Obviously recruiting in the final days is an ever changing event. Yesterday at this time our "big board" had 15* well known prospects for 4 spots. Within 18 hours that became 12* well known prospects for 6 spots.
*I included WR Ryan Davis although he is not super realistic, and didn't include WR Auden Tate who is a FSU commit.
So now one might ask what the falling of DE Pickard/TE Snyder to Syracuse/back to Nebraska might mean? Based on the timing of it, plus the 2 new UM openings all announced in a cluster the bullish take is positive in terms of UM staff telling these candidates their spots were going to other candidates. It would appear Wheatley Jr. is taking a spot reserved for one of those 2, and other candidate(s) (Clark for Snyder) are out there the staff feels more comfortable with over the past 36 hours. The bearish take is rut roh raggy.
Crystal ballz can shatter when Harbaugh demands it but here is how it is shaking up.
|TE Clark||UMish||trending UM|
|TE/DE Wheatley||UM||nothing recent|
|RB Weber||UM/OSU||2 ballz to UM since 1/29|
|WR Davis||FL||5 ballz to UF since 1/23|
|WR Jefferson||UM||8 ballz to UM since 1/28|
|WR Burnett||WSU||nothing recent|
|CB Arnette||OSU||5 ballz to OSU since 1/29|
|CB Williamson||UF||10 ballz to UF since 1/28|
|CB Marshall||USC||All USC|
|CB Adams||UMish||5 ballz to UM btw 1/15-1/21|
|CB Bush||?||No ballz|
|LB Smith||GA||massive GA, little movement|
Things are starting to look dour on the CB front which is my main worry here. We need DBs badly, and 2 in this class would be great now that we have 6 spots. Target #2A Williamson is now being crystal balled to Florida by everyone. Target #2B Arnette is on campus in Columbus and even faithful friend Ace is now crystal ballzing him to OSU, along with Lorenz and others. Unless Iman Marshall has given a secret yes this is problematic as all that remains on the board is Rutgers commit Jarius Adams and non offered Markel Bush.
If you take WR Davis and WR Burnette (committed to pass happy WSU) as longshots our known board is only 10 guys for 6 spots with quite a few of those guys heavy leans elsewhere. This raises the prospect of having to raid a CMU/WMU type player to fill the 5th or 6th spot unless some serious aces (no pun intended) are up Harbaugh's sleeves. You could take a WR Grant Perry out of Northwestern but he is a WR and we need to end the class with defensive players by need. I haven't thought banking a scholarship was likely up until yesterday with the 2 new openings and how the board is falling at CB (I assumed Arnette was headed here until yesterday). Maybe 1 scholarship goes to 2016 class.
Projected class by ballz:
- TE Chris Clark
- TE/DE Ty Wheatley Jr.
- WR Van Jefferson - has come out of nowhere to be a UM favorite ?
- CB Jarius Adams
- (cloudy) Wildcard spot - reserved for homerun candidate like Marshall or Smith. If miss, then hmm.
- (cloudy) Wildcard spot - Mike Weber. If miss, then hmm.