This study examines all of the Final Four teams from 2002-2016 and, based on their characteristics, establishes a criteria for making the Final Four and winning the championship. It's a long article; I've posted the Final Four criteria below for those who aren't interested in combing through the entire piece. Also, the article only briefly mentions Michigan and Beilein - those two are covered with more specificity below.
FINAL FOUR CRITERIA:
– AdjOE rank of at least 50 or greater (54 out of 60 have met)
– AdjDE rank of at least 40 or greater (54 out of 60 have met)
– Luck rank of at least 199 or greater (50 out of 60 have met)
– AdjTempo rank of at least 299 or greater (56 out of 60 have met)
– 3PA/FGA rank of at least 100 or lower (50 out of 60 have met)
– Winning Streak of 10 or less (55 out of 60 have met)
– Ranked in preseason AP poll (50 out of 60 have met)
50 out of 60 Final Four teams in the study met all or all but one of the criteria (2013 Michigan included*). Most Beilein teams decidedly do not, though, and often violate at least three different criteria (too high in 3PA/FGA, too low in AdjTempo, too low in AdjDE). 2 teams out of 60 (2016 Syracuse and 2011 VCU) have made the Final Four while not meeting 3 or more criteria.
Beilein has had a productive run at Michigan and is, by all accounts, a wonderful person and ambassador, but his program construction is fatally flawed in the area of consistent success in March.
*2013 Michigan began the NCAA tournament with a faster tempo than normal (rank: 200s), a lower 3PA/FGA than normal (rank: 100s) and a better AdjDE than normal (rank: 66th).