Beilein and hotseat...is it fair?

Submitted by UMxWolverines on

I realize this seems to be a trend with John Beilein teams...it's either feast or famine in terms of offense because of the lack of a big man most of the time. I don't remember the defense being this bad overall ever though. 

Something has to give though. I don't know if it is fair to say he's on the hotseat just yet, but defense has to improve next year and recruiting has to improve. 

Izzo had quite the stretch during the 2000s where they were pretty mediocre. I don't think Beilein should be on the hotseat, but improvements must be made. 

JamieH

February 6th, 2016 at 11:52 PM ^

But there is no question his recent recruiting misses have hurt the program.

 

Couple that with some really bad injury luck and you have some less than stellar years.

 

That being said, he's not on the hot-seat.  He's essentially in the running for being one of the most successful basketball coaches in Michigan history.  If he had pulled of the title game win a few years back, he'd have a strong case for it. 

I think it is fine for people to want and expect more from the program, but the idea that Beilein is going anywhere is not something that is going to happen. 

HarbaughorBust

February 7th, 2016 at 12:16 AM ^

And that's why he should retire on his own, very soon. He deserves to go out on top. I'm afraid he's going to hold on too long and that 2 year run he had will be all but forgotten amongst the pitch forks. He's taking the program in the wrong direction. Have to hope he's humble enough to see it.

freejs

February 7th, 2016 at 1:25 AM ^

so hard for people to understand? 

I'm disappointed as heck about today, too - I beyond lost my cool when Dawkins had that fucking great steal and then couldn't get it out of his feet, made a terrible pass to MAAR and then MAAR's resulting turnover ended in another three. 

I definitely saw it coming, though - I thought the line was insanely low. I also don't think we match up well with OSU. And nothing on the schedule is a gimme. But I'm not giving up on the team, I'm not going to stomp my feet and insist on something that just factually isn't going to happen. 

 

blahblahblahh

February 6th, 2016 at 11:53 PM ^

The "we can't recruit well because we aren't dirty" argument is weak. There is still a lot of explaining to be done. Take for example the Austin Davis offer. Just... why? He's a 3*, not athletic, and not particularly good at anything. I guess he has nice footwork, but nothing else about his game is impressive. Not to mention we already have Donnal, Doyle, Wagner, DJ, and Teske coming next year. And JB doesn't like to play 2 bigs at once. Why did we offer early?

IMO Beilein really needs to cut it out with these "skilled" big men. I think he has some dream of five guys on the floor who can all step outside and shoot well, when clearly four of those guys plus an athletic rim protector would put us in a much better position. I'm not talking about an elite level big either. Just someone with above average athleticism who can be physical on defense in addition to catching and finishing around the basket. I think we would all agree it would be useful to trade Donnal's outside shooting ability for more traditional big man skills.

Pretty funny looking back at how lots of people here were beating their chests and proclaiming that Beilein had taken over the state of Michigan a couple years ago. Now we have lost the last four games vs. MSU (all by double digits) and Izzo is bringing in monster recruits. Let's just hope Beilein's replacement is better than Izzo's.

TheBlueAbides

February 7th, 2016 at 1:11 AM ^

No, Beilein to me is on JH level, there is a difference between Michigans football status and hoops status. I had this argument with a friend (huge muchigan fan) tonight, if you Fire Beilein, and i pray we do not... Who replaces him? Final ;, elite 8 and two big ten titles?

Medic

February 7th, 2016 at 1:15 AM ^

To see these opinions broken down by age demographics. 

I honestly can't fathom anyone over 40 even considering the idea that Beilin should be on the hot seat. Having experienced several decades now of completely shit basketball before he arrived and all. Two recent B10 champs and two years removed from a breath away from back to back Final Fours and we're seriously talking about this?

That said, are people completely incapable of providing context? The team has been dealing with injuries to its best players the last two years. Levert, far and away the teams best player is out. And yet Beilin is supposed to sprinkle magic fairy dust on a team that starts two people who had decent floor time last year and auto nuke everyone that sets foot on the court? Sure...ok. Duke has the same record and some laughably bad losses and I don't see anyone calling for Coach K's head. Who do you expect to get that will instantly make this team better? What is considered "better" at this point? Does the new coach get a mulligan or two if his best players go down?

Reality: The team is good enough to beat bad and mediocre teams, they aren't good enough to beat good ones right now and I wouldn't expect that to change until Levert is back. You have issues with recruiting? You'd prefer we go the Kentucky route to win a few more basketball games? No thanks. 

 

WindyCityBlue

February 7th, 2016 at 10:28 AM ^

How old are you?!  "Several decades of complete shit"?!  Please explain.  Because I can only remember 1 decade of complete shit.  I'm old enough to remember how good we were before that decade of shit.  I also remember how bad MSU was for decades before that. 

I think you have it backwards.  Its the older folks that have seen the good and the bad in the past.  Because of this perspective, they will likely agree that JB should be on the hot seat.

Younger folks have really only seen the "shit decade" and JB's tenure.  Their perspective is strikingly different than the older folks, and it shows in the younger folks un-wavering loyalty to JB.

doggdetroit

February 7th, 2016 at 11:34 AM ^

You lost all credibility by comparing Beilein to Coach K.

Just so you know, Coach K has won 79% of his games at Duke. He's made the NCAAs 29 out of the past 30 years, including 20 straight. He's won 12 ACC regular season titles and 13 ACC tournament titles. He's made 12 Final Fours. He's won 5 National Championships and he's won 2 Gold Medals as the coach of USA Basketball.

Yeah, I wonder why people aren't calling for his head.

Medic

February 7th, 2016 at 11:54 AM ^

We're playing the game of "what Have you Done For Me Lately?" and since idiots are seriously discussing getting rid of the best coach we've had since Fischer... apparently you don't get a one or two season break from being awesome. Which was my point.

Maybe Coach K isn't the best example. Should I use Best? Ollie? Williams?

doggdetroit

February 7th, 2016 at 12:54 PM ^

I with you regarding giving Beilein a pass for a down season or two. He's earned it.

But, if he misses the tournament this year, I think he heads into 2016-2017 on the hot seat. And if he misses it again, I think he's done. Michigan may not be a blue blood basketball program, but it's inexcusable to miss the NCAA three straight years considering Michigan's resources.

Also, while we should all be grateful to Beilein for the NC game appearance, it's not like that has never happened at Michigan. Fisher, Orr and Strack all reached the NC game. Frieder found himself on the hot seat for not getting to a Final Four. Point is, Michigan is not a second rate basketball program ala Nebraska, PSU or Rutgers. In fact, Michigan's 7 Final Four appearances are 10th nationally and 4th in the B1G, behind Indiana (8), MSU (9), and OSU (11). So yes, Beilein is the best coach Michigan has had since Fisher but let's not act like he's ushered in a new era of success. All he's done is meet the expectations that were once a norm for the program.

uminks

February 7th, 2016 at 3:30 AM ^

I'm sure Beilein will recruit some hidden gems and have another good team in a few years. If the team regains its compsure they should finish with 9 wins in the B1G and make it into the tournament. It seem like they were playing well  a few weeks ago. The only way Beilein leaves is when he retires.

chatster

February 7th, 2016 at 8:00 AM ^

If the tailspin continues and Michigan men’s basketball finishes the regular season no better than 19-12 (9-9 in Big Ten play) and misses the NCAA tournament for the second consecutive year and the fourth time in John Beilein’s nine seasons as head coach, then maybe he’ll be on the coaching hot seat next season. For now, I think that he’s safe for next season.
 
Although John Beilein has brought some great moments to Michigan’s men’s basketball program, those moments haven’t been frequent enough to now consider either Michigan men’s basketball or Beilein among the nation’s best.
 
It would be fair for new Athletic Director Warde Manuel to review John Beilein and every one of Michigan’s coaches to determine the direction that each of those coaches’ programs should be taking short-term and long-term.
 
Because men’s basketball is considered one of the two marquee programs in college sports, in evaluating John Beilein’s immediate future, Manuel might have to decide whether it might be better for Michigan to aspire to overall athletic excellence while men’s basketball remains a middle-of-the-pack Big Ten and second-tier national program.  He could decide that elevating football back to elite status while maintaining and/or building success in softball and men’s hockey and lacrosse, as well as Olympic sports would be enough to overcome weakness in the men’s basketball program. In other words, he might ask, “Should Michigan want to finish in the top five every year in the Sports Directors’ Cup standings, even if the men’s and women’s basketball programs are mediocre?”
 
It may surprise some that after all the fall sports schedules were completed, Michigan stood in fourth place nationally in the Learfield Sports Directors’ Cup Division 1 standings, behind perennial champ Stanford, Syracuse and North Carolina, and ahead of UCLA, Virginia, Minnesota, Washington, Notre Dame and Penn State in the top 10. LINK. For those who’d like to see John Beilein fired now, I note that Syracuse and Virginia got NO POINTS in the standings for football; and both schools fired their football coaches.

Mgoscottie

February 7th, 2016 at 9:02 AM ^

Is Thad Matta on the hot seat?  Matt Painter?  Illinois looks terrible this year.  The reality of college basketball is that you're going to have some bad games and bad stretches especially during the regular season.  It sucks if you care, but I'd doubt you could get someone that would be better then Beilein.  You could get a better recruiter, but it'd be a worse coach more than likely.  

doggdetroit

February 7th, 2016 at 11:01 AM ^

Painter was on the verge of being fired before he turned in a decent season last year and put together a strong season this year. Groce is probably getting fired this year since Illinois is poised to miss the tournament three straight years, something that hasn't happened there since 1980. Matta is not on the hot seat but he's not really comparable to Beilein. He's won 75% of his games at OSU, that's first among active B1G coaches. OSU will miss the NCAA this year (probably), but they have made 7 straight and 9 out of the past 10. He has two final fours. For comparison, Beilein has won 61% of his games at Michigan with one final four. He has made 5 out of 8 NCAAs.

CZtop5

February 7th, 2016 at 9:15 AM ^

Lol no. We're two years removed from a big ten championship and three years removed from a national championship appearance. This would be insane to say he's on the hot seat

ford_428cj

February 7th, 2016 at 10:00 AM ^

Not sure the answer - but this really sucks having a soft team,  that can't play D, & can't shoot worth a shit either. 

LV Sports Bettor

February 7th, 2016 at 10:08 AM ^

Actually sad and disappointing that there's actually a group of people out there who actually feel a coach of John Beilein's caliber is someone who needs to be replaced.

I follow nearly every one of the 351 D-1 CBB teams (probably 250) in the country as a professional sports bettor that does this full-time every single day for over 6 months a year and I seriously can't think of another CBB coach in the country that I'd rather have over John Beilein.

I've had this same discussion with the only people I know who also closely follow the 22 CBB conference's out of 33 that have point spreads on their games on a regular basis. These guy's follow CBB at the highest levels also as it's how we get paid and nearly every time the topic of top CBB coaches come's up John Beilein is a guy all agree is on that short list. 

Also to anyone brining up the first 3-4 years JB was at Michigan and trying to use that to make a a point in their argument ("he's only went to the tournament 3 of 8 times" or whatever crap they say), wow that's so weak.

Keep in mind this is the guy who in a short period of time rebuilt what was a total crap CBB program into one that WON THE BIG TEN TITLE OR WENT TO THE NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME 3 OF THE LAST 4 SEASONS!!! 

Take a second and think about that. Now add in the fact sincec then he lost a consensus top 20 NBA 1st round pick last year to a season ending injury and then to make matters worse arguably the next best player on his team a game or two after that. This year he's once again had to deal with nearly the same issues of having to play without his top guy (a superstar level CBB player) again out for large chunks of the season. 

Caris Levert is ranked 2nd in the entire country right now in offensive rating for players with 24% possessions or more. He's even ahead of Oklahoma's Buddy Hield currently this year. Take Hield off Oklahoma and tell me how good they'd be. In fact show me another top ranked program who could lose their best player and team leader and not have it have a major effect.

If you define what exactly a COLLEGE BASKETBALL PROGRAM would want out of a coach (a teacher), he's one of if not the best there is in the country. 

Just ask the people who know this subject the most and see what they think about how well of a job he does:

http://www.mlive.com/wolverines/index.ssf/2015/08/john_beilein_voted_be…;

Also just to show how he get's more out of his teams than most CBB coaches, he's had the BEST against the spread record of any current coach in the NCAA tournament. Last time I looked he also had one of the highest ATS records in his career as the HC at Michigan. He's been someone that you could have actually just bet blindly in every game and you would have shown a healthy profit in doing so. 

Thankfully I believe that the people making the decisions behind the scenes at the University of Michigan know the dirty world that is college basketball and they also know just how special of a guy they have in John Beilein. When you take into account his on the court results and combine them with the way he represents the university and the way he's been running the program, I'd say that John Beilein's job is as safe as any other CBB head coach in the country. 



 


 

Spunky

February 7th, 2016 at 10:19 AM ^

I like Beilein and staff, but I hope we can start landing more talent. Basketball recruiting is so shady, though. I guess I'm not opposed to bending a few rules, but I definitely don't want the program involved in a scandal.    

cheesheadwolverine

February 7th, 2016 at 11:42 AM ^

In the previous four years, we had three very good ones and one too marred by inury to count.  This has been a terrible week, but even if the whole year goes downhill, it would be the frst real dissapointing season since 09-10.

But for some perspective, this year would rank as one of the best non-vacated years of the pre-Beilein era since Glenn Rice.  We had two official tournament appearances between 1990 and 2009; even if you count the vacated ones we had six: missing the tournament 70% of the time for two decades.  By the time I got to campus as a freshman in '07, the team had to sit on the Diag and beg people to come to games.  Ellerbe and Amaker had sanctions to deal with, so let's go back further.  Fisher's teams were mediocre at best after the Fab Five; Frieder made one sweet sixteen in a decade.

People need to be realistic about what this program is: good but not among the national elite.  We're not Duke (who also sucks this year by the way), and if people think those are the expectations, we're going to be firing every coach we have from now until the end of time.

redjugador24

February 7th, 2016 at 12:52 PM ^

Walton is not an effective penetrator, doesn't create easy buckets for others off the drive, and the whole offense is stagnant as a result. Irvin is probably the only real threat to take someone off the dribble and that's because he usually has a big guarding him. They Live and die by hoisting 3s - too many of them off the dribble. Not putting it all on Walton because this is just a soft team this year with zero defense. They score no transition points and it totally changes the flow of the game when you don't get any stops and the other team is able to get back on D.

db012031

February 7th, 2016 at 1:48 PM ^

I think it is very fair and objective to say that Coach B's seat might be getting warm.  He will obviously get this year, but I believe that if next season is similar to this season (getting crushed by pretty much any good team we play) his coaching seat will start to get rather hot.

Coach B has done a fantastic job of resurecting our program and bringing us back to respectability, but there are still glaring holes that have not been corrected whether its due to philosopy, stubborness or outside factors.

Defense is terrible and has been terrible for quite some time.  There is no excuse for this.  Defensive should be a stable for EVERY team and we just look like we don't care, aren't taught correctly or it just isn't even part of the program.  Whatever the reason is, this a severe problem.

Offense has become too predictable and frankly too gimicky to work year after year in a Power 5 Conference, especially one as good as the Big Ten.  The reason our offense worked in the 2 Year Run, as I call it, is that we had elite level players, a Big Man that didn't just sit on the perimeter for screens AND guards that could penetrate and open up the floor.  That is one of the biggest keys to our success those two years.  Burke, Hardaway and even Stauskas could get into the paint regularly, which caused the defenses to collapse and really open those outside shots.   Unfortunately, our current guards just don't have that ability for whatever reason.  So, instead, our whole team 1-5 stays out on the perimeter so its no suprise that all of our shots are contested.

Recruting, to me, has perhaps been the biggest issues.  We have really missed out and have just not capitalized on that 2 Year Run.   I know that we aren't going to get Blue Chips year after year, but when we miss on them, our alternatives are just not enough.  Perfect examply was the Xavier game, their 6'8 F/C was just killing us all day and he was from the state of Michigan.   They even mentioned time and again during the game, why didn't Michigan or Michigan state for that matter, go after him.  He wasn't a very highly rated recruit, but you can see that he had the size and athleticism.  That is what Coach B should be looking for if/when he strikes out on Blue Chip recruits.  Just like in football, sometimes  you just need to get athletes in and teach them the game.   Give me that 6'8' tweener that is just a beast of an athlete and I can teach him the basics.   Yes, we have to get skill, but you need a combination of skill players and just athletes.   That, to me, has been a big flaw with recruiting.  We don't necessarly need to get "DIrty" as other people have suggested, but we should look at some of those raw, but monster athletes, that we could turn into a BBall player.   You put one of those on this team right now at the 4/5 and basically have him stay in the box, screen, rebound, block shots, this team doesn't get blown out and may have even won some of those lost games.

Sorry for the long post.  Again, not saying we should fire Coach B tomorrow, but if next year turns out like this year, I believe his seat is offcially "Hot".

Filipiak1

February 7th, 2016 at 2:55 PM ^

Let Lavell Jordan take over. He's due to go take a head coaching job anytime now. If it wasn't for him we'd be screwed. Our guards are the only shining stars in the team. He's done a wonderful job with them.