Betting Line For Michigan vs. Notre Dame Has Been Changed

Submitted by SkyPanther on April 28th, 2018 at 10:49 PM

Notre Dame had been slightly favored. But since the news of Shea Patterson being cleared to play came out publicly yesterday, 5Dimes has switched Michigan to being slightly favored. I'm thinking the point spread will grow in favor of Michigan by time the game happens.

 

Scroll down at link to see the point spread. Check the 'College' box at the upper left: https://www.5dimes.eu/livelines/livelines.aspx#al_1

Comments

M-Dog

April 29th, 2018 at 3:17 AM ^

He looks good in the highlights . . . and then I look at the scores in the lower right of the screen and Ole Miss is usually getting whipped.  What's up with that?

How is his consistency?

 

 

huntmich

April 29th, 2018 at 6:53 AM ^

Also, SEC corners and safeties look weak as fuck.

But also we haven't had a qb who was able to make any of those throws for the past... 10 years?

He's throwing into tight windows and making the throw. He's extending plays with his legs and throwing on the run. These traits are going to transfer regardless of defender quality or game score.

This... This could be good.

SkyPanther

April 29th, 2018 at 8:12 AM ^

In the 2 years he played QB there, Ole Miss had very bad defense. In 2016 they had the 110th defense in the Nation. Last year they had the 116th.

They were particularly bad against the run. In 2016 they had the 120th run defense. Last year the 124th.

Conversely, in those same 2 years, Alabama had great defense. In 2016, Alabama had the #1 run defense in the Nation, by far, giving up only 63.4 rush yards a game. Last year they had the #3 rush defense. So when Shea Patterson faced Alabama, the offense was all about him. And even with that he was able to pull off some big plays.

BluCoast

April 29th, 2018 at 9:08 AM ^

CAL (yes...the ones with the crappiest defense in the country for last 3 years) beat Shea & Rebels last year 27-16 with Patterson throwing 3 INTs and a QB rating of 26!

Jus’Say’n...May want to keep the proverbial shirt on here!

Flying Dutchman

April 29th, 2018 at 9:45 AM ^

I thought the same thing... this dude is getting blown out in most of these highlights.

Here's the other thing I saw:   there was some great running around and scrambling and some Manziel-type plays in there.   While exciting, those are the broken plays, of which Michigan's OL will probably allow a few.  

But if that can be mostly avoided, it's the more routine stuff we should be gushing about.  The less spectacular clips in the highlights show us some laser like, video game quality shots upfield..   That's how it is supposed to look, and we haven't seen that in a while.

With two really good upperclassmen RB's, two stud sophomore WR's, and a slew of nice blocky catchies, that's what I want to see, is those laser shots upfield.   I don't care if we don't see a single one of these crazy scrambling out-of-the-ass highlights in all of 2018.   If we don't, we may know it's all working.  

M-Dog

April 29th, 2018 at 12:45 PM ^

I guess the best take is:  "I don't have to outrun the bear, I just have to outrun you."

He doesn't have to be an All American QB, he just has to be a better QB than what we have now.

With even average QB play coupled with our defense, we would have made the CFP last year. 

If he can score a few TDs and not give up a bunch of 3-and-outs in a row this year, our defense will do the rest.

 

Franz Schubert

April 29th, 2018 at 8:43 AM ^

it’s not as simple as the even money myth. Once again, if the lines are always skewed by the biggest fan bases, then betting against those schools would be a no brainer as you would be getting more generous lines. A small change in a line can Significantly increase your chances of winning a bet. This is much more nuanced than you believe. Sharps are by far the biggest factor.

njvictor

April 28th, 2018 at 11:05 PM ^

As I do more research on the Notre Dame, I'm less worried about the game. Yes, they're  a strong team, but they're going to be significantly worse than last year due to a large loss of talent. Also, Wimbush is overrated and Josh Adams declared early only to go undrafted. They're defense will be strong, but not close to our level. If we can contain Wimbush on the ground, I think we'll be fine

Tyler1495

April 29th, 2018 at 8:08 PM ^

If we put pressure on Wimbush and force them to obvious 3rd down pasing situations its going to be a long night for their offense. Notre Dame returns 9 starters on defense but they are vastly overrated. They were on par with purdue as far as statistics go. I think michigan will win 28-13

Year of Revenge II

April 29th, 2018 at 3:50 AM ^

That makes sense, because I believe right now the public has underestimated how much we have improved at many positions because the players are a year older, and now the Patterson thing will be having them take a look.  The Michigan train is bound to get crowded by the time ND kicks off.

SkyPanther

April 29th, 2018 at 7:48 AM ^

Yeah, Shea Patterson will make that difference.

Michigan couldn't hold a lead on good teams last year. So perception of the team is that it's not strong, I would suppose. It's not just Shea Patterson that was added that will make the team different this year. But it's Ed Warinner, Jim McElwain, and Ben Herbert. Most people don't know the history of Ben Herbert. I know there were posts made about him when he was first hired. But I don't think most took any time to look up who he is and read about him. The team sould have better play in the second half of games, and at the end of the season too because of his training methods.