2nd seed NCAA more secure - Maryland beats Virginia in overtime.

Submitted by BlueCube on March 9th, 2014 at 2:28 PM

It should be Michigan and Wisconsin for the first two 2 seeds. Let's hope for a good tournament run.

Comments

Leaders And Best

March 9th, 2014 at 2:43 PM ^

Almost impossible. Definitely not likely. Florida, Wichita St., and Arizona are pretty much locks to be seeded ahead of Michigan. Almost no way we can pass Kansas. Even passing Duke or Virginia will be difficult because one of them will probably do well in the ACC tourney. One of the ACC teams (possibly even Syracuse) is probably going to end up a 2 seed. Our best bet is to have a good B1G Tourney showing, beat Wisconsin, and sneak ahead of Villanova and Virginia/Duke.

Indonacious

March 9th, 2014 at 2:46 PM ^

The one way I can see Kansas dropping is if there are concerns on their center Joel emblid is more hurt than originally thought. He missed the West Virginia game they lost and this news recently came out from espn analyst Fran fraschilla today on twitter.

@franfraschilla: KU's Joel Embiid headed to California today to see back specialist tomorrow. Can't be great news even if precautionary.

redhousewolverine

March 9th, 2014 at 3:11 PM ^

Ya, but still pretty far off. We would have to jump Wisco and Arizona. If we were to beat Wisco in the tourney, then we could pass them, but Arizona would have to have a dud in the tourney for us to pass them. I haven't checked the recent rankings for the ACC teams (Duke, Syracuse, and Virginia) either. It is becoming more plausible, but still quite unlikely. But think of how a 2 seed would look after our start to the season. Pretty darned good.

buddhafrog

March 9th, 2014 at 2:36 PM ^

Either way, if NEB loses tonight or we beat them in the BTT finals (which I think will be the finals), then we pass them.  Things are setting up for a possible #1 seed, but more likely, the top #2 seed.

MichiganMan1999

March 9th, 2014 at 2:37 PM ^

Arizona Florida Wichita St locks for 1's then Kansas Villanova Wisconsin Michigan fighting for the last 1 in that order with Virginia Syracuse Duke not far behind

LSAClassOf2000

March 9th, 2014 at 2:57 PM ^

At this point, you're probably looking at Wichita State, Arizona, Florida and VIllanova as 1-seeds in the tournament. Villanova's position might be the least secure among them, but I think the only potential competition for their spot - probably Wisconsin if anyone - will still get one of the #2 seeds. We're probably 3rd or 4th in line for the least secure #1 seed, meaning disaster would have to strike a few teams - Syracuse, Kansas and Wisconsin, as well as some #1 teams - before we likely snuck into the discussion. We're pretty much on target for a 2-seed at this point. Not impossible, but not very probable, in my opinion. 

jcouz

March 9th, 2014 at 2:42 PM ^

Michigan, I believe, now controls their own path to a 2-seed. However, they will probably need to win Friday and Saturday to stay there unless VA, Duke, Syracuse, Wisconsin, and Kansas all do worse.

Blue Mike

March 9th, 2014 at 3:33 PM ^

Because in non-conference they beat Florida, Virginia, and St. Louis and we beat...  Florida State?

We have two bad losses (Charlotte and Indiana) and they have one (Northwestern).  

Really, the difference between being where we are now and in the mix for a #1 seed is the loss to Arizona.  Not that it was a bad loss, but our best win on the season is at Wisconsin.  Wisconsin got us back, plus they have three other wins that look as good or better.

GRFS11

March 9th, 2014 at 3:34 PM ^

I still think we need Wisco to lose today, or to the finals in the BTT to Michigan, in order for us to pass them and get the #2 in the Midwest (Wichita State's region).

mistersuits

March 9th, 2014 at 3:55 PM ^

Villanova has the fourth one-seed pretty much locked up if they win the Big East conference tournament. Wisconsin maybe has an argument but hopefully Michigan doesn't let them.

Danwillhor

March 9th, 2014 at 11:03 PM ^

obviously. I don't think they are as strong as last year though. Record or not, I think they were slightly better last year and an easier schedule has them undefeated. Yet, obviously they can "ball" ha. I'd just pick us if we started strong or each team brought their best game. A win but close.

dahblue

March 9th, 2014 at 5:55 PM ^

They do look like a good team. I watched them against Indiana state today and was impressed...impressed at how terrible Indiana state is. Wichita State would probably lose 6-8 games in the B1G this year. Good team; not great.

That said, I'd love another game against Florida. Maybe we'd beat them by 30 this year.

Danwillhor

March 9th, 2014 at 4:56 PM ^

depending on region, a 1-4 seed are not much different. You obviously want the highest seed for ease but teams like Oklahoma St and such are going to be horrible "gifts" to teams in their region seeded in the top 4. Tons of quality teams newly recovering from injuries, finally starting to gel, etc that are going to be lower seeds. Those teams that on a good day for them/average day for you, can run you out of the building. So, no way we get to a 1 seed but 2-4 is not a huge difference. Burke half courters aside, we proved that last year.

steve sharik

March 9th, 2014 at 5:09 PM ^

Rank the following teams, here sorted by the average of RPI and kenpom rank:

Team RPI kenpom RPI/kenpom avg. RPI NCSOS kenpom NCSOS avg. NCSOS Last 12 vs. Top 50
A 1 1 1 38 94 66 9-3 10-3
B 2 3 2.5 19 80 49.5 12-0 6-2
C 4 6 5 61 81 71 11-1 5-4
D 6 5 5.5 31 95 63 12-0 3-0
E 3 8 5.5 1 10 5.5 8-4 12-7
F 8 4 6 28 115 71.5 12-1 4-4
G 7 7 7 20 84 52 9-3 6-5
H 5 11 8 7 71 39 9-3 8-3
I 10 9 9.5 36 141 88.5 9-3 6-3
J 13 10 11.5 102 158 130 9-3 10-5
K 23 2 12.5 155 300 227.5 10-2 6-5
L 11 15 13 141 206 173.5 8-4 7-3
M 14 18 16 86 301 193.5 9-3 7-5
N 20 16 18 100 164 132 6-6 6-5
O 9 28 18.5 90 131 110.5 8-4 9-6
P 15 23 19 147 97 122 10-2 3-2

 

ryholly

March 9th, 2014 at 5:20 PM ^

I'd actually rather grab the top 2 seed than the 4th 1 seed.  The last 1 seed plays the best 2 seed--meaning we'd probably be out east playing someone like Kansas or Villanova as the 2 if we somehow got the last 1.

If we're the top 2 seed--we're probably in the midwest region playing against Wichita State as the 1.

 

I'll take scenario #2.