Clemson has had one top 10 recruiting class since 2012 on 24/7 site

Submitted by Monkey House on
Just thought it was interesting that checking back to 2012 recruiting classes how Bama and Clemson stacked up. 2012 Bama #1-Clemson #15 2013 Bama #1-Clemson #15 2014 Bama #1-Clemson #17 2015 Bama #1-Clemson #9 2016 Bama #1-Clemson #11

Ghost of Fritz…

January 10th, 2017 at 9:22 AM ^

Plus, it is not at all like winning it all with Washington or MSU level recruiting.

Further, a Heisman QB is a must if you don't have top 5 or 6 recruiting ranking over the prior 3-4 years.

cletus318

January 10th, 2017 at 9:25 AM ^

As we've seen with schools like Baylor and Oregon for years, you can scheme your way to great offense if you find enough dynamic players. What Clemson has been able to do is find enough difference makers on defense, especially up front.

Ghost of Hoke

January 10th, 2017 at 9:26 AM ^

Can mask a lot of deficiencies. As long Speight has a great offseason and takes an above average second year step. The team will be really good.

Ali G Bomaye

January 10th, 2017 at 9:49 AM ^

I think that's one lesson. Watson is the best QB in college football, while Hurts is not yet a good QB.

The other lesson is that there's diminishing returns in recruiting. Clemson's MVPs were Deshaun Watson (a 5-star recruit) and Ben Boulware (4-star). They also had huge plays made by guys like Mike Williams (4-star), Wayne Gallman (4-star), Artavis Scott (high 4-star), Christian Wilkins (high 4-star), Deon Cain (high 4-star), and Clelin Ferrell (4-star). Bama had more highly-rated recruits, for sure. But Damien Harris only got six touches, and Calvin Ridley got five, and both those guys were five-star recruits. Lots of other five-stars and high four-stars barely saw the field because they were behind other top recruits. There's a recruiting threshold a team needs to surpass to be a championship contender, for sure - you need talented players to make plays. But if you have enough talented players, it's irrelevant how many other talented players you have sitting behind them.

LKLIII

January 10th, 2017 at 12:21 PM ^

This assumes you have a really strong hit rate on your star recruits.  The benefit of having a pile of 4/5 star guys on the roster is, some of them WON'T work out.  They'll get injured, have off field issues, start to loaf or get a bad attitude if they lose a battle for playing time.  The more bullets you have in the chamber, the greater chance you have of fielding 22 guys who are truly elite.  

readyourguard

January 10th, 2017 at 9:27 AM ^

Players Made plays. Period. Clemson's line held up adequately against the rush, Watson was able to fire accurate passes, and Mike Williams made HUGE catches at critical times. When the game was on the line, they made plays. It was beautiful football.

bluinohio

January 10th, 2017 at 9:29 AM ^

Just more proof Saban is overrated as a coach. Salvatore can call my comment stupid all he wants, but if you have the number one class every year and can't win, you are not an elite coach. Elite recruiter (bagmen) , yes.

EastCoast Esq.

January 10th, 2017 at 9:41 AM ^

You are wrong. Saban has won 4 National Championships in 8 years and has taken his team to the CFB playoffs every year. 

Losing to a Heisman-caliber QB on the last play of the game doesn't take away from that.

 

Yes, he has top classes every year, but those recruits are still HIGH SCHOOLERS. He coaches them up to be super competitive every single year. That's incredible.

michgoblue

January 10th, 2017 at 10:33 AM ^

I know that the instant reaction is to disagree with bluinohio.  After all, how do you call the guy who has won the National Championship 4 out of 8 years, barely ever loses, and has made the playoffs every year overrated?!?!

But there a shred of rationality to what he says.  If you start with the premise that Alabama recruits a talent level that is so far ahead of every other school (partially because of available local talent and reputation and partially because of $$EECC recruiting begman tactics), then Alabama SHOULD be winning all of these games, even with average to above average coaching.  If an NFL team was awarded the first 10 draft picks picks every year, after a few years, the talent level on that team would be so dominant that any competent coach would be able to win regularly.  That is the equivalent of the talent advantage that Bama has.  They have gotten the #1 class - often by a wide margin - every year for a number of years running.  Their team is so stacked that any above average coach would likely have real success. 

Now, this does not take away from what Saban has done, or mean that he is NOT an elite coach.  It just calls into question whether his coaching is elite, or whether he just benefits from the insane talent that he beings in.  Put differently, if Saban had Michigan's 2016 roster, or FSU's or Florida's or OSU's or Washington's roster, do you think that he would have won the National Championship?  Not saying that he wouldn't, but it is uncertain, since Saban has never (since coming to Bama) had to coach anything but the most talented roster in college football.  

All of this said, Saban is the CLEARLY the best recruiter out there - which is a part of coaching - and even with that recruiting advantage, he is still a good actual coach.  I am virtually certain that with the same talent, Brady Hoke or Rich Rod would not have had as much success. 

Hard-Baughlls

January 10th, 2017 at 10:50 AM ^

There is an element of chance to any given football game. It's not a video game where you just build a dynasty and the talent level can just be simulated into victories.

The best team doesn't always win, and it's not always because of poor coaching.  

I can't think of a year in the past 8 where Bama wasn't in it until the end.  If Saban teams under produced over the course of a year or multiple years I could buy this argument of him being "overrated."  But the fact that they are always there and it take last second comebacks, miracles, or incredible QB play (Auburn, Ole Miss, Clemson) to beat them, suggests that he is a great coach.

 

pescadero

January 10th, 2017 at 12:49 PM ^

Now, this does not take away from what Saban has done, or mean that he is NOT an elite coach.  It just calls into question whether his coaching is elite, or whether he just benefits from the insane talent that he beings in.

 

Bringing in talent IS part of coaching in college football, not a seperate thing.

Don

January 10th, 2017 at 10:40 AM ^

If I had a fiver for every time I heard some knucklehead say, "Phil Jackson is totally overrated. I could win an NBA title with Michael Jordan," I could take a nice vacation.

I also heard the same shit about Bear Bryant. And Pete Carroll. And Vince Lombardi. And Chuck Noll. And Tom Osborne. And Jimmy Johnson. And Urban Meyer. And John Robinson. And John McKay. And every other dynastic coach.

LKLIII

January 10th, 2017 at 12:37 PM ^

I think a distinction can be made between Saban & elite college coaches versus pro coaches.  More often than not, pro coaches are at the mercy of their owners/GMs to put together the roster.  In the college game, recruiting is PART of their job.

Say that Saban, Urban & Dabo cheat & pay players--that's a legit criticism.  And I suppose you can say, "anybody with a large powerful traditional fan base could recruit like that", but we know from experience that just isn't the case. Otherwise Mike Shula would have racked up insane recruiting classes too, and he didn't.

But to say "they're overrated because they have an edge in recruiting/talent"--well, they largely GAVE THEMSELVES that edge.  Recruiting is part of their job description.  You can't carve out one element of their job description.  It comes with the package. Say that they cheat to crush it in that category, but you can't literally carve out that category as part of their coaching resume.

M-Dog

January 10th, 2017 at 9:51 AM ^

That's an amazing stat.  I thought Clemson was recruiting at a much higher level than they actually were.

I knew that Harbaugh was out-recrutiting them, but I ddn't know that Hoke was basically out-recruiting them too.

And yet they are the National Champions, and almost won it last year too.

There is a certian level of recruiting that is "good enough" (and we are there).  After that it is coaching and development and scheme and play calling.  

And a magic player like Watson / Newton / Winston / Young doesn't hurt either. 

 

JayMo4

January 10th, 2017 at 10:01 AM ^

Clemson went 7-1 in games decided by a TD or less. We can win a title without quite catching Bama talent-wise, but we need to finish games late (and get a little luck, as Clemson definitely did in the NC State and FSU games.)

robpollard

January 10th, 2017 at 10:15 AM ^

1) Watson was an elite recruit (#1 Dual Threat) and he played, when it counted, like an experienced, uber-talented QB should. He had issues this season with turnovers, but in terms of the "MAKE PLAYS" category, he did so when it counted.

2) Clemson recruits at a  high level -- just not Alabama / OSU / LSU level. But that's basically the only schools clearly in front of them, on a per recruit basis, esp getting 5-stars.

And if your overall talent level is not quite the same as your opponent (as Clemson was vs Alabama), see point #1.

3) They were lucky. Clemson "should" have lost to NC State. The guy missed an easy FG to win the game. For us, we "should' have lost to Iowa -- our problem is we actually did, b/c the Iowa guy made the kick. Thus Clemson goes to the playoffs; we go off to the Orange Bowl.

Since we can't do much about #3, we need to focus on #2 and #1. We're getting there, but as shown in our 3 losses (which all had inadequate QB play), we're not there yet.

YoOoBoMoLloRoHo

January 10th, 2017 at 11:02 AM ^

Go thru the history of national champs and almost everyone had 1-3 close calls. Really, Nebraska 1995 was the only team that I recall which smoked every opponent. Even great teams had close calls and even unbelievable luck with a late bounce or O opponent botching a basic play. This UM team is a great example of "almost" with a long string of slightly unfavorable plays costing them 3 games. FSU was the only game without a walk off play. Would UM have won last night? Probably not, but the chance to win it was lost when UM didn't get any good luck.

LKLIII

January 10th, 2017 at 12:44 PM ^

True, and I'm not a probability major, but my guess is the likelihood of running thorough that gauntlet of 2-4 close calls like Clemson did is NOT a 50/50 proposition.  

Without looking it up, my bet is that every single year you get a cluster of maybe 3-5 additional teams that are "would-be" contenders who just weren't lucky enough to break their way on 100% of those 2-4 close call games.  In this year, I'd say that Michigan was one of those teams.

One of the Clemson players in post-game was saying something about "controlling the inputs & letting the outputs take care of itself"--that is really, really good advice for sports & life in general.  All you can control is the stuff you can control.  The rest is up to random chance.

I have 100% confidence Harbaugh will be doing all he can to get us in a position where all that has to happen is for the breaks to hit the right way.

MinWhisky

January 10th, 2017 at 10:01 AM ^

No one can argue that recruiting isn't important but I would say that the quality of position coaches and the intensity that the teams play with are more important.

Big 10 cases in point: Wisconsin, Penn State, and MSU.  They have routinely played at levels well above their star levels and with an intensity that oftentimes seems to be lacking at UofM, even with Harbaugh.  I'm expecting that to change and for UofM to play motivated football every game, but they're not there yet 

And, I'm still not sold with the OL and RB coaching positions at UofM.  Hope I'm wrong here, but those positions haven't looked very good for many years, and without a significant change, I don't see why we would expect that to change.   

BassDude138

January 10th, 2017 at 10:18 AM ^

A little premature to be calling those position coaches a failure at this point. A coach can only hope to get the best out of a player, not make that player something they are not. This staff has been in place for two years, and has largely been working with the same players as the previous staff.

You mention MSU, so lets use Le'Veon Bell as an example. Was he a nobody that their staff turned into a superstar? I would argue that he was a late-blooming, over-looked NFL talent and they were able to bring it out of him. De'Veon Smith is what he is, and no amount of coaching would have made him faster. I would say that Wheatley did a pretty good job at getting the most out of Smith's ability. Lets wait and see what happens with the higher level talent that this staff is bringing in for their system.

Maizerage11

January 10th, 2017 at 10:10 AM ^

Can someone explain to my why Bama kept playing man coverage in the red zone?  They got caught on atleast 2 different pick plays.  Is zone a bad option in red zone?  

Also, I never undertand why player dont just switch on a pick play.  Sort of like a match up zone.  It seems like an easy adjustment but maybe I am missing something.

cletus318

January 10th, 2017 at 10:29 AM ^

It can be easier said than done. There really isn't much "zone" to cover, and you still have to account for quick slants, which would easily beat a zone for 2 yards. Even attempting to switch gets tricky, especially in press coverage, which is why coaches are reluctant to try it. You also have to account for other route options such as a fade, not to mention running ability for a guy like Watson.

XiX

January 10th, 2017 at 11:40 AM ^

I'm actually more surprised that Saban hasn't taught his corners how to pattern match (I think that's what it's called). UM got burned by pick plays early on until they had the corners switch off so they didn't cross each other.

For all of Saban's accomplishments, how that happens to his secondary is mind-boggling.

ChuckieWoodson

January 10th, 2017 at 11:07 AM ^

Good data, thanks.  I think we all get a bit too obsessed with getting MOAR 5 stars!! and that's all that matters.

Yes, it does matter as elite talent is elite talent.  And when you have elite talent with elite coaching, good things happen - but this just shows that as long as you're "in that group", top 10-15ish classes every year, you will have a shot.  We happen to now have elite coaching, so this bodes well.

funkywolve

January 10th, 2017 at 11:46 AM ^

Part of what factors into where you finish is the quantity of recruits a school gets.  To get a better idea of how a class stacks up you should pay more attention to the average ranking per player.  In just about every year you listed Clemson's average ranking per player is on par, and sometimes better, than most of the teams in the Top 10.

A couple examples.  

In 2014 Clemson's average ranking per player was 87.78 and they finished 17th with 21 recruits.  OSU finished 3rd with 31 recruits but their average star per player was only 86.60

In 2012 Clemson finished 15th with 22 recruits and average ranking per player of 88.19.  UM finished 6th with 34 recruits but only had an average ranking per player of 85.17

It appears Clemson usually only signs 20-22 players per year which is almost never going to allow you to finish very high in the rankings.  Most of the teams towards the top of the rankings are schools who are signing 25+, and sometimes 30+ players.  However, the quality of the players that Clemson is signing based upon the average star per player is every bit as good, and sometimes better than, the teams that finish ahead of them in the rankings.

robpollard

January 10th, 2017 at 11:56 AM ^

Granted if you have 32 recruits and another team has 19 recruits, the 32 recruit team with a similar per recruit star average clearly did better.

But take 2015: Tennessee "ranked" #4 and Clemson "ranked" #9 -- big "win" for Tennessee's future, vs. Clemson, right? However, Tennessee had 30 recruits at 89.43 (with one 5 star) and Clemson had 26 recruits at 89.19 (with 3 stars). For #5 Georgia, it was basically the same, and so on. I would argue these schools all had the same class.

It would be more accurate if these sites put the teams in tiers (e.g., in 2015 Alabama, USC and FSU would be Tier #1; Tennessee, Georgia, Clemson, etc would be Tier #2), but that would eliminate marketing and discussion opportunities (e.g., "We've got the #4 recruiting class! We beat you guys -- you finished #6!), so that will never happen.

But when looking at the state of certain programs, it's useful to keep in mind.



 

gord

January 10th, 2017 at 11:50 AM ^

Only 11 players can play at a time and you don't need 85 good players, you need about half that. 

'12-10 4 stars

'13-10 4 stars, 1 5 star

'14-10 4 stars

'15-9 4 stars, 3 5 stars

'16-12 4 stars, 1 5 star

56 4 stars+

Plenty of talent actually on the field for Clemson.  Get 10-15 4 stars+ a year and a great QB and you can play with anybody.  Alabama has a lot of talent on the bench and trouble finding QB's (Blake Sims wasn't good, got lucky with Coker transferring, true freshman Hurts because they didn't develop Bateman, Cornwell, or Barnett).

saveferris

January 10th, 2017 at 12:36 PM ^

If I take your meaning to be that recruiting stars don't matter, it also bears mentioning that Alabama has 4 national championships in the last 8 seasons to Clemson's one.  Clemson had more talent and experience where it counted, this time.  Alabama was relying on an 18 year old QB who isn't to the level of DeShaun Watson....yet.

Regardless, Alabama's recruiting ensures that they will remain a strong contender for the National Championship next season and seasons to follow.  Clemson's recruiting will probably result in much more volatility in the future, which is the reality for pretty much every program that isn't Alabama.