LS And Play

January 18th, 2018 at 1:57 PM ^

For what it's worth at this point, the Bracket Matrix has us as a 6-seed right now. Lunardi is historically average (at best) at being accurate with seeding. 


January 18th, 2018 at 2:01 PM ^

You know the bracket doesn't revolve around Michigan, right? Florida and Creighton (over #19) won last night. Similary, Texas Tech and Wichita St lost. You don't have to play to move.


January 18th, 2018 at 3:13 PM ^

Bracket Matrix has Sparty as a current 4-seed...


Which is 1 seed line away from a potential 5-12 rematch with the Fighting Blue Raiders of Mighty Middle Tennessee State University.


Please make this happen, oh Hollis, with similar results as when Gollum/Valentine predicted a natty just before they went 1-and-done in the 2-15 matchup in '16.


January 18th, 2018 at 4:41 PM ^

Michigan just needs to win their games, and to continue to get better. Simpson has to figure out how to foul shoot, Poole needs to defend, Matthews needs to play under control, Teske needs to do a better job scoring, everyone needs to stay healthy. I'd love to see Michigan get ahead tonight and on Sunday, and give the starters lots of time to rest. We want to be absolutely ready to play Purdue. Win that game, and you'll see the seeding really be affected.


January 18th, 2018 at 4:55 PM ^

I think Lunardi tries to be somewhat predictive in this exercise. MSU's current resume certainly doesn't warrant a 2, so I assume he is anticipating MSU surging as the season goes along. 

I think I would prefer a bracketology that was based solely on current resume but whatever.


January 18th, 2018 at 5:15 PM ^

Accomplish.  There is so much more left in the season.  We all know when we get a signature win and when we lose one we needed.  I think unless it's the week before Selection Sunday, it's irrelevant.  Not trying to be rude.



January 18th, 2018 at 6:31 PM ^

I try to glance at Lunardi only at strategic points during the year - I tend to watch the sites which actually try to predict these things using actual numbers a little more closely. Either way, I am personally waiting for Lunardi's Way Too Early 2022 preseason bracket as it should be out any moment now. 


January 18th, 2018 at 8:36 PM ^

Sounds like Lunardi fell off the wagon.


Look at UM's remaining schedule.  UM will be favored in every game except at Purdue, and perhaps at Maryland?  Will be shocked if UM doesnt finish, at a minimum, the last 11 games 6-5, which puts UM at 22-9, even before the B1G tourney.


UM is a lock for over 20 wins.  22-25 wins is probably the realistic range.  That's a minimum 6 seed in the NCAA, even with the B1G being weak this season.


January 18th, 2018 at 9:26 PM ^

Been thinking about this lately. Given our likely seed in the 4,5,6,7 range, is there a preferred position? Is lower necessarily better? I ask this question under the assumption that we can hang with anyone who is not a 1 seed. That being the case we obviously want to put off facing the 1 in our bracket until we absolutely have to (duh) but would we be willing to face a 2 or a 3 earlier in order to make this happen? When we do face the one for instance, on the second weekend, would we want to face them in the first game where both teams have a week to prepare or in the second game with a short turnaround? Actually, I like Belein in both instances but would prefer to give the opposition as little time as possible for UM specific preparation. That being the case, could a 7 seed actually be better than a 6? A 5 better than a 4? Is there conventional wisdom on this — other than lower is better, and avoid the 8/9 line?