Is a 4-team playoff the best model?

Submitted by Gulogulo37 on

I didn't think about it until I read this article, but...

http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/columnists/ct-greenstein-college-f…

I haven't heard anyone talking about expanding the playoff field this year. I'm not so sure now, but before, I was in favor of a 6-team playoff with byes for the top 2. I think this might be what Brian advocated also. I always thought 8 was too much. With 6, you could have all the Power 5 conference champs and 1 more team that was a runner-up or an independent or even a non-Power 5 champ.

The author here makes some good points in favor of keeping it at 4 teams.

"Check out the rankings: Iowa is No. 5, followed by Stanford, Ohio State and Notre Dame. If you included all these teams, you would have effectively rendered the Big Ten title game irrelevant. And Michigan State's stunning victory in Columbus. And Notre Dame's loss to Stanford.

And you'd still have No. 9 Florida State and No. 10 North Carolina, two-loss teams just like Notre Dame, howling over perceived injustice."

With the 4-team playoff, the regular season is just as important, and even more interesting, because with just a couple games to go, seemingly everyone in the top 15 had a chance to get into the playoff if things fell their way. And I think it's at least as fair as any other system would be. 2 teams is too strict. 8 teams lets in too many teams who just don't have resumes that compare to the top teams.

At some point the toll taken playing more and more games does add up, but in terms of the enjoyment and fairness of the sport itself, a 6-team playoff still may be best. Having said that, do you really think Iowa should be in there? I don't. And that would have taken away from the B1G championship game since it would have just been for seeding. I would like to see Stanford in there though; I can't say they're a step down from the current playoff field or undeserving. I also think 6 would have been better last year. There was definitely a good case for TCU or Baylor.

Thoughts?

JTGoBlue

December 8th, 2015 at 7:46 AM ^

I say 8 teams, however: Power 5 conf champions are in. That makes conf play and conf championships relevant, but also allows for great non conf match-ups, as the power 5 conf teams are not eliminated with a non conf loss or even 2. That leaves 3 at large bids for the non power 5 teams to get in, or other power 5 teams that are deserving, but not conf champs, like OSU this year. This would also allow for keeping the traditional bowl tie ins. Pac 12 v Big Ten is the Rose, SEC v ACC in Orange, Big 12 v at large in the Cotton. Winners play in the Fiesta and Sugar Bowls. Then the Championship game.

This system would preserve the relevance of conf play, bring back the tradition and reward of the major bowl match-ups, and deliver an undisputed and deserving champion.



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Ty Butterfield

December 8th, 2015 at 7:48 AM ^

I think the 4 team model is fine provided the Big 12 adds a conference title game. Also, Notre Dame should not be able to qualify for the playoff until they join a conference.

SimplyComplex

December 8th, 2015 at 7:53 AM ^

And I would also make it a rule that if you lose your Conference Championship game, you'd be eliminated from playoff contention entirely. That would eliminate the problem in the OP.

marti221

December 8th, 2015 at 7:59 AM ^

I hate the idea that all ALL P5 conference champs get in. Take a look at the P5 conference winners the last ten years. There are some VERY undeserving (occasionally u ranked) teams that would be included in the playoffs. If we're going to use that model, you should have to be ranked in the top ten.



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M-Dog

December 8th, 2015 at 8:16 AM ^

It's hard to win a conference championship.  Even if your record is not that good, it shows that you got better as the season went on and you are playing at a top level.

But if it is such a big concern, you could have a safety valve that says you need to have no more than N losses.

Gulogulo37

December 8th, 2015 at 10:41 AM ^

Disagree. It would get you all the Power 5 conference winners without letting in a couple more undeserving runners-up.

Originally byes sounded good because the top 2 teams were the only ones with a chance in the BCS, so you're still rewarding the top 2 teams. But it didn't long at all before people don't give a shit about the difference between 2 and 3, which is understandable, but I still wouldn't have a problem with byes.

M-Dog

December 8th, 2015 at 8:12 AM ^

8 teams is perfection.

You get the P5 champions, 2 elite at-larges, and the top G5 team for political correctness reasons.  

All worthy teams are accounted for, but at the same time it does not dilute the regular season which is the most compelling aspect of college football.

There will also still be plenty of drama over who gets the at large spots for those who like to argue for a living.

Everybody happy.

 

SirVigorous

December 8th, 2015 at 11:21 AM ^

It does dilute the regular season. The B1G championship would have had no National implications. That's diluting the regular season.
 

Why should a 2,3 or 4 loss conference winner automatically be allowed a spot? Consider if USC beat Stanford in a fluke game. Why is that deserving of a National Reward?

 

3 of the 5-8th ranked teams already loss to teams in the top 4. Allowing them a shot at the NC erases those games. It means it doesn't matter who won those games. They'd all get to go anyway.

MichiganStudent

December 8th, 2015 at 8:13 AM ^

I think 8 is the obvious choice. Make the Big 12 start a conference championship game and the team that wins their power 5 conference championship is in. Home field advantage, seeding, and wild cards decided by a committee. Then the semis and finals are done like they are now.

I know it will diminish some conference championship games of both teams will get in no matter if they lose, but I think that's a price you have to pay for a better system.



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ericcarbs

December 8th, 2015 at 8:21 AM ^

If you do home field, then 4 of the NY6 bowls will have the 3rd or maybe 4th best team in the conference. For instance, rose bowl this year would be Michigan or NW vs USC or Utah. Doesn't seem like a worthy prize.

Each NY6 bowl game gets a playoff game and the two that get the second round rotate as they do now. Only rule is the highest ranked seed can chose where they play then go down the line. So Clemson chooses which of the 4 they want to play and etc. That would avoid like a big ten team playing in the coliseum vs USC if big ten was ranked higher. They could choose like sugar or something.



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JoeFink

December 8th, 2015 at 8:22 AM ^

I think that 4 teams is the right number. CFB is not the NFL. The players are college students. Now I realize that some of them could care less about the student side of the equation, but many of them are actually trying to earn degrees and I feel like that shouldn't be lost in our interest in seeing more games.

BlueInWisconsin

December 8th, 2015 at 8:23 AM ^

You don't need to expand beyond 4 if you make it so that only conference champions are eligible. Then the CCGs become the first round of the playoff and every game in the regular season remains relevant. Plus fuck Notre Dame.



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Everyone Murders

December 8th, 2015 at 8:30 AM ^

Tell me how Michigan is ranked and what our record is any given year, and I'll tell you how many playoff spots there should be.  Easy peezy.

That aside, I think four is fine.  Any team that would have been an AP/USA Today (UPI) national champion ought to be able to make the top four, so it doesn't seem unfair to me that teams like Notre Dame get excluded. 

Plus, after four games, you start expanding the season to a point where it would start to interfere with academics too much.  I mean, except for at North Carolina, MSU, Ohio State, etc.

Big_H

December 8th, 2015 at 8:53 AM ^

8 - Team Playoff

 

5 - P5 Conference Champions (Pac12, Big10, Sec, Big12, Acc)

 

3 - At Large Teams

 

You should have to be a conference champion to claim a spot.. to me that only makes sense. Then you have 3 At Large teams, so you can get your Notre Dame's, Houstons, Memphis type teams in when they're doing good.

 

One rule would be that you can't have more than 2 teams from the same conference in the playoffs.. So that keeps everything fair and the commitee can't put more SEC teams in just because SEC.

StephenRKass

December 8th, 2015 at 8:35 AM ^

There will always be an argument for more. It often is about money. But there also is something about them being students. And there is something about what it does for fans who have to choose where to go . . . who can go to a conference championship, along with a semifinal and the national championship game?

kevin holt

December 8th, 2015 at 8:36 AM ^

I don't think you can howl over injustice if you're left out as the #9 team. The #5/6 team has a point, but #9 does not. If it's 8 teams I think we're a lot happier about the borderline. Plus the games DO matter a lot for seeding. Being 6 vs. 8 is a big difference (would you rather play #1 or #3 in most years)?

trueblueintexas

December 8th, 2015 at 7:52 PM ^

I think Phil Steele's piece shows that most years the #5 and #6'teams would not have an argument. I also think it important to at least look at the relevant data we have in the current system. Last year exposed TCU and Baylor for playing week schedules. This year OSU and Iowa each had their chance but couldn't deliver. So far the new system is 2 for 2 in maintaining the importance of the whole season while rewarding the teams that truly proved elite.

trueblueintexas

December 8th, 2015 at 8:41 AM ^

Four is a great number. In August & September everyone complains about the poor level of OOC schedules. Last year the committee taught us that strength of schedule actually means something by leaving TCU and Baylor out. Going forward I bet those teams schedule better OOC games. This year we learned you better have one of the top four records by leaving Stanford out. Is anyone upset by that? I haven't heard many arguments that two loss Stanford deserved to be in over any of the top four teams. I don't understand the idea that all P5 conferences deserve a place at the playoff table. Win your conference and do so playing a tough OOC schedule while having one of the top four records. The rest will sort itself out.

MGoJeezy

December 8th, 2015 at 8:38 AM ^

4 teams for the exact reason you've stated.

There is a reason college football is the most exciting season in all of sports- each game is almost like sudden death. That's changed a bit even with the playoff. Keep it at 4.



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Goose1724

December 8th, 2015 at 8:47 AM ^

Initially I thought 8 team was perfect. I thought about it more this year and come to the conclusion that 4 is a good model. It makes every game mean so much more during the regular season. I'm not a fan of 6 teams with a bye. As it is, we wait a month for the playoffs to begin.

arigoldforpresident

December 8th, 2015 at 8:50 AM ^

I think they should have each playoff spot be the conference winners of the top 4 conferences. Determine the top 4 conferences by having a power index that ranks them all based on collective success of each conference's teams.

Then after determining the top 4 teams, seed them based on resume.

That is pretty much how this year's playoff went anyway. It would also force Notre Dame and BYU to join conferences

cali4444

December 8th, 2015 at 9:10 AM ^

but a bye is too big of an advantage.  Leave it at 4.  Besides, I don't like the idea of a team losing its last game and still having a chance of getting in.  8 is too many, it would include 2 loss teams which lessens the importance of the regular season.

jmblue

December 8th, 2015 at 9:07 AM ^

I'm fine with it.  I always want the national champion to be a team that had a great overall season.  I don't want the playoff to get so large that a merely good team can sneak in.