would evidentally be easier (according to them). 


May 27th, 2014 at 12:22 PM ^

We totally got screwed. How the hell did Nebraska get a better bowl than us, given our relative records, strength of schedule, quality wins etc. This is total BS and we were screwed as usual.


May 27th, 2014 at 9:07 PM ^

Who on that list besides Oregon do you give a higher than 50% chance of beating them? They beat us, Nebraska, and OSU last year and all three of those teams lose just as much as MSU. Depleted Penn State with a new coach? Mediocre Maryland? I think they lose to Oregon, but I have a hard time seeing more than 1 loss on the rest of that schedule. If they beat Oregon, I don't want to think about it . . . . 

I hate MSU as much as anyone, but unfortunately their success is no fluke at this point. It's going to take a well coached, athletic team to beat them as they are built now. Frankly, those are rare in the B1G. They no longer beat themselves, and even if their offense tries, the defense makes up for a lot of errors. 



May 27th, 2014 at 10:01 PM ^

Well coached and good, yep.  That's a long, long way from "damn near certainty".  And probability doesn't work in the way you seem to believe.  A 60% probability (even if I granted, which I won't at this point) of beating Ohio in a game and a 60% probability of beating Michigan in a game doesn't mean they're 60% likely to win both games.  It means there's a 36% chance they'll win both. 

I think they'll be one of several teams with two conference losses in season.  Add the B1G championship game and I don't see them or any other B1G team in the playoff, at least in the East.  Except Michigan, of course. 


May 27th, 2014 at 12:34 PM ^

Remember the good old days when we used to laugh at Notre Dame's and the whole "returning to glory since......" meme?  

That's not nearly as funny as it used to be.

Louie C

May 27th, 2014 at 1:37 PM ^

What lodge do you belong to? I've been meaning to ask you for a long time. My father
was an active Mason years ago. I would like to petition a lodge, but I have a full plate with work and school, and being a 2nd shifter makes it impossible to attend meetings and functions.

marco dane

May 27th, 2014 at 3:49 PM ^

My original home Steilacoom Lodge No 2 of F. & A.M. located outside of Tacoma,WA. I belong to a *long line* of *traveling men*,who've done GREAT things for this country & their community.

Mid-nineties,while station at Ft Lewis,I decided to *answer my calling*,assisting those in my community. Thats when I knew...I wanted to be a Mason. My journey has been quite blissful and fullfilling,but not yet over.

By all those who look to *the east* for guidance. All you've got to do is,ask one.

Btw,learning the history helps too of,both houses.


May 27th, 2014 at 12:55 PM ^

If history is any indication this bowl projection would have us at about 7.5 wins as that's the average of the teams that have played in the bowl it's first four years.  So 7-5 or 8-4 would definitely be "in play" according to this writer.

FWIW I dont see Hoke going anywhere at 8-4 unless it's a season ending series of beat-downs a-la RichRod in 2010.  7-5 will make things iffy unless one of the wins is against MSU or OSU IMO ub which case I think Brady will get a fifth year.


May 27th, 2014 at 3:08 PM ^

even with a win against OSU or MSU is real iffy.  You figure that would be 1-2 against the rivals and 6-3 against the rest of the schedule (App St, Miami (OH), Utah, Minny, Rutgers, PSU, Inidiana, Maryland and Northwestern).  I miss the old days when the rest of the schedule should be 8 wins and possibly a tough game against PSU.


May 28th, 2014 at 1:42 AM ^

I hope you are wishing for a great season and not that Brady stay around just because you like him.  Hell, I've never met anyone who doesn't like the guy. He's very personable and you don't corral the amount of talent he is getting unless both parents and players think likewise.        ^Howeva, and you can count me in as one who likes him as a person, he has yet to prove he can win at this level.  Hell, he has yet to prove he can do it consistently anywhere. The timing of his changes in venue are almost as serendipitous as those of Lane Kiffin.  He has taken both of his former teams from  cellar dwellers to the top and immediately following that "one glorious year," fortunes have rolled in his favor and he has been able to land a better job, and in this case, one of the most sought after in cfb.  Hell, the coach with the best record in the nation from 2005 through 2007 left a Top Five finish every year for this school,after turning down the school that's been ruling ever since.  Would BH have maintained his stance among the top in his conferences. Chances are probably good based on the simple fact that no other coach in much weaker conferences could collect as much true D1 talent as he.                          ^I do realize it took a few years and the perfect storm for MSU to pass M as the "it" school in the state, but the man, despite being as difficult to like as Brady is easy, has proven he belongs.  Too many coaches in this league collect great talent and MSU, despite the stars are coaching the hell out of those two, mostly three stars and have continuously outrecruited us on the defensive front for the past three seasons.  That hurts.  I too hope Brady returns but based on say 10, maybe 11 wins.