It's been a banner couple weeks for me going undefeated two Saturdays in a row. 7-0 last week was an awesome bonus to the Michigan win. In addition to Cincy (Home Dog On a Thursday Night®), Purdue, Northwestern, and Alabama all easily covering as my picks on MGoBlog last week, I broke my personal rule of not betting on Michigan because the line was too juicy. Took Michigan -14.5 and under 43, again an easy cover on both. I also stole a pick from the We Are So Good at Football Podcast, which I'd highly reccommend to any Michigan fan interested in cfb betting, and grabbed San Jose State covering +20 at Auburn. Auburn isn't very good this year.
Given my past two weeks of unprecedented success, it sounds like it's about time to regress to the mean. The only way to do that is to bet on more college football games, so here's the picks I like this week:
Georgia -3 at Tennessee: Poor Butch Jones. After all the heartbreak and mismanaged clocks, he gets a pissed off Georgia team that clearly outclasses Tennessee in talent. The Vols fanbase has essentially turned against them at this point a la 2014 Michigan, and Georgia, right or wrong, probably feels like they're not quite out of playoff contention yet. They'll run it up at Rocky Top.
Utah -7.5 vs. Cal: Despite the national praise that the Fightin' Jared Goff's have received so far this year, they haven't actually looked particularly impressive in any of their five wins, eeking out their last two by under a score against UDub and Wazzu (who both are pretty bad). Speaking of Wazzu, if you haven't yet read about how Mike Leach keeps a Viking Axe in his bedroom for self defense, ya know, read about it. Anyways, at night in SLC the Utes roll here.
UNDER 54.5 Indiana at Penn State: Penn State got outgained in a 20-14 win over Army last week. Army. Indiana doesn't know who their QB or RB will be and they're due for a letdown game in a sleepy noon kick on ESPN2 with a weather forcast in the 50's. Just book the under here, they won't come close.
UNDER 44 Illinois at Iowa: You know one of these teams is probably going to end up in the single digits. Iowa is overrated in a brutally bad B1GW, and Illinois isn't going to be lighting up the scoreboard anytime soon. Again, do you really think a 30-20 game is even possible here? I don't, and once you're a TD under that the under hits here. This isn't looking like it'll be a pretty game.
That's what I'm taking this week unless Michigan gets bet down to under 7 because the advanced stats love us in this one.
Who ya got for week 6?