ESPN (projections): Michigan vs. Georgia in Gator Bowl

Submitted by Mr. Yost on December 3rd, 2013 at 5:40 PM

I know there was a CBS Predictions Thread that had us playing Vandy, but the info was a week old.

Here's an updated prediction.

2013 Bowl Projections - Week 14
BOWL (MATCHUP) Mark Schlabach Brad Edwards
VIZIO BCS National Championship
(BCS vs. BCS)
Auburn vs. Florida State Florida State vs. Ohio State
(MAC vs. Sun Belt)
Ball State vs. Arkansas State Ball State vs. Western Kentucky
BBVA Compass
(American vs. SEC)
Rutgers vs. Mississippi State Mississippi State vs. Rutgers
Discover Orange
(BCS vs. BCS)
Ohio State vs. UCF Clemson vs. Alabama
AT&T Cotton
(Big 12 vs. SEC)
Texas vs. LSU Baylor vs. LSU
Allstate Sugar
(BCS vs. BCS)
Alabama vs. Baylor Auburn vs. UCF
Tostitos Fiesta
(BCS vs. BCS)
Oklahoma State vs. Northern Illinois Oklahoma State vs. Northern Illinois
Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO
(BCS vs. BCS)
Arizona State vs. Michigan State Michigan State vs. Arizona State
Capital One
(Big Ten vs. SEC)
Wisconsin vs. South Carolina Wisconsin vs. South Carolina
(Big Ten vs. SEC)
Iowa vs. Missouri Iowa vs. Missouri
Heart of Dallas
(Big Ten vs. C-USA)
Syracuse vs. North Texas Oregon State vs. North Texas Gator
(Big Ten vs. SEC)
Michigan vs. Georgia Michigan vs. Georgia
(ACC vs. SEC)
Clemson vs. Texas A&M Miami (FL) vs. Texas A&M
AutoZone Liberty
(C-USA/American vs. SEC)
Marshall vs. Ole Miss Marshall vs. Vanderbilt
Hyundai Sun
(ACC vs. Pac-12)
Duke vs. UCLA Duke vs. UCLA
AdvoCare V100
(ACC vs. SEC)
North Carolina vs. Washington State Boston College vs. Arkansas State
Franklin American Mortgage Music City
(ACC vs. SEC)
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Georgia Tech vs. Ole Miss
Valero Alamo
(Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Oklahoma vs. Oregon Oklahoma vs. Oregon
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
(Navy vs. MWC)
Navy vs. Boise State Navy vs. San Diego State
National University Holiday
(Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Texas Tech vs. Stanford Kansas State vs. Stanford
Buffalo Wild Wings
(Big 12 vs. Big Ten)
Kansas State vs. Nebraska Texas vs. Nebraska
New Era Pinstripe
(American vs. Big 12)
Houston vs. Notre Dame Houston vs. Notre Dame
Russell Athletic
(ACC vs. American)
Miami (FL) vs. Louisville Virginia Tech vs. Louisville
(ACC vs. American)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati North Carolina vs. Cincinnati
Fight Hunger
(BYU vs. Pac-12)
Brigham Young vs. Washington Brigham Young vs. Washington
(Big Ten vs. Big 12)
Minnesota vs. Boston College Minnesota vs. Texas Tech
Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman
(C-USA vs. ACC)
East Carolina vs. Maryland East Carolina vs. Maryland
S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia
(Army vs. MWC)
Oregon State vs. Utah State Toledo vs. Boise State
Little Caesars Pizza
(MAC vs. Big Ten)
Bowling Green vs. Pittsburgh Buffalo vs. Pittsburgh
Sheraton Hawaii
(C-USA vs. MWC)
Rice vs. San Diego State Middle Tennessee vs. Utah State
Beef 'O' Brady's St. Petersburg
(American vs. C-USA)
Ohio vs. Middle Tennessee Ohio vs. Rice
Famous Idaho Potato
(MAC vs. MWC)
Buffalo vs. Colorado State Bowling Green vs. UNLV
Gildan New Mexico
(MWC vs. Pac-12)
San Jose State vs. Arizona Colorado State vs. Arizona
Royal Purple Las Vegas
(MWC vs. Pac-12)
Fresno State vs. USC Fresno State vs. USC
R+L Carriers New Orleans
(C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Tulane vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Tulane vs. Louisiana-Lafayette




December 3rd, 2013 at 5:44 PM ^

Might need to reformat a bit.

If it is Georgia, that feels about right.  They'll be with Murray, but they are still a good enough team with (some) of their injured players likely coming back.


December 3rd, 2013 at 5:46 PM ^

Now known as the massively dissapointing team bowl?

I'd love the chance to beat an SEC team. Can we beat them? All I remember from watching them early this season was that Gurley is a beast.


EDIT: I think we need a rooting guide for how this weekend could change our outlook.

Mr. Yost

December 3rd, 2013 at 5:50 PM ^

One guy has OSU in the NC game (beating MSU), one doesn't...BOTH have Michigan in the Gator Bowl.

According to this, it looks like no matter what happens in the B1G Championship Game, that is our destination.

All I ask is that we show improvement. I want to have hope in the offseason and feel like young guys are getting better.

Wolverine Devotee

December 3rd, 2013 at 5:49 PM ^

Might want to add "projections" somewhere in the thread title.

The hell with the Gator Bowl. Dump of a stadium, lame city. Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl reps were at The Game and said they were impressed with Michigan. BWW picks before the Gator. I expect a Michigan-texas matchup, and the Blog 404'ing due to a Borges vs GERG game.

Thank God the B1G is changing their bowl lineup next year. I'm really getting sick of the Florida bowls--especially the Citrus & Outback.

I want the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, the Cotton Bowl, the Sun Bowl. Stuff like that when Michigan isn't playing in the CFPs or the Rose Bowl.


December 3rd, 2013 at 6:47 PM ^

Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg. Borges v Gerg.

Wolverine Devotee

December 3rd, 2013 at 5:57 PM ^

Also, this may sound bad, but I rather see Michigan play in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. 7-5 should not be rewarded with a game in warm weather.

7-5 should be a bus ride to snowy downtown Detroit. At least it would be a home game. Plus, the pregame pizza party at the Tiger Club in Comerica Park with 10 cent slices that come with a can of pop. 

You can have your pizza and eat it to. And when (insert ESPN commentator here) calls the game, right before opening kickoff they can say "this one's for all the pizza".


December 3rd, 2013 at 6:10 PM ^

This would be a great matchup, and I really hope that is the game.   I am confident we won't have a repeat performance of our last Gator Bowl appearance. 


December 3rd, 2013 at 6:14 PM ^

Massey's simulator would give us an estimated 33% chance versus Georgia with a predicted median score of 40-34. Interestingly, the one prediction of OSU-FSU in the Championship game would result in an estimated 17% chance for OSU, complete with a median score of 43-31. In the same simulator, Wisconsin would actually be favored against South Carolina - 59% estimated win probability, median predicted score of 24-21. 


December 3rd, 2013 at 8:03 PM ^

I haven't looked at the original theoretical foundation document in a while (this all started back in the late 1990s actually), but it does take into consideration ability to score points and predictive power ratings (strength), so I imagine that this sort of accounts for injuries as the current season progresses albeit not in a comprehensive way perhaps.


December 3rd, 2013 at 6:29 PM ^

It's a great opportunity to play a top SEC team and I know Murray is out for the season.  But, I haven't seen them play without Murray yet, so it's hard for me to judge how good of a team they are without him.  But, it is somewhat frustrating that we are again playing a once ranked top 10 again that at least on paper everyone believes has more talent than UM.  This is a team that was a pre-season #5 with at least one vote for the top team in the country.  If we play like we did against OSU we will have a chance, but it will be difficult for UM to defend Gurley if he's healthy.  This is a team that played Clemson and Auburn very close and beat LSU and South Carolina.